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Keila KK vs BK Ogre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2026
Meetings · Keila KK v BK Ogre
06 Mar 2027
KEIL v BK O
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
KEIL74
BK O90
12 Oct 2024
KEIL83
BK O96
18 Oct 2023
KEIL80
BK O71
30 Oct 2022
KEIL81
BK O87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 66
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
82-106
82
106
-24
77avg 66
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 66
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
56avg 66
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
81-60
81
60
+21
80avg 66
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
58avg 66
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 66
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
58-79
58
79
-21
43avg 66
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
10-21
10-17
19-19
30-38
17-22
16-18
19-28
21-24
19-12
20-11
15-23
19-19
21-23
9-26
22-21
22-19
17-20
25-11
17-10
18-25
21-27
14-26
17-25
28-19
24-27
12-11
14-15
17-20
19-21
12-16
10-22
22-17
17-19
27-18
13-12
23-21
18-17
28-15
20-28
155.9Avg total
74.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.381.6155.9-7.350%
Season at home (5)74.081.2155.2-7.240%
Season away (5)74.682.0156.6-7.460%
Last 10 (10)74.381.6155.9-7.350%
Last 5 (5)74.880.2155.0-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.992.8170.7-14.914%
vs Similar (7)90.787.3178.0+3.471%
vs Weaker (2)79.566.0145.5+13.5100%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 80
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
54avg 80
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
63avg 80
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-81
106
81
+25
101avg 80
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 80
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
77avg 80
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 80
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
97avg 80
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
29-22
21-30
29-34
20-29
23-23
17-17
13-23
15-34
21-28
23-29
26-19
18-22
30-21
22-15
36-23
20-15
17-11
23-22
16-21
21-26
18-25
18-18
21-13
29-23
22-29
19-23
18-17
22-22
26-16
28-25
25-14
26-20
23-14
23-23
20-31
21-23
17-18
15-28
28-20
176.7Avg total
88.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.786.7173.3+0.044%
Season at home (6)90.286.5176.7+3.750%
Season away (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)88.188.6176.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)88.085.6173.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.890.9176.7-5.130%
vs Similar (7)81.084.0165.0-3.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.880.2169.1+8.667%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
Keila KKBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
84.8Avg total
40.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.146.188.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.546.487.9-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)42.745.888.5-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.484.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.747.588.2-6.824%-
vs Similar (7)45.143.088.1+2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)45.542.588.0+3.050%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
88.1Avg total
44.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.186.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.387.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.984.6-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.188.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.147.390.4-4.230%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.486.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.538.281.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.9
47.2%
52.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.812.4
62.6%
68.3%12.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.8
57.8%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
31.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
WWLWLWLWLL
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWLLL
#9
League position
#10
-15.2
Net rating
-2.5
79.3
Offensive rating
100.7
94.5
Defensive rating
103.2
48.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.9%
3-point %
37.0%
56.9%
Assist %
53.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence79.3 · 100.7Defence94.5 · 103.2Shooting48.7% · 56.7%3-point %33.9% · 37.0%Ball care20.2% · 14.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Keila KK   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keila KK wins
7
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
13/11/26BK Ogre v Keila KK81-89
04/02/26BK Ogre v Keila KK112-99 OT
25/10/25Keila KK v BK Ogre74-90
08/01/25BK Ogre v Keila KK99-91
12/10/24Keila KK v BK Ogre83-96
02/03/24BK Ogre v Keila KK89-65
18/10/23Keila KK v BK Ogre80-71
21/01/23BK Ogre v Keila KK97-76
30/10/22Keila KK v BK Ogre81-87
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABK Ogre89-81
05/11/26ARigas Juniori79-66
31/10/26HTal Tech58-79
27/10/26HViimsi78-72
24/10/26ARigas Zelli70-103
20/10/26HKeila Coolbet81-60
17/10/26HTartu Ulikool71-89
10/10/26AParnu75-70
03/10/26HValmiera Glass Via82-106
29/09/26AVEF Riga60-90
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKeila KK81-89
07/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo92-88
31/10/26HKeila Coolbet101-77
24/10/26HVentspils88-92
21/10/26ATal Tech78-82
16/10/26AViimsi76-69
10/10/26HLatvijas Universitate106-81
03/10/26ARigas Zelli85-110
26/09/26HVEF Riga73-92
14/03/26HLatvijas Universitate101-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game74.374.074.6
Allowed / game81.681.282.0
Point differential-7.3-7.2-7.4
Avg total155.9155.2156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game86.790.279.7
Allowed / game86.786.587.0
Point differential+0.0+3.7-7.3
Avg total173.3176.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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