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Kentucky vs Missouri Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-73
32-33 36-40
Position#107
Record9-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game69.3
Kentucky
USA
vs
Missouri 🏆
USA
Position#111
Record11-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kentucky v Missouri
07 Jan 2026
KENT68
MISS73
09 Jan 2024
KENT90
MISS77
29 Dec 2021
KENT83
MISS56
04 Jan 2020
KENT71
MISS59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#29
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-94
59
94
-35
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H20/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-44
39-39
50-20
38-26
43-28
61-26
31-31
33-36
20-43
39-51
52-31
51-36
32-39
40-21
25-32
53-34
46-38
53-47
34-50
40-39
151.8Avg total
80.7Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.169.3153.4+14.964%
Season at home (12)84.765.4150.1+19.275%
Season away (2)81.092.5173.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)80.771.1151.8+9.660%
Last 5 (5)85.273.4158.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.891.8164.5-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.878.2156.1-0.453%
vs Weaker (9)94.759.6154.2+35.1100%
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H18/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
102-68
102
68
+34
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A07/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
48-91
48
91
-43
A23/12
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-27
42-46
53-42
49-26
55-30
43-36
46-24
40-35
40-33
31-43
25-33
35-47
52-39
33-38
39-25
43-35
25-41
23-50
39-39
37-35
152.3Avg total
79.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.271.6154.9+11.679%
Season at home (10)89.868.9158.7+20.9100%
Season away (4)66.878.5145.2-11.825%
Last 10 (10)79.972.4152.3+7.570%
Last 5 (5)70.276.4146.6-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.281.8155.0-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.879.8161.5+2.050%
vs Weaker (18)85.372.2157.4+13.167%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: -1.5-1.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: -1.5-1.5
KentuckyMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#29
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H18/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H22/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H06/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H14/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
36.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.573.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (21)38.431.770.1+6.767%-
Last 30 away (9)37.744.382.0-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.671.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.075.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.847.279.0-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.038.674.6-2.647%-
vs Weaker (9)45.224.369.6+20.9100%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prairie View A&M
#198
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H18/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H26/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H28/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H12/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A23/12
NCAA
Florida
#28
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/01
NCAA
75.6Avg total
42.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.375.6+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.034.777.7+8.372%-
Last 30 away (12)36.236.272.4-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.333.375.6+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.471.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.839.074.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.135.472.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (18)42.734.577.2+8.278%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kentucky wins
2
Missouri wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Missouri v Kentucky83-91
10/01/24Kentucky v Missouri90-77
29/12/22Missouri v Kentucky89-75
30/12/21Kentucky v Missouri83-56
04/02/21Missouri v Kentucky75-70
04/01/20Kentucky v Missouri71-59
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AAlabama74-89
23/12/25HBellarmine99-85
20/12/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)78-66
14/12/25HIndiana72-60
10/12/25HN. Carolina Central103-67
06/12/25HGonzaga59-94
03/12/25HNorth Carolina64-67
27/11/25HTennessee Tech104-54
22/11/25HLoyola Maryland88-46
18/11/25HMichigan State66-83
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HFlorida76-74
23/12/25AIllinois48-91
14/12/25HBethune-Cookman82-60
12/12/25HAlabama State85-77
07/12/25AKansas60-80
03/12/25ANotre Dame71-76
28/11/25HCleveland State86-59
26/11/25HSouth Carolina St98-66
21/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes102-68
18/11/25HPrairie View A&M91-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14122
Win %64%75%0%
Points / game84.184.781.0
Allowed / game69.365.492.5
Point differential+14.9+19.2-11.5
Avg total153.4150.1173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %79%100%25%
Points / game83.289.866.8
Allowed / game71.668.978.5
Point differential+11.6+20.9-11.8
Avg total154.9158.7145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%70%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt14140100%93.470.7+22.7
2 Georgia1513287%97.975.2+22.7
3 Texas A&M1512380%94.477.5+16.9
4 LSU1512380%86.571.7+14.7
5 Arkansas1411379%90.274.9+15.4
6 Oklahoma1411379%87.372.2+15.1
7 Alabama1411379%94.181.1+13.1
8 Missouri1411379%83.271.6+11.6
9 Tennessee1511473%83.465.7+17.7
10 Mississippi St.1410471%82.676.3+6.3
11 Florida1510567%84.871.2+13.6
12 South Carolina1510567%80.169.2+10.9
13 Kentucky149564%84.169.3+14.9
14 Texas159660%87.574.2+13.3
15 Auburn159660%87.079.5+7.5
16 Ole Miss148657%74.367.9+6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky323668
Missouri334073
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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