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Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 65-63
22-12 10-20 16-12 17-19
Position#2
Record13-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#3
Record12-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2018
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Real Madrid
29 Jan 2027
FEN v MAD
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
FEN69
MAD74
06 Feb 2025
FEN78
MAD67
30 Nov 2023
FEN100
MAD99
02 Dec 2022
FEN71
MAD85
08 Feb 2022
FEN66
MAD51
08 Apr 2021
FEN67
MAD93
19 May 2019
FEN75
MAD94
28 Dec 2018
FEN65
MAD63
28 Dec 2017
FEN77
MAD79
19 May 2017
FEN84
MAD75
01 Dec 2016
FEN78
MAD77
14 Apr 2016
FEN100
MAD78
12 Apr 2016
FEN75
MAD69
30 Oct 2015
FEN77
MAD66
25 Oct 2012
FEN75
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A30/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A07/12
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
W
103-86
103
86
+17
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H13/12
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H18/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
89-65
89
65
+24
A20/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
15-14
17-20
16-16
23-17
22-19
19-11
20-18
18-28
19-14
18-13
25-17
18-12
17-21
21-19
25-17
27-15
24-28
26-11
26-32
15-21
25-19
27-18
25-27
28-16
15-15
23-22
26-15
18-26
18-22
24-14
19-13
26-20
14-20
27-15
22-10
16-25
22-18
14-16
22-25
158.6Avg total
84.8Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.975.5160.4+9.493%
Season at home (6)91.580.0171.5+11.5100%
Season away (8)80.072.1152.1+7.988%
Last 10 (10)84.873.8158.6+11.090%
Last 5 (5)85.275.4160.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.781.0163.7+1.767%
vs Weaker (26)85.474.2159.5+11.292%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H19/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A21/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H23/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
19-23
24-13
18-23
19-20
17-19
23-24
10-23
20-24
21-14
20-29
27-26
23-23
22-29
15-22
24-8
17-20
23-11
25-15
22-17
22-17
31-13
16-20
23-15
21-20
13-25
13-25
24-14
23-10
20-21
20-24
26-13
27-16
19-15
19-28
17-13
18-8
24-22
16-26
22-18
160.0Avg total
82.5Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.276.8166.0+12.486%
Season at home (8)91.575.4166.9+16.188%
Season away (6)86.278.7164.8+7.583%
Last 10 (10)82.577.5160.0+5.060%
Last 5 (5)82.872.6155.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.286.5170.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (25)89.375.8165.1+13.488%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
FenerbahceReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A30/11
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A07/12
Euroleague
Istanbul BB
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/12
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H18/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.5Avg total
40.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.979.6+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.337.679.9+4.777%-
Last 30 away (17)41.238.279.4+3.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.979.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.479.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.042.086.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker (26)41.937.879.7+4.058%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A21/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H23/12
ACB
80.0Avg total
42.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.683.3+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.237.183.4+9.188%-
Last 30 away (13)42.540.683.2+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.980.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.477.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.041.882.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker (25)45.438.383.7+7.176%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.4
54.3%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.99.3
46.7%
37.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
76.7%13.5
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.0
55.2%
52.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.3
37.6%
37.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.8
76.6%
76.7%12.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWLLL
#2
League position
#3
+13.9
Net rating
+6.8
122.0
Offensive rating
111.2
108.0
Defensive rating
104.4
59.7%
Effective FG%
55.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
46.7%
3-point %
37.6%
60.9%
Assist %
64.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence122.0 · 111.2Defence108.0 · 104.4Shooting59.7% · 55.7%3-point %46.7% · 37.6%Ball care15.8% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Real Madrid wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18AGalatasaray74-84
20/12/18ABuducnost89-65
18/12/18HCSKA Moscow79-75
15/12/18HAfyon Belediye92-68
13/12/18HOlimpia Milano92-85
09/12/18AIstanbul BB103-86
07/12/18APanathinaikos81-69
04/12/18HKarsiyaka80-72
30/11/18ABarcelona84-65
25/11/18ATofas74-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/18HMurcia80-74
21/12/18ABayern82-72
19/12/18HPanathinaikos89-68
16/12/18ABreogan71-84
13/12/18HBarcelona92-65
09/12/18HGran Canaria87-63
07/12/18AAnadolu Efes84-82
29/11/18HCSKA Moscow88-93
25/11/18ABarcelona69-86
22/11/18AOlympiacos83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game84.991.580.0
Allowed / game75.580.072.1
Point differential+9.4+11.5+7.9
Avg total160.4171.5152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %86%88%83%
Points / game89.291.586.2
Allowed / game76.875.478.7
Point differential+12.4+16.1+7.5
Avg total166.0166.9164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1413193%84.975.5+9.4
2 Real Madrid1412286%89.276.8+12.4
3 CSKA Moscow1411379%88.881.9+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes159660%86.182.4+3.7
5 Olympiacos159660%80.677.0+3.6
6 Barcelona158753%76.276.8-0.6
7 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%82.581.2+1.3
8 Bayern147750%79.680.3-0.7
9 Olimpia Milano157847%85.985.7+0.3
10 Baskonia157847%80.880.7+0.1
11 Panathinaikos146843%78.379.9-1.6
12 Gran Canaria145936%81.889.4-7.6
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1551033%78.080.1-2.1
14 Khimki M.1551033%77.780.8-3.1
15 Buducnost1431121%71.483.6-12.2
16 Darussafaka1521313%75.985.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2210161765
Real Madrid1220121963
← all games of the day
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