PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pistoia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 20-0
Position#16
Record4-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game87.9
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record15-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game80.7
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pistoia v Olimpia Milano
05 Jan 2025
PIS82
MIL115
04 Feb 2024
PIS72
MIL78
10 Mar 2020
PIS v MIL
upcoming
04 Feb 2019
PIS20
MIL0
08 Jan 2018
PIS63
MIL79
26 Mar 2017
PIS85
MIL74
14 Feb 2016
PIS80
MIL85
12 Jan 2015
PIS73
MIL79
25 May 2014
PIS84
MIL82
23 May 2014
PIS82
MIL71
17 Feb 2014
PIS79
MIL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H16/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A30/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H06/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A13/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H20/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A27/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
19-17
23-20
21-30
19-15
16-20
22-20
16-15
12-28
16-22
16-21
27-10
21-13
29-23
17-26
13-24
20-23
16-12
18-21
16-22
17-26
18-24
21-25
23-25
23-17
13-18
16-16
19-14
19-20
25-17
18-26
16-19
17-30
29-16
16-14
15-21
21-20
23-24
10-23
18-28
157.5Avg total
75.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.887.9165.7-10.124%
Season at home (8)72.281.5153.8-9.225%
Season away (9)82.893.6176.3-10.822%
Last 10 (10)75.582.0157.5-6.530%
Last 5 (5)75.484.6160.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.286.7163.8-9.531%
vs Similar (4)77.580.2157.8-2.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
111-94
111
94
+17
H03/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H06/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
A01/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-22
20-23
26-21
29-28
18-18
21-22
25-11
22-27
16-17
21-19
20-29
28-25
22-23
23-30
23-24
19-16
23-13
13-22
16-21
25-17
21-16
28-26
10-20
16-18
16-26
23-19
25-30
28-26
21-13
13-17
18-20
28-20
22-16
26-16
19-26
27-17
27-28
12-18
29-21
21-22
175.1Avg total
89.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.980.7171.6+10.288%
Season at home (8)90.677.5168.1+13.1100%
Season away (9)91.183.6174.7+7.678%
Last 10 (10)89.385.8175.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)89.486.0175.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.787.3171.0-3.733%
vs Similar (15)83.383.7167.0-0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.684.8179.4+9.875%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
PistoiaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H16/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A13/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A27/01
Lega A
79.4Avg total
39.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.181.3-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.339.676.9-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.144.785.7-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.079.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.483.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.942.781.5-3.838%-
vs Similar (4)41.238.880.0+2.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H03/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/02
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
42.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.582.7+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.538.379.8+3.271%-
Last 30 away (16)42.942.485.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.482.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.338.379.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (15)40.739.880.5+0.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.441.886.2+2.658%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.5
50.9%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.0
35.6%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.211.6
63.7%
72.3%11.6
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.2
53.3%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.119.5
77.7%
72.3%19.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLWLLLLWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLWLLWW
#16
League position
#1
-13.3
Net rating
+3.6
102.2
Offensive rating
115.1
115.5
Defensive rating
111.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.6%
3-point %
36.9%
63.1%
Assist %
53.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 115.1Defence115.5 · 111.5Shooting51.8% · 54.2%3-point %35.6% · 36.9%Ball care20.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds33.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/19AVenezia72-95
20/01/19HPesaro77-81
13/01/19AAvellino78-82
06/01/19HVarese71-65
30/12/18ACantu79-100
26/12/18HTrento70-78
23/12/18ATorino80-86
16/12/18HVirtus Bologna71-81
09/12/18HBrescia73-70
24/11/18AReggiana84-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/19AGran Canaria106-104 OT
27/01/19HVirtus Bologna94-75
24/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-70
20/01/19ABrindisi92-101
18/01/19ABaskonia75-80
13/01/19ATrieste77-73
11/01/19ABayern87-93
09/01/19HBarcelona85-90
06/01/19HTrento86-78
03/01/19HBuducnost111-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeWLLWL25%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game77.872.282.8
Allowed / game87.981.593.6
Point differential-10.1-9.2-10.8
Avg total165.7153.8176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%100%78%
Points / game90.990.691.1
Allowed / game80.777.583.6
Point differential+10.2+13.1+7.6
Avg total171.6168.1174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1715288%90.980.7+10.2
2 Venezia1813572%81.971.4+10.6
3 Brindisi1811761%82.278.6+3.7
4 Cremona1811761%86.382.6+3.7
5 Avellino1811761%80.781.4-0.8
6 Varese1810856%77.573.8+3.7
7 Virtus Bologna1810856%81.581.8-0.3
8 Sassari189950%88.884.2+4.6
9 Trieste189950%86.084.3+1.7
10 Brescia1881044%78.279.6-1.4
11 Cantu1881044%83.787.2-3.5
12 Trento1881044%77.881.5-3.7
13 Pesaro1861233%82.392.2-9.9
14 Torino1851328%82.186.2-4.1
15 Reggiana1851328%78.082.3-4.3
16 Pistoia1741324%77.887.9-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No quarter scores for this game.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.