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Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 111-74
29-18 30-10 21-21 31-25
Position#1
Record15-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#15
Record6-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game92.2
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro
29 Oct 2023
MIL82
PES90
15 May 2023
MIL86
PES57
13 May 2023
MIL94
PES68
09 Apr 2023
MIL102
PES70
13 Feb 2022
MIL91
PES57
14 Feb 2021
MIL87
PES59
03 Jan 2021
MIL97
PES93
05 Apr 2020
MIL v PES
upcoming
10 Feb 2019
MIL111
PES74
29 Apr 2018
MIL70
PES75
02 Jan 2017
MIL88
PES84
17 Apr 2016
MIL82
PES78
30 Nov 2014
MIL96
PES61
31 Mar 2014
MIL95
PES64
06 Apr 2013
MIL93
PES65
31 May 2012
MIL84
PES68
29 May 2012
MIL84
PES75
29 Jan 2012
MIL81
PES70
16 Jan 2011
MIL94
PES84
29 Nov 2009
MIL89
PES86
25 Jan 2009
MIL91
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
A01/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A04/02
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H08/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
21-19
20-29
28-25
22-23
23-30
23-24
19-16
23-13
13-22
16-21
25-17
21-16
28-26
10-20
16-18
16-26
23-19
25-30
28-26
21-13
13-17
18-20
28-20
22-16
26-16
19-26
27-17
27-28
12-18
29-21
21-22
–
–
–
–
19-17
21-19
20-25
30-17
157.0Avg total
78.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.877.3163.2+8.583%
Season at home (8)90.677.5168.1+13.1100%
Season away (10)82.077.2159.2+4.870%
Last 10 (10)78.678.4157.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)74.069.4143.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.091.0176.0-6.00%
vs Similar (15)83.383.7167.0-0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.180.4167.5+6.769%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
73-114
73
114
-41
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
66-108
66
108
-42
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H03/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
24-21
16-24
16-12
23-35
30-31
18-28
35-28
24-16
11-27
18-15
12-19
14-28
16-19
16-33
27-34
22-25
20-24
15-28
21-21
15-25
14-32
15-24
22-27
26-26
15-23
26-18
19-19
30-17
16-29
14-16
21-15
19-31
22-29
23-12
16-29
25-18
28-20
14-21
19-30
178.4Avg total
81.8Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.392.2174.4-9.933%
Season at home (10)87.492.2179.6-4.840%
Season away (8)75.992.1168.0-16.225%
Last 10 (10)81.896.6178.4-14.820%
Last 5 (5)83.094.6177.6-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.592.3172.8-11.824%
vs Similar (4)81.879.8161.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
Olimpia MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
40.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.140.782.8+1.562%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.338.479.6+2.971%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.885.7+0.153%-
Last 10 (9)40.839.480.2+1.367%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (15)40.739.880.5+0.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.241.886.0+2.358%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H26/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
92.0Avg total
41.9Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.047.786.7-8.720%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.346.286.6-5.925%-
Last 30 away (14)37.549.386.8-11.814%-
Last 10 (10)41.950.192.0-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)42.050.092.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.048.487.4-9.420%-
vs Similar (4)41.043.584.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.1
52.8%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.9
40.2%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.419.0
77.9%
72.3%19.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.623.1
49.6%
51.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.85.0
26.6%
35.1%15.0
🏀 Free throws24.617.9
72.8%
72.3%17.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWLLWLL
Pesaro
LLWWLLLLLL
#1
League position
#15
+6.3
Net rating
-19.1
117.2
Offensive rating
102.7
110.8
Defensive rating
121.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
46.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.38
40.2%
3-point %
26.6%
53.1%
Assist %
35.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 102.7Defence110.8 · 121.8Shooting55.8% · 46.8%3-point %40.2% · 26.6%Ball care16.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/19HDarussafaka90-78
04/02/19APistoia0-20
01/02/19AGran Canaria106-104 OT
27/01/19HVirtus Bologna94-75
24/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-70
20/01/19ABrindisi92-101
18/01/19ABaskonia75-80
13/01/19ATrieste77-73
11/01/19ABayern87-93
09/01/19HBarcelona85-90
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19HVenezia86-89
26/01/19HBrindisi80-101
20/01/19APistoia81-77
13/01/19HTorino102-98 OT
06/01/19AReggiana66-108
30/12/18HVarese78-98
26/12/18ASassari73-114
23/12/18HTrento65-77
16/12/18HCremona106-122
09/12/18AAvellino81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %83%100%70%
Points / game85.890.682.0
Allowed / game77.377.577.2
Point differential+8.5+13.1+4.8
Avg total163.2168.1159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game82.387.475.9
Allowed / game92.292.292.1
Point differential-9.9-4.8-16.2
Avg total174.4179.6168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1815383%85.877.3+8.5
2 Venezia1813572%81.971.4+10.6
3 Cremona1912763%86.381.9+4.4
4 Avellino1912763%80.680.7-0.1
5 Brindisi1811761%82.278.6+3.7
6 Varese1911858%78.975.0+3.9
7 Virtus Bologna1910953%80.982.1-1.2
8 Sassari1991047%88.585.1+3.4
9 Trieste1991047%86.585.3+1.2
10 Cantu1991047%84.587.3-2.8
11 Trento1881044%77.881.5-3.7
12 Brescia1981142%77.679.6-2.0
13 Pesaro1861233%82.392.2-9.9
14 Torino1961332%83.286.1-2.9
15 Pistoia1851328%74.683.0-8.4
16 Reggiana1951426%78.683.2-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano29302131111
Pesaro1810212574
← all games of the day
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