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Knox vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 92-95
30-22 33-24 11-27 18-22
Position#1
Record17-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#5
Record12-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game89.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Knox v Ballarat
19 Jul 2025
KNOX92
BALL95
02 Jul 2022
KNOX81
BALL62
27 Apr 2019
KNOX68
BALL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#13
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A21/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
A28/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H12/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A13/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
36-28
26-13
18-16
15-22
28-16
26-23
26-21
16-22
19-17
22-24
21-22
20-20
26-20
30-27
13-22
21-20
19-30
22-22
32-18
20-20
12-28
24-23
30-26
13-34
22-19
19-25
18-25
27-24
20-25
23-14
13-19
32-30
25-19
28-29
22-26
21-20
21-22
24-20
27-20
182.3Avg total
91.7Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.783.9175.6+7.981%
Season at home (10)91.984.2176.1+7.780%
Season away (11)91.583.5175.1+8.082%
Last 10 (10)91.790.6182.3+1.170%
Last 5 (5)88.293.6181.8-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.0105.0211.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (5)87.292.4179.6-5.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.678.5171.1+14.188%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
69-116
69
116
-47
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H21/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
97-118
97
118
-21
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
102-61
102
61
+41
A29/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H11/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H12/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-42
18-31
19-20
21-23
33-27
31-31
20-30
28-21
21-22
16-10
14-23
15-22
24-34
22-21
25-12
25-16
16-34
26-18
24-16
20-16
24-34
23-23
27-36
23-25
26-24
29-10
20-6
27-21
26-24
20-20
15-28
21-13
25-22
18-18
13-11
23-18
33-17
23-20
20-18
17-18
175.7Avg total
88.2Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.089.5177.4-1.560%
Season at home (11)88.989.5178.5-0.664%
Season away (9)86.889.4176.2-2.756%
Last 10 (10)88.287.5175.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)90.681.2171.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.596.5178.0-15.025%
vs Similar (7)89.981.6171.4+8.386%
vs Weaker (11)91.585.7177.2+5.782%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
KnoxBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#13
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A28/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H12/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/07
NBL1 South
89.1Avg total
43.6Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.387.0+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.939.586.4+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)44.543.187.5+1.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.645.589.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.290.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.040.086.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (5)41.044.285.2-3.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.640.887.4+5.958%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
29-73
29
73
-44
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H21/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A29/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H12/07
NBL1 South
94.7Avg total
46.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.646.090.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.844.490.1+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)43.247.991.1-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)46.548.294.7-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)49.442.491.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.548.789.2-8.233%-
vs Similar (7)45.744.089.7+1.743%-
vs Weaker (11)48.344.492.6+3.964%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Knox wins
3
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
25/05/24Ballarat v Knox89-86 OT
13/05/23Ballarat v Knox92-99
02/07/22Knox v Ballarat81-62
10/07/21Ballarat v Knox83-77
27/04/19Knox v Ballarat68-90
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/07/25AKeilor Thunder93-82
12/07/25HRingwood107-104
05/07/25ANunawading83-82
28/06/25AEltham72-103
21/06/25ANW Tasmania86-97
20/06/25AHobart Chargers94-90
15/06/25HMt Gambier106-105 OT
14/06/25HMelbourne Tigers78-85
31/05/25AKilsyth95-82
25/05/25AWaverley103-76
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25HDandenong93-73
11/07/25HKeilor Thunder79-69
05/07/25HKilsyth82-85
29/06/25ARingwood102-61
28/06/25HSandringham Sabres97-118
21/06/25HFrankston86-84
15/06/25ANunawading96-83
14/06/25AKeilor Thunder66-77
31/05/25ABendigo Braves112-109
24/05/25HMt Gambier69-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW81%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %81%80%82%
Points / game91.791.991.5
Allowed / game83.984.283.5
Point differential+7.9+7.7+8.0
Avg total175.6176.1175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%30%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%64%56%
Points / game88.088.986.8
Allowed / game89.589.589.4
Point differential-1.6-0.6-2.7
Avg total177.4178.5176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2117481%91.783.9+7.9
2 Mt Gambier2216673%96.582.4+14.1
3 Eltham2214864%89.985.5+4.4
4 Kilsyth2214864%89.386.0+3.3
5 Melbourne Tigers2113862%87.081.3+5.6
6 Sandringham Sabres2113862%93.790.6+3.1
7 Ballarat2012860%88.089.5-1.6
8 Hobart Chargers2112957%88.786.5+2.1
9 Casey Cavaliers21111052%88.586.7+1.8
10 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
11 Nunawading22111150%87.486.4+1.0
12 Frankston2191243%91.991.0+1.0
13 Waverley2191243%93.496.3-2.9
14 Bendigo Braves2181338%82.094.0-12.0
15 Keilor Thunder2281436%82.488.0-5.7
16 Dandenong2171433%90.195.1-5.0
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2051525%85.791.5-5.8
19 Diamond Valley2151624%84.294.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox3033111892
Ballarat2224272295
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