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Kozuv vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-63
16-12 19-16 24-20 15-15
Position#8
Record5-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game81.1
Kozuv 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Position#10
Record3-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game93.2
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 1· Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kozuv v Vardar
06 Apr 2024
KOZU74
VARD63
11 Nov 2023
KOZU78
VARD57
20 Jan 2021
KOZU86
VARD82
21 Dec 2019
KOZU87
VARD65
22 Dec 2018
KOZU91
VARD82
10 Dec 2016
KOZU73
VARD49
08 Mar 2014
KOZU84
VARD76
15 Feb 2013
KOZU82
VARD60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kozuv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KozuvMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKozuv
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 68
H23/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
52avg 68
A21/01
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 68
H27/01
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 68
A07/02
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
70-86
70
86
-16
54avg 68
H10/02
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 68
A02/03
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
88-60
88
60
+28
87avg 68
H09/03
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
59avg 68
A16/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
73-104
73
104
-31
57avg 68
A23/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
78avg 68
H30/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
28-20
16-21
21-25
12-14
19-22
19-17
22-21
23-24
21-29
13-22
19-20
13-22
27-21
16-25
14-13
17-22
10-25
30-23
13-16
21-22
21-19
23-22
27-15
26-22
21-17
20-12
21-9
8-21
18-22
30-25
17-24
15-28
21-23
13-31
24-22
25-13
26-22
16-21
13-31
161.8Avg total
77.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.381.1158.4-3.823%
Season at home (11)79.577.0156.5+2.536%
Season away (11)75.185.2160.3-10.19%
Last 10 (10)77.584.3161.8-6.820%
Last 5 (5)81.284.2165.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.583.8159.3-8.312%
vs Similar (6)75.784.3160.0-8.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.575.2160.8+10.262%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 63
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 63
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 63
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 63
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 63
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 63
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
53avg 63
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 63
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 63
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
67-70
67
70
-3
62avg 63
H31/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
20-31
24-24
21-23
18-27
17-22
23-27
24-16
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
14-29
17-23
19-27
25-22
15-22
22-19
16-22
21-23
18-21
14-17
25-22
21-26
22-19
13-15
15-15
17-21
164.9Avg total
73.5Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.093.2167.3-19.214%
Season at home (11)75.392.8168.1-17.518%
Season away (11)72.893.6166.5-20.89%
Last 10 (10)73.591.4164.9-17.90%
Last 5 (5)74.487.0161.4-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.392.0162.3-21.84%
vs Similar (4)86.885.8172.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kozuv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -5.3-5.3
KozuvVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KozuvLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/01
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H27/01
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/02
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H10/02
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A02/03
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/03
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A16/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/03
Prva Liga
81.6Avg total
38.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.379.8-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.581.6+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.041.078.0-4.027%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.881.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.939.478.3-0.644%-
vs Similar (6)36.845.282.0-8.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.938.281.1+4.662%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H31/03
Prva Liga
80.6Avg total
35.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.446.783.1-10.214%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.547.584.0-10.915%-
Last 30 away (16)36.446.082.4-9.612%-
Last 10 (10)35.245.480.6-10.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.476.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.647.383.0-11.712%-
vs Similar (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kozuv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kozuvtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kozuv: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.5
52.8%
53.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
32.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws14.29.8
69.0%
70.3%9.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.5
49.2%
53.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.7
27.3%
32.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.811.6
65.2%
70.3%11.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kozuv
LLLWWLLLLL
Vardar
LLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#10
-8.6
Net rating
-22.7
99.3
Offensive rating
92.3
107.9
Defensive rating
115.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.8%
3-point %
27.3%
61.1%
Assist %
64.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 92.3Defence107.9 · 115.0Shooting50.2% · 46.1%3-point %30.8% · 27.3%Ball care16.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds22.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Kozuv   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Kozuv wins
1
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Vardar v Kozuv78-92
11/11/23Kozuv v Vardar78-57
28/02/21Vardar v Kozuv95-86
20/01/21Kozuv v Vardar86-82 OT
21/12/19Kozuv v Vardar87-65
19/10/19Vardar v Kozuv64-85
30/03/19Vardar v Kozuv70-91
22/12/18Kozuv v Vardar91-82
11/02/17Vardar v Kozuv73-86
10/12/16Kozuv v Vardar73-49
Kozuvlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HPelister80-87
23/03/24AGostivar73-104
16/03/24ARabotnicki73-92
09/03/24HFMP Akademija88-60
02/03/24AVardar92-78
10/02/24HCair 203070-86
07/02/24ATFT Skopje70-81
27/01/24HFeniks 201076-95
21/01/24AOhrid72-74
23/12/23HTikvesh81-86
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HTikvesh67-70
27/03/24AMZT Skopje78-86
13/03/24HPelister74-86
09/03/24AGostivar75-101
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
27/01/24HCair 203060-102
20/01/24ATFT Skopje82-92
23/12/23HFeniks 201089-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kozuv
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL23%
HomeLLLWL36%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%36%9%
Points / game77.379.575.1
Allowed / game81.177.085.2
Point differential-3.8+2.5-10.1
Avg total158.4156.5160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %14%18%9%
Points / game74.075.372.8
Allowed / game93.292.893.6
Point differential-19.2-17.5-20.8
Avg total167.3168.1166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje2319483%82.669.5+13.1
2 Rabotnicki2218482%90.074.0+16.0
3 Pelister2216673%84.275.4+8.8
4 Cair 20302215768%84.978.4+6.5
5 Tikvesh2214864%84.975.8+9.1
6 TFT Skopje2214864%75.371.2+4.0
7 Feniks 201022121055%82.980.5+2.3
8 Gostivar2381535%81.685.3-3.8
9 Kozuv2251723%77.381.1-3.8
10 Ohrid2351822%76.089.3-13.3
11 FMP Akademija2351822%76.395.0-18.7
12 Vardar2231914%74.093.2-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kozuv1619241574
Vardar1216201563
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