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Kretinga vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 101-97
32-24 28-24 18-27 23-22
Position#9
Record18-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#17
Record7-31
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game86.9
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus
07 Mar 2026
KRET101
ALYT97
09 Oct 2025
KRET106
ALYT71
20 Feb 2025
KRET105
ALYT72
31 Oct 2024
KRET71
ALYT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 75
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 75
A29/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 75
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
69avg 75
A05/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-104
64
104
-40
50avg 75
H07/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 75
A14/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
68-61
68
61
+7
64avg 75
A19/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
91avg 75
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
58-86
58
86
-28
51avg 75
A26/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 75
H28/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
20-21
25-22
21-22
15-20
17-24
17-20
30-20
25-24
20-19
15-26
17-19
18-16
15-18
11-19
23-14
14-23
12-25
19-27
19-29
17-11
25-24
25-20
6-20
11-12
21-21
19-7
17-21
19-20
22-19
20-19
24-22
10-22
15-18
13-28
20-18
28-7
18-24
24-28
23-17
157.3Avg total
76.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)83.184.9168.1-1.849%
Season at home (18)83.982.3166.3+1.656%
Season away (19)82.487.4169.7-5.042%
Last 10 (10)76.281.1157.3-4.950%
Last 5 (5)75.475.6151.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.893.3168.2-18.50%
vs Similar (21)83.881.1164.9+2.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)96.086.7182.7+9.367%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
94-98
94
98
-4
89avg 71
A29/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
91avg 71
A31/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
83-62
83
62
+21
78avg 71
A05/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
59avg 71
H07/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
87-111
87
111
-24
69avg 71
A14/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
81avg 71
A19/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
78avg 71
H21/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
72-89
72
89
-17
53avg 71
A26/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
72-96
72
96
-24
60avg 71
H28/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
97-83
97
83
+14
96avg 71
H05/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
28-20
20-25
28-25
23-22
24-18
18-24
21-22
19-20
25-15
21-16
18-11
17-20
20-26
17-27
21-17
17-38
25-30
14-25
31-18
20-25
16-21
26-10
18-27
19-22
21-21
22-21
19-17
14-19
20-25
23-13
15-32
13-19
14-31
19-18
26-28
32-20
22-22
23-16
20-25
174.9Avg total
84.4Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)79.286.9166.1-7.618%
Season at home (19)80.284.4164.5-4.221%
Season away (19)78.389.4167.7-11.116%
Last 10 (10)84.490.5174.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)82.088.4170.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)78.489.0167.3-10.610%
vs Similar (9)83.386.1169.4-2.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
KretingaAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H07/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A19/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/02
NKL
73.9Avg total
35.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.780.6-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.438.879.1+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.481.9-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.073.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.545.580.0-11.033%-
vs Similar (21)40.239.379.6+0.952%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)48.740.789.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A29/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A31/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
42-68
42
68
-26
A14/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A19/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A26/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H28/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H05/03
NKL
86.9Avg total
40.7Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.644.583.2-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.044.283.2-5.223%-
Last 30 away (17)38.444.883.2-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)40.746.286.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.083.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.245.183.3-6.919%-
vs Similar (9)39.743.282.9-3.644%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.8
54.3%
54.5%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.4
25.0%
32.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws18.612.4
66.7%
69.3%12.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.3
53.3%
54.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.3
29.6%
32.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.815.6
65.5%
69.3%15.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WLWWLLWLLW
Alytaus Alytus
WLLLLLLWLL
#9
League position
#17
-5.5
Net rating
-7.0
85.9
Offensive rating
92.1
91.4
Defensive rating
99.1
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
25.0%
3-point %
29.6%
55.8%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 92.1Defence91.4 · 99.1Shooting48.8% · 50.1%3-point %25.0% · 29.6%Ball care17.0% · 14.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Kretinga   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kretinga wins
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HSilute93-76
26/02/26ANeptunas 258-86
22/02/26HOmega-Tauras85-80
19/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga68-61
14/02/26APlunges Olimpas73-75
07/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas 264-104
05/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga82-80 OT
31/01/26HNeptunas 277-88
29/01/26AVytis VDU79-84
24/01/26HVilkaviskis83-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HBC Olimpas Palanga97-83
28/02/26HPlunges Olimpas72-96
26/02/26ASilute72-89
21/02/26HNeptunas 289-91 OT
19/02/26AOmega-Tauras80-83
14/02/26AJurbarkas87-111
07/02/26HVilkaviskis75-90
05/02/26AUkmerges Stekas83-62
31/01/26APlunges Olimpas95-102 OT
29/01/26ASilute94-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW49%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %49%56%42%
Points / game83.183.982.4
Allowed / game84.982.387.4
Point differential-1.8+1.6-5.0
Avg total168.1166.3169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%39%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (3)56% (9)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW18%
HomeLLLLW21%
AwayLWLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %18%21%16%
Points / game79.280.278.3
Allowed / game86.984.489.4
Point differential-7.6-4.2-11.1
Avg total166.1164.5167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%16%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won8% (13)0% (7)17% (6)
Overtime %8%11%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3731684%90.375.2+15.1
2 Vytis VDU37261170%88.784.8+3.9
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 237261170%87.083.4+3.6
4 Vilkaviskis37211657%81.877.7+4.1
5 Jurbarkas37211657%81.078.3+2.7
6 Kedainiu SC37211657%86.285.4+0.8
7 Neptunas 239221756%79.677.4+2.2
8 Rytas 237201754%82.981.4+1.5
9 Telsiai37201754%84.484.6-0.2
10 Mazeikiai37191851%83.382.0+1.3
11 Kretinga37181949%83.184.9-1.8
12 Silute38162242%86.789.9-3.2
13 Omega-Tauras37152241%84.088.1-4.1
14 BC Olimpas Palanga38142437%79.883.7-3.9
15 Plunges Olimpas38122632%82.886.9-4.2
16 Ukmerges Stekas3892924%79.689.2-9.6
17 Alytaus Alytus3873118%79.286.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga32281823101
Alytaus Alytus2424272297
← all games of the day
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