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Kretinga vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-88
25-24 20-19 15-26 17-19
Position#9
Record14-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game85.9
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record16-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game76.7
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kretinga v Neptunas 2
01 Oct 2026
KRET76
NEPT91
31 Jan 2026
KRET77
NEPT88
01 Mar 2025
KRET79
NEPT90
19 Oct 2024
KRET76
NEPT78
08 Feb 2024
KRET84
NEPT79
18 Nov 2023
KRET90
NEPT68
02 Feb 2023
KRET85
NEPT77
13 Oct 2022
KRET92
NEPT59
10 Feb 2022
KRET75
NEPT78
04 Nov 2021
KRET71
NEPT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 80
A18/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
70avg 80
H20/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 80
A03/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
85-107
85
107
-22
71avg 80
A10/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
68avg 80
H13/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H15/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A17/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
85avg 80
A22/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 80
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 80
A29/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-29
21-13
23-20
22-18
25-35
16-20
19-14
21-24
21-29
25-22
20-22
29-21
13-24
20-34
30-28
22-21
23-22
19-24
21-20
12-23
22-22
33-14
32-17
26-26
26-24
22-21
12-30
27-27
20-14
21-28
17-17
24-18
17-12
20-21
25-22
21-22
15-20
17-24
17-20
30-20
173.8Avg total
85.6Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.485.9171.3-0.648%
Season at home (14)85.181.0166.1+4.157%
Season away (15)85.690.5176.1-4.940%
Last 10 (10)85.688.2173.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)88.883.8172.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.494.7175.1-14.30%
vs Similar (19)84.684.2168.8+0.458%
vs Weaker (4)98.582.8181.2+15.875%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
89avg 71
H13/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 71
A03/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
73-66
73
66
+7
70avg 71
H08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
87-65
87
65
+22
86avg 71
A10/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
109-68
109
68
+41
no box
H15/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
A17/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 71
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
77-56
77
56
+21
71avg 71
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 71
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
104avg 71
H29/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-25
24-15
17-20
21-21
19-18
19-15
15-17
22-18
17-17
20-15
14-16
21-14
18-18
24-14
24-19
23-17
26-14
30-12
30-25
18-21
24-18
25-11
23-15
16-16
17-29
27-15
20-19
17-17
20-16
19-16
21-7
22-23
17-22
23-20
22-17
17-22
25-18
24-11
30-8
156.6Avg total
86.2Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.076.7155.8+2.355%
Season at home (15)80.576.9157.4+3.553%
Season away (14)77.576.5154.0+1.057%
Last 10 (10)86.270.4156.6+15.890%
Last 5 (5)85.468.2153.6+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Similar (14)73.678.9152.5-5.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.574.7159.2+9.960%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +9.1+9.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +5.3+5.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +9.1+9.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +5.3+5.3
KretingaNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H20/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A03/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A10/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/01
NKL
85.8Avg total
40.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.883.1-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.480.7+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.385.5-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.285.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.644.181.7-6.614%-
vs Similar (19)41.241.782.9-0.642%-
vs Weaker (4)48.538.286.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H13/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H15/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A17/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/01
NKL
78.1Avg total
39.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.675.9-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.139.476.5-2.438%-
Last 30 away (14)35.439.875.2-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.378.1+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (14)34.839.374.1-4.529%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.639.376.9-1.740%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.0
54.2%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.8
31.3%
32.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.2%
69.3%15.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.0
51.4%
54.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.8
33.7%
32.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.215.2
68.5%
69.3%15.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWWLWLLWLL
Neptunas 2
WWWWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#4
-4.6
Net rating
+9.5
99.5
Offensive rating
99.4
104.0
Defensive rating
89.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.3%
3-point %
33.7%
54.7%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 99.4Defence104.0 · 89.9Shooting51.5% · 51.0%3-point %31.3% · 33.7%Ball care16.4% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Kretinga   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kretinga wins
6
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Neptunas 2 v Kretinga98-71
01/03/25Kretinga v Neptunas 279-90
14/12/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga97-89
19/10/24Kretinga v Neptunas 276-78
10/02/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga96-84
08/02/24Kretinga v Neptunas 284-79
18/11/23Kretinga v Neptunas 290-68
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
02/02/23Kretinga v Neptunas 285-77
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26AVytis VDU79-84
24/01/26HVilkaviskis83-77
22/01/26APlunges Olimpas82-77
17/01/26ARytas 287-102
15/01/26HUkmerges Stekas113-79
13/01/26HTelsiai75-89
10/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga85-107
03/01/26AMazeikiai95-94
20/12/25HSilute81-93
18/12/25AJurbarkas76-80
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26HOmega-Tauras96-59
24/01/26HJurbarkas84-82
22/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga77-56
20/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 280-79
17/01/26APlunges Olimpas90-65
15/01/26HSilute109-68
10/01/26ATelsiai87-65
08/01/26HMazeikiai73-66
03/01/26ARytas 274-71
13/12/25HUkmerges Stekas92-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%57%40%
Points / game85.485.185.6
Allowed / game85.981.090.5
Point differential-0.6+4.1-4.9
Avg total171.3166.1176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%53%57%
Points / game79.080.577.5
Allowed / game76.776.976.5
Point differential+2.3+3.5+1.0
Avg total155.8157.4154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3026487%90.175.4+14.7
2 Vytis VDU3122971%88.083.7+4.4
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22920969%86.785.0+1.7
4 Kedainiu SC29181162%88.786.8+1.9
5 Telsiai30171357%84.984.4+0.5
6 Neptunas 229161355%79.076.7+2.3
7 Vilkaviskis30161453%82.378.4+4.0
8 Mazeikiai30161453%83.480.7+2.7
9 Rytas 230161453%83.481.1+2.3
10 Jurbarkas30161453%79.577.5+2.0
11 Kretinga29141548%85.485.9-0.6
12 Silute30131743%86.690.0-3.5
13 Omega-Tauras29111838%85.089.8-4.8
14 BC Olimpas Palanga30111937%79.484.3-4.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas2982128%80.789.9-9.2
16 Plunges Olimpas2972224%80.686.8-6.2
17 Alytaus Alytus3052517%78.586.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2520151777
Neptunas 22419261988
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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