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Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 95-99
25-19 20-22 20-27 30-31
Position#15
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game85.7
LithuaniaNKLRound 4· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Oct 2026
KRET95
UKME99
15 Jan 2026
KRET113
UKME79
06 Feb 2025
KRET75
UKME77
26 Oct 2024
KRET69
UKME64
03 Feb 2024
KRET107
UKME92
16 Dec 2023
KRET75
UKME81
11 Mar 2023
KRET63
UKME90
26 Nov 2022
KRET72
UKME85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 76
A19/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
94avg 76
H22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
87avg 76
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
64avg 76
H31/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
96avg 76
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 76
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
67avg 76
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
70avg 76
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 76
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
85-98
85
98
-13
72avg 76
A08/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
13-27
22-16
31-19
21-11
26-20
27-27
20-22
22-25
25-25
23-22
25-19
17-19
22-20
15-23
24-34
19-28
17-19
25-18
30-26
16-21
20-12
20-21
13-21
23-24
19-19
24-22
19-25
21-19
21-31
17-27
17-14
27-22
13-21
12-17
13-24
20-22
19-21
28-27
18-28
174.2Avg total
84.7Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.391.0166.3-15.70%
Season at home (1)76.091.0167.0-15.00%
Season away (2)75.091.0166.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)84.789.5174.2-4.840%
Last 5 (5)76.087.6163.6-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.892.8172.6-12.917%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.282.9165.1-0.760%
vs Weaker (3)107.093.0200.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
80-94
80
94
-14
60avg 72
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 72
A26/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 72
H03/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 72
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
93avg 72
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
92-101
92
101
-9
81avg 72
A12/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
89avg 72
H14/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
81avg 72
H01/10
NKL
Silute
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 72
A03/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
108-87
108
87
+21
104avg 72
H08/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
21-20
27-18
21-27
21-19
14-26
23-22
24-31
19-29
13-21
18-19
29-18
29-25
19-24
19-24
16-14
13-24
26-18
24-31
20-10
31-25
16-29
26-23
19-24
19-17
21-28
21-21
29-24
25-22
21-17
17-23
17-18
21-17
17-21
19-17
15-25
25-23
31-20
30-28
22-16
181.0Avg total
88.5Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.785.7175.3+4.033%
Season at home (2)98.588.5187.0+10.050%
Season away (1)72.080.0152.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)88.592.5181.0-4.020%
Last 5 (5)92.893.0185.8-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)81.089.0170.0-7.922%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.092.3171.3-13.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
KretingaUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A19/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A27/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H31/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A04/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/04
NKL
Neptunas 2
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/10
NKL
83.9Avg total
40.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.683.0-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.141.483.5+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)38.843.882.6-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.183.9-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.482.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.844.881.7-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.641.181.7-0.540%-
vs Weaker (3)53.341.394.7+12.0100%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H03/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A12/03
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H14/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/10
NKL
Silute
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A03/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H08/10
NKL
86.7Avg total
41.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.044.182.0-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.543.480.9-5.929%-
Last 30 away (16)38.444.683.0-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.486.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.889.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)37.443.580.9-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.349.092.3-5.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.9
52.6%
54.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws25.716.9
65.8%
67.1%16.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.224.8
50.4%
54.5%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.3
32.8%
31.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.814.0
67.3%
67.1%14.0
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLLLLWLWWW
Ukmerges Stekas
WLLLLWLLLL
#15
League position
#14
-5.3
Net rating
-3.9
93.3
Offensive rating
91.8
98.6
Defensive rating
95.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.0%
3-point %
32.8%
53.2%
Assist %
53.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 91.8Defence98.6 · 95.7Shooting50.9% · 50.0%3-point %32.0% · 32.8%Ball care14.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Kretinga   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kretinga wins
6
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26APlunges Olimpas85-98
03/10/26AVilkaviskis65-84
01/10/26HNeptunas 276-91
10/04/26AVytis VDU85-90
08/04/26HVytis VDU69-75
04/04/26AVytis VDU107-103 OT
31/03/26HVytis VDU78-96
27/03/26AVytis VDU95-91
22/03/26HRytas 294-80
19/03/26ARytas 293-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 2108-87
03/10/26ASilute72-80
01/10/26HVytis VDU89-90 OT
14/03/26HKretinga103-107 OT
12/03/26AAlytaus Alytus92-101
07/03/26ABC Olimpas Palanga97-94 OT
05/03/26HOmega-Tauras83-87
03/03/26HJurbarkas79-87
26/02/26APlunges Olimpas82-98
21/02/26HSilute80-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.376.075.0
Allowed / game91.091.091.0
Point differential-15.7-15.0-16.0
Avg total166.3167.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game89.798.572.0
Allowed / game85.788.580.0
Point differential+4.0+10.0-8.0
Avg total175.3187.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas330100%95.374.7+20.7
2 Omega-Tauras330100%100.784.0+16.7
3 Telsiai330100%88.073.0+15.0
4 Suduva-Mantinga110100%87.080.0+7.0
5 Vytis VDU220100%89.086.5+2.5
6 BC Olimpas Palanga43175%90.278.5+11.8
7 Vilkaviskis32167%90.782.7+8.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 232167%100.798.3+2.3
9 Silute32167%77.376.7+0.7
10 Ukmerges Stekas31233%89.785.7+4.0
11 Neptunas 231233%82.380.0+2.3
12 Plunges Olimpas31233%84.389.0-4.7
13 Mazeikiai31233%72.380.3-8.0
14 Kedainiai BC31233%79.093.7-14.7
15 Rytas 24040%80.292.0-11.8
16 Kretinga3030%75.391.0-15.7
17 Kauno Atletas2020%77.093.0-16.0
18 Alytaus Patriotai3030%77.097.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2520203095
Ukmerges Stekas1922273199
← all games of the day
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