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Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 107-92
20-23 25-23 35-21 27-25
Position#8
Record11-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#5
Record16-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.3
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Oct 2026
KRET95
UKME99
15 Jan 2026
KRET113
UKME79
06 Feb 2025
KRET75
UKME77
26 Oct 2024
KRET69
UKME64
03 Feb 2024
KRET107
UKME92
16 Dec 2023
KRET75
UKME81
11 Mar 2023
KRET63
UKME90
26 Nov 2022
KRET72
UKME85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
no box
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 68
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
64avg 68
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 68
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 68
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
72-101
72
101
-29
61avg 68
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 68
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 68
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 68
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-110
78
110
-32
56avg 68
A01/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
18-7
18-14
10-17
23-22
27-14
9-27
16-18
20-19
23-21
15-30
9-25
22-22
23-22
26-16
14-18
28-19
22-18
19-17
20-28
24-23
17-22
15-27
16-29
5-9
24-22
17-19
19-31
24-16
23-28
19-19
18-20
22-20
26-20
12-16
19-10
21-30
18-21
18-30
21-29
161.7Avg total
76.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.282.7159.9-5.537%
Season at home (15)77.482.7160.1-5.333%
Season away (15)76.982.7159.6-5.740%
Last 10 (10)76.984.8161.7-7.950%
Last 5 (5)75.688.2163.8-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.886.2156.0-16.50%
vs Similar (22)79.981.4161.3-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 69
A16/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
66avg 69
H21/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 69
A23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
79-58
79
58
+21
76avg 69
A04/01
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 69
H06/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
60avg 69
A09/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
97-76
97
76
+21
99avg 69
A18/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 69
A20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 69
A27/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 69
H01/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
14-27
27-9
18-16
15-20
21-20
20-20
15-14
24-25
19-21
16-10
20-19
21-11
19-18
22-10
17-19
16-22
14-20
19-17
21-17
11-20
25-15
14-23
25-16
24-18
18-20
29-23
26-15
27-24
19-11
15-26
21-7
23-23
23-29
15-17
13-19
13-24
22-22
22-15
22-14
152.6Avg total
78.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.076.3152.3-0.353%
Season at home (14)77.674.9152.4+2.757%
Season away (16)74.677.6152.1-3.050%
Last 10 (10)78.773.9152.6+4.870%
Last 5 (5)81.476.2157.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.879.0146.8-11.20%
vs Similar (13)74.278.2152.3-4.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.572.6155.2+9.991%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
KretingaUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H25/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A27/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/02
NKL
82.9Avg total
42.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.780.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.039.579.5+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.441.982.3-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.182.9+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.142.080.1-3.925%-
vs Similar (22)41.040.281.1+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A16/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H21/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A23/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A04/01
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H06/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A18/01
NKL
Silute
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A20/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A27/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H01/02
NKL
80.3Avg total
39.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.677.2-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.137.177.2+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.239.977.1-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.380.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.282.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.339.875.2-4.517%-
vs Similar (13)38.540.078.5-1.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.536.376.7+4.273%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.2
49.3%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.9
35.3%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
70.3%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.2
52.6%
51.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.9
35.2%
33.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.211.4
66.3%
70.3%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWWLLWWLLW
Ukmerges Stekas
WLWWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#5
-11.7
Net rating
+5.5
100.3
Offensive rating
107.4
112.1
Defensive rating
101.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.3%
3-point %
35.2%
59.8%
Assist %
72.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 107.4Defence112.1 · 101.9Shooting50.6% · 52.7%3-point %35.3% · 35.2%Ball care19.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds28.0% · 25.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kretinga wins
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis78-110
27/01/24ARytas 279-66
25/01/24HSilute84-83
20/01/24HKauno Atletas65-81
06/01/24ASuduva-Mantinga72-101
04/01/24HJurbarkas89-82
23/12/23AKauno Atletas85-78
21/12/23HTelsiai67-95
16/12/23HUkmerges Stekas75-81
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-71 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HNeptunas 279-75
27/01/24ADelikatesas Joniskis74-88
20/01/24ASilute82-68
18/01/24ARytas 297-76
09/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas 275-74
06/01/24HTelsiai70-76
04/01/24ASilute79-58
23/12/23AVytis VDU79-75
21/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis71-74
16/12/23AKretinga81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL37%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %37%33%40%
Points / game77.277.476.9
Allowed / game82.782.782.7
Point differential-5.5-5.3-5.7
Avg total159.9160.1159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW53%
HomeWLLLW57%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game76.077.674.6
Allowed / game76.374.977.6
Point differential-0.3+2.7-3.0
Avg total152.3152.4152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3126584%82.171.8+10.3
2 Suduva-Mantinga3125681%86.473.6+12.8
3 Telsiai3023777%82.372.4+9.9
4 Jurbarkas31171455%80.680.0+0.6
5 Ukmerges Stekas30161453%76.076.3-0.3
6 Vilkaviskis31161552%80.682.9-2.3
7 Vytis VDU30151550%85.784.9+0.8
8 Delikatesas Joniskis30151550%79.383.7-4.4
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 230141647%74.673.0+1.6
10 Kauno Atletas30131743%77.078.7-1.7
11 Kretinga30111937%77.282.7-5.5
12 Rytas 23082227%80.989.3-8.4
13 Silute3172423%77.383.2-6.0
14 Neptunas 23172423%76.183.6-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga20253527107
Ukmerges Stekas2323212592
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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