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Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-81
23-22 27-14 9-27 16-18
Position#8
Record7-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.1
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record9-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game77.5
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Oct 2026
KRET95
UKME99
15 Jan 2026
KRET113
UKME79
06 Feb 2025
KRET75
UKME77
26 Oct 2024
KRET69
UKME64
03 Feb 2024
KRET107
UKME92
16 Dec 2023
KRET75
UKME81
11 Mar 2023
KRET63
UKME90
26 Nov 2022
KRET72
UKME85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 68
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
71avg 68
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 68
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 68
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 68
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 68
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
56avg 68
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 68
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
75-83
75
83
-8
71avg 68
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
no box
A14/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
18-16
12-23
19-15
24-26
17-20
18-6
24-22
16-20
20-11
25-21
29-16
21-18
21-24
18-19
12-20
11-15
26-26
21-21
15-22
19-21
21-20
15-17
26-19
15-16
19-18
15-21
17-12
18-22
21-22
21-26
24-17
24-16
11-22
21-18
19-27
18-26
18-7
18-14
10-17
154.5Avg total
77.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.281.1158.3-4.033%
Season at home (10)78.181.9160.0-3.830%
Season away (11)76.480.5156.8-4.136%
Last 10 (10)77.277.3154.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)76.277.0153.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.484.8155.2-14.311%
vs Similar (20)79.281.7160.9-2.540%
vs Weaker (1)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 67
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
58-75
58
75
-17
51avg 67
A11/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
61-79
61
79
-18
54avg 67
H18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 67
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 67
H30/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
53avg 67
H02/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
55avg 67
A06/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
78-64
78
64
+14
70avg 67
H09/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 67
H12/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 67
H14/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
26-8
21-23
16-27
11-20
19-23
19-18
9-14
17-24
19-21
12-16
13-18
21-17
23-15
22-25
22-27
19-17
19-16
23-27
7-16
23-17
12-18
4-12
23-7
14-14
17-26
17-18
22-24
19-19
18-15
23-13
18-17
25-18
21-19
21-24
32-24
24-23
20-22
16-24
20-13
150.2Avg total
74.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.677.5152.1-2.945%
Season at home (11)78.774.8153.5+3.964%
Season away (9)69.680.8150.3-11.222%
Last 10 (10)74.475.8150.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)77.873.4151.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.479.6147.0-12.20%
vs Similar (10)75.378.9154.2-3.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.578.9163.3+5.660%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
KretingaUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/12
NKL
77.5Avg total
38.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.080.2-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.442.180.4-3.714%-
Last 30 away (16)38.141.979.9-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.377.5-1.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.074.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.643.777.2-10.10%-
vs Similar (20)40.240.680.9-0.440%-
vs Weaker (1)39.053.092.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H14/12
NKL
75.5Avg total
38.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.778.0+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.436.479.8+7.075%-
Last 30 away (14)36.939.276.1-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.175.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.439.475.8-3.020%-
vs Similar (10)37.338.776.0-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.736.580.1+7.280%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.3
47.1%
51.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.113.6
67.7%
70.3%13.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.2
50.6%
51.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.1
32.6%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.612.3
66.1%
70.3%12.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WLLLWLLWWL
Ukmerges Stekas
LWWLWLWLLW
#8
League position
#5
-1.7
Net rating
-0.3
99.0
Offensive rating
103.4
100.7
Defensive rating
103.6
48.0%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.9%
3-point %
32.6%
65.2%
Assist %
71.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 103.4Defence100.7 · 103.6Shooting48.0% · 49.8%3-point %32.9% · 32.6%Ball care16.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Kretinga   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kretinga wins
4
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga82-64
11/03/23Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas63-90
04/02/23Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga94-75
22/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga74-90
26/11/22Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas72-85
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas 275-71 OT
09/12/23HVilkaviskis75-83
07/12/23HSilute84-87
02/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-67
30/11/23HRytas 281-77
25/11/23HVytis VDU73-84
23/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis72-81
18/11/23HNeptunas 290-68
16/11/23ANeptunas 283-74
11/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-81
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga80-82
12/12/23HVilkaviskis99-85
09/12/23HNeptunas 278-64
06/12/23AKauno Atletas70-82
02/12/23HJurbarkas62-54
30/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga68-76
25/11/23HRytas 288-84
18/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 261-79
11/11/23ATelsiai58-75
09/11/23HSilute80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%30%36%
Points / game77.278.176.4
Allowed / game81.181.980.5
Point differential-4.0-3.8-4.1
Avg total158.3160.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%64%22%
Points / game74.678.769.6
Allowed / game77.574.880.8
Point differential-2.9+3.9-11.2
Avg total152.1153.5150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1917289%85.272.2+13.1
2 Telsiai2016480%83.873.0+10.8
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2217577%81.172.5+8.7
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 22112957%76.773.9+2.8
5 Jurbarkas2112957%79.576.8+2.7
6 Vytis VDU1810856%86.484.7+1.7
7 Vilkaviskis21111052%82.782.3+0.3
8 Ukmerges Stekas2091145%74.677.5-2.9
9 Kauno Atletas2191243%76.378.7-2.4
10 Delikatesas Joniskis1981142%76.883.7-6.9
11 Kretinga2171433%77.281.1-4.0
12 Rytas 22061430%80.288.6-8.4
13 Silute2261627%77.783.0-5.4
14 Neptunas 22131814%75.885.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga232791675
Ukmerges Stekas2214271881
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