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Kretinga vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 72-88
16-25 17-25 24-20 15-18
Position#8
Record17-22
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game82.6
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#10
Record16-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game73.9
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
24 Oct 2026
KRET85
ZALG101
07 Feb 2026
KRET64
ZALG104
10 Oct 2024
KRET65
ZALG90
09 Mar 2024
KRET72
ZALG88
26 Oct 2023
KRET77
ZALG98
10 Nov 2022
KRET80
ZALG103
08 Jan 2022
KRET55
ZALG82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
78-110
78
110
-32
56avg 71
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
100avg 71
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 71
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
79avg 71
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 71
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
67avg 71
A22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
89-88
89
88
+1
83avg 71
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-74
89
74
+15
86avg 71
H29/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
89-67
89
67
+22
78avg 71
A02/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
53avg 71
A07/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
18-21
18-30
21-29
20-23
25-23
35-21
27-25
26-19
26-25
15-21
17-14
17-23
16-34
27-22
24-17
25-17
15-27
19-23
25-20
26-29
12-17
17-27
24-20
23-18
18-33
17-18
31-19
20-23
26-10
26-20
17-21
15-11
27-20
14-20
33-16
19-12
13-15
16-14
19-23
170.0Avg total
85.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)79.282.6161.7-3.444%
Season at home (19)80.582.8163.4-2.347%
Season away (20)77.882.3160.2-4.540%
Last 10 (10)85.085.0170.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)82.677.2159.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.087.1164.1-10.114%
vs Similar ◀ (23)81.080.3161.3+0.761%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
56avg 67
H27/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
61-64
61
64
-3
56avg 67
H03/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
89avg 67
H08/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 67
A10/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 67
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
61avg 67
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 67
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 67
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 67
A02/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
64-67
64
67
-3
54avg 67
H07/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
24-22
18-14
16-19
15-17
14-14
9-13
23-20
25-16
22-26
22-17
25-28
15-25
22-23
20-20
22-26
23-17
26-14
19-22
19-31
22-21
20-13
13-18
15-21
19-23
19-23
16-11
9-24
18-16
16-22
16-21
15-20
16-14
14-12
12-17
14-18
12-19
15-13
14-16
23-19
147.7Avg total
71.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)73.873.9147.7-0.141%
Season at home (20)73.573.5147.1-0.040%
Season away (19)74.174.2148.3-0.142%
Last 10 (10)71.076.7147.7-5.720%
Last 5 (5)63.672.2135.8-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.273.6138.8-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.373.7148.0+0.638%
vs Weaker (4)84.271.8156.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
KretingaZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H29/02
NKL
Silute
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A02/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/03
NKL
83.8Avg total
40.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.681.7+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.439.581.9+2.947%-
Last 30 away (13)39.342.081.3-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.083.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.677.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.941.483.3+0.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)40.840.381.2+0.548%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A10/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A02/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/03
NKL
74.2Avg total
37.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.972.8-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.435.370.7+0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)36.538.474.9-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.274.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.269.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.537.970.4-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.936.173.0+0.844%-
vs Weaker (4)41.037.278.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.321.6
47.7%
51.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.2
29.8%
33.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws29.122.0
75.6%
70.3%22.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.4
49.9%
51.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.05.2
23.6%
33.3%15.6
🏀 Free throws22.913.8
60.3%
70.3%13.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WWWWLLLWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLLLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#10
-0.5
Net rating
-7.2
105.5
Offensive rating
95.0
106.1
Defensive rating
102.1
46.7%
Effective FG%
44.8%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.0%
Turnover %
22.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
38.2%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.8%
3-point %
23.6%
56.8%
Assist %
55.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 95.0Defence106.1 · 102.1Shooting46.7% · 44.8%3-point %29.8% · 23.6%Ball care16.0% · 22.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 38.2%Free throws0.44 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Kretinga   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kretinga wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
07/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga64-67
14/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75 OT
26/10/23Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 277-98
12/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75
10/11/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 280-103
08/01/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 255-82
06/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga83-64
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas 267-64
02/03/24ASilute89-67
29/02/24HRytas 289-74
24/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis89-88
22/02/24AUkmerges Stekas79-93
17/02/24AKauno Atletas84-87
10/02/24ANeptunas 284-96
08/02/24HNeptunas 284-79
03/02/24HUkmerges Stekas107-92
01/02/24ADelikatesas Joniskis78-110
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HKretinga64-67
02/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga56-61
29/02/24HTelsiai65-79
22/02/24ASuduva-Mantinga63-81
17/02/24AVilkaviskis70-73
15/02/24HJurbarkas87-84
10/02/24AVytis VDU79-94
08/02/24HVytis VDU94-87
03/02/24HSuduva-Mantinga61-64
27/01/24HBC Olimpas Palanga71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %44%47%40%
Points / game79.280.577.8
Allowed / game82.682.882.3
Point differential-3.4-2.3-4.5
Avg total161.7163.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)80% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %41%40%42%
Points / game73.873.574.1
Allowed / game73.973.574.2
Point differential-0.1-0.1-0.1
Avg total147.7147.1148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won24% (17)20% (10)29% (7)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga3832684%81.672.1+9.5
2 Telsiai3830879%83.172.5+10.6
3 Suduva-Mantinga3829976%83.973.8+10.1
4 Ukmerges Stekas40221855%77.276.3+0.9
5 Jurbarkas38191950%80.980.9+0.1
6 Delikatesas Joniskis40202050%81.484.3-3.0
7 Vytis VDU39192049%85.585.9-0.5
8 Vilkaviskis39182146%79.181.7-2.6
9 Kretinga39172244%79.282.6-3.4
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 239162341%73.873.9-0.1
11 Kauno Atletas39152438%76.779.2-2.5
12 Neptunas 238122632%78.484.1-5.7
13 Rytas 239122731%81.788.8-7.1
14 Silute38102826%78.384.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1617241572
Zalgiris Kaunas 22525201888
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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