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Kretinga vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-90
10-24 11-21 21-21 23-24
Position#13
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game86.0
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game78.5
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
24 Oct 2026
KRET85
ZALG101
07 Feb 2026
KRET64
ZALG104
10 Oct 2024
KRET65
ZALG90
09 Mar 2024
KRET72
ZALG88
26 Oct 2023
KRET77
ZALG98
10 Nov 2022
KRET80
ZALG103
08 Jan 2022
KRET55
ZALG82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
46avg 68
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
69avg 68
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
55-71
55
71
-16
34avg 68
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
64-62
64
62
+2
54avg 68
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
76avg 68
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 68
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
56avg 68
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
71avg 68
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
86avg 68
H03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
72avg 68
A05/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
16-24
8-22
23-13
22-18
17-22
24-20
19-18
9-22
10-13
15-14
21-22
25-23
24-11
12-18
3-10
29-24
21-12
20-19
17-23
18-23
21-31
21-18
16-12
14-22
23-27
18-24
21-20
13-18
16-25
22-15
33-31
25-14
24-22
20-30
24-19
17-22
19-14
26-28
24-23
157.1Avg total
76.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.586.0175.5+3.550%
Season at home (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)86.087.0173.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)76.280.9157.1-4.740%
Last 5 (5)83.087.6170.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.581.5159.9-3.062%
vs Similar (17)80.882.9163.8-2.153%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 67
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
70-73
70
73
-3
61avg 67
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 67
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 67
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 67
A02/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
64-67
64
67
-3
54avg 67
H07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
88-72
88
72
+16
88avg 67
A09/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 67
H11/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
57avg 67
A03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
59avg 67
H05/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
26-14
19-22
19-31
22-21
20-13
13-18
15-21
19-23
19-23
16-11
9-24
18-16
16-22
16-21
15-20
16-14
14-12
12-17
14-18
12-19
15-13
14-16
23-19
25-16
25-17
20-24
18-15
21-25
23-17
21-13
18-32
22-22
18-20
7-18
24-21
16-14
16-15
13-24
18-23
147.1Avg total
71.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.078.5145.5-11.50%
Season at home (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Season away (1)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)71.076.1147.1-5.120%
Last 5 (5)73.876.6150.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.974.9138.8-11.010%
vs Similar (17)75.175.5150.6-0.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.070.0153.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -5.1-5.1
KretingaZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
NKL
78.5Avg total
37.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.780.9-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.842.580.3-4.631%-
Last 30 away (17)40.241.281.4-1.035%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.078.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.681.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.240.278.4-2.123%-
vs Similar (17)39.942.982.8-2.941%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H15/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H29/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A02/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A09/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H11/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/10
NKL
73.9Avg total
38.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.537.173.5-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.935.971.9+0.040%-
Last 30 away (15)37.038.275.2-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.373.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.674.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.937.469.3-5.520%-
vs Similar (17)38.237.175.3+1.141%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.035.777.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.5
46.4%
52.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.6
27.8%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.014.7
70.0%
70.5%14.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.0
25.6%
32.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.613.4
62.0%
70.5%13.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LWLLLWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLLWLLLLLW
#13
League position
#2
-5.4
Net rating
-7.1
100.8
Offensive rating
94.3
106.1
Defensive rating
101.5
44.6%
Effective FG%
45.9%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
23.3%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.8%
3-point %
25.6%
53.1%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 94.3Defence106.1 · 101.5Shooting44.6% · 45.9%3-point %27.8% · 25.6%Ball care14.4% · 23.3%Off. rebounds30.6% · 35.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Kretinga   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kretinga wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
11/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga83-87
09/03/24Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 272-88
07/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga64-67
14/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75 OT
26/10/23Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 277-98
12/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75
10/11/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 280-103
08/01/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 255-82
06/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga83-64
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AJurbarkas86-87
03/10/24HVilkaviskis93-85
28/04/24HJurbarkas84-89
25/04/24AJurbarkas76-93
20/04/24HJurbarkas76-84
17/04/24AJurbarkas87-78
11/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga64-62
09/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga55-71
06/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga82-78
04/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga59-82
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HTelsiai63-76
03/10/24AUkmerges Stekas71-81
11/03/24HKretinga83-87
09/03/24AKretinga88-72
07/03/24HKretinga64-67
02/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga56-61
29/02/24HTelsiai65-79
22/02/24ASuduva-Mantinga63-81
17/02/24AVilkaviskis70-73
15/02/24HJurbarkas87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game89.593.086.0
Allowed / game86.085.087.0
Point differential+3.5+8.0-1.0
Avg total175.5178.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.063.071.0
Allowed / game78.576.081.0
Point differential-11.5-13.0-10.0
Avg total145.5139.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Omega-Tauras330100%88.772.3+16.3
2 Ukmerges Stekas220100%87.072.0+15.0
3 Neptunas 2220100%84.070.0+14.0
4 Telsiai330100%80.768.7+12.0
5 Vytis VDU110100%90.085.0+5.0
6 Jurbarkas32167%83.781.7+2.0
7 Vilkaviskis32167%84.082.7+1.3
8 BC Olimpas Palanga21150%82.569.5+13.0
9 Suduva-Mantinga21150%87.076.0+11.0
10 Kretinga21150%89.586.0+3.5
11 Silute31233%80.084.0-4.0
12 Rytas 231233%69.081.3-12.3
13 Alytaus Alytus3030%74.085.0-11.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas 22020%67.078.5-11.5
15 Delikatesas Joniskis3030%69.787.0-17.3
16 Plunges Olimpas3030%66.084.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1011212365
Zalgiris Kaunas 22421212490
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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