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Kvarner vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-73
20-19 23-9 19-25 18-20
Position#1
Record19-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game72.8
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
vs
Mladost
Croatia
Position#11
Record7-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 22· Dvorana Mladosti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kvarner v Mladost
09 Mar 2024
KVAR80
MLAD73
20 Nov 2022
KVAR86
MLAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 86
A13/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 86
A21/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
89-56
89
56
+33
86avg 86
A24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
96-56
96
56
+40
92avg 86
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
85-69
85
69
+16
85avg 86
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
92-70
92
70
+22
82avg 86
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
67-82
67
82
-15
62avg 86
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
86avg 86
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-78
72
78
-6
54avg 86
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
102-69
102
69
+33
111avg 86
A03/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
28-13
27-21
19-18
22-21
14-22
25-20
25-19
18-16
14-9
27-15
30-16
24-14
21-19
26-15
25-8
19-25
20-14
24-12
22-18
22-15
14-18
34-21
22-16
20-19
11-16
11-27
25-20
21-18
32-18
12-16
27-24
30-11
15-23
14-24
13-20
36-23
22-14
19-20
25-12
157.9Avg total
86.9Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.872.8163.6+18.090%
Season at home (10)90.670.0160.6+20.690%
Season away (11)90.975.4166.3+15.591%
Last 10 (10)86.971.0157.9+15.980%
Last 5 (5)85.075.0160.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.078.2149.2-7.220%
vs Similar (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.672.2161.7+17.487%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 71
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 71
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 71
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-101
70
101
-31
68avg 71
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
92-113
92
113
-21
84avg 71
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
52avg 71
A10/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 71
H18/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 71
A24/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 71
H03/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
99avg 71
H06/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
19-27
23-22
22-27
12-17
17-29
30-12
18-27
25-21
23-19
9-13
25-20
19-22
19-30
16-31
16-18
21-31
28-36
26-25
17-21
16-32
10-14
22-13
18-25
28-23
33-22
14-18
17-22
18-20
21-18
20-14
10-32
17-20
26-3
20-19
15-17
21-19
25-26
26-17
26-22
166.7Avg total
80.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.084.6163.6-5.533%
Season at home (11)78.782.3161.0-3.545%
Season away (10)79.487.1166.5-7.720%
Last 10 (10)80.985.8166.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)80.679.2159.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.292.4169.5-15.28%
vs Similar (10)85.084.5169.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (7)92.378.1170.4+14.186%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -4.7-4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -4.7-4.7
KvarnerMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A13/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A21/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A24/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/02
Prva Liga
Cibona
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Crikvenica
#12
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A18/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A03/03
Prva Liga
76.5Avg total
41.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.180.6+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.635.478.9+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)43.439.182.5+4.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.876.5+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.079.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.038.072.0-4.020%-
vs Similar (1)45.035.080.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.336.581.8+8.978%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H18/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H03/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H06/03
Prva Liga
86.2Avg total
41.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.687.6+0.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.942.286.1+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.989.0-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.944.386.2-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.482.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.247.286.4-8.138%-
vs Similar (10)45.642.788.3+2.970%-
vs Weaker (7)50.738.088.7+12.7100%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.5
54.3%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.4
37.1%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
71.2%12.1
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.822.4
51.1%
52.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.9
30.7%
32.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
71.2%14.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
WLWLWWWWWW
Mladost
WWLWLLLWLL
#1
League position
#11
+21.0
Net rating
-7.0
115.2
Offensive rating
104.0
94.2
Defensive rating
111.0
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.1%
3-point %
30.7%
68.0%
Assist %
60.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 104.0Defence94.2 · 111.0Shooting54.9% · 49.4%3-point %37.1% · 30.7%Ball care14.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Kvarner   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kvarner wins
0
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Mladost v Kvarner66-87
19/02/23Mladost v Kvarner88-95
20/11/22Kvarner v Mladost86-76
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AHermes102-69
24/02/24HOsijek72-78
18/02/24ACrikvenica92-76
14/02/24HCibona67-82
10/02/24HJazine92-70
04/02/24AKK Zagreb85-69
28/01/24HMarsonia96-56
24/01/24APodstrana89-56
21/01/24ASamobor86-82
13/01/24AOmis88-72
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HHermes98-84
03/03/24HOmis78-59
24/02/24AGorica69-84
18/02/24HStoja92-85
10/02/24AKastela66-84
06/02/24ASamobor92-113
24/01/24AOsijek70-101
21/01/24HCrikvenica82-73
14/01/24HJazine77-85
23/12/23AKK Zagreb85-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW90%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %90%90%91%
Points / game90.890.690.9
Allowed / game72.870.075.4
Point differential+18.0+20.6+15.5
Avg total163.6160.6166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%80%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW33%
HomeLWWWW45%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%45%20%
Points / game79.078.779.4
Allowed / game84.682.387.1
Point differential-5.5-3.5-7.7
Avg total163.6161.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner2119290%90.872.8+18.0
2 Osijek2119290%86.974.3+12.6
3 Gorica2216673%81.374.4+6.9
4 KK Zagreb2214864%79.072.0+7.0
5 Samobor2113862%83.882.6+1.2
6 Kastela2213959%79.874.1+5.7
7 Jazine2011955%87.385.0+2.4
8 Hermes2191243%90.190.6-0.5
9 Omis2291341%76.581.0-4.5
10 Marsonia2071335%79.585.4-5.8
11 Mladost2171433%79.084.6-5.5
12 Crikvenica2251723%73.685.0-11.4
13 Podstrana2141719%70.885.2-14.4
14 Stoja2231914%78.790.3-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner2023191880
Mladost199252073
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