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KK Zagreb vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-85
14-21 27-19 22-23 27-22
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#11
Record3-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game83.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 12· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2023-24
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Mladost
25 Oct 2025
KK Z72
MLAD67
12 Jan 2025
KK Z79
MLAD66
23 Dec 2023
KK Z90
MLAD85
18 Jan 2023
KK Z86
MLAD63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
78-61
78
61
+17
77avg 79
A14/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
78-36
78
36
+42
82avg 79
H22/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 79
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 79
A12/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 79
H19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 79
H26/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
104-76
104
76
+28
98avg 79
A03/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 79
H09/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
81-101
81
101
-20
71avg 79
A18/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
21-19
23-14
25-10
21-20
25-8
19-4
13-4
18-17
18-19
17-21
24-26
16-18
24-24
19-17
16-16
31-10
14-18
15-21
17-22
17-18
24-18
22-9
19-21
15-17
25-14
19-17
20-25
22-13
28-17
22-20
32-26
21-18
16-18
11-18
21-21
23-27
25-19
18-24
15-31
153.1Avg total
81.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.571.9154.4+10.573%
Season at home (6)81.766.5148.2+15.283%
Season away (5)83.478.4161.8+5.060%
Last 10 (10)81.072.1153.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)83.078.2161.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.981.6148.5-14.78%
vs Similar (9)78.272.3150.6+5.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.370.1154.4+14.289%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
63avg 68
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
87-107
87
107
-20
76avg 68
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 68
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
76-98
76
98
-22
67avg 68
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 68
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
47avg 68
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 68
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
60avg 68
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 68
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
72avg 68
H16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
14-23
21-26
14-18
25-36
20-30
21-16
21-25
19-22
28-15
12-29
23-23
30-23
17-22
14-25
15-28
28-19
21-18
24-15
21-16
11-17
23-16
9-24
20-25
22-17
17-17
12-21
23-23
11-23
21-22
25-26
9-16
24-18
26-19
6-19
11-16
29-16
14-22
22-8
15-20
160.5Avg total
76.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.483.5160.8-6.127%
Season at home (6)73.286.5159.7-13.317%
Season away (5)82.479.8162.2+2.640%
Last 10 (10)76.184.4160.5-8.320%
Last 5 (5)70.077.0147.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.589.0162.5-15.50%
vs Similar (12)84.985.1170.0-0.242%
vs Weaker (8)95.678.5174.1+17.188%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.8-3.8
KK ZagrebMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H22/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A03/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/12
Prva Liga
76.3Avg total
41.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.477.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.576.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.378.4+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.076.3+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.879.0+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.840.176.8-3.333%-
vs Similar (9)41.236.677.8+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.634.678.1+9.089%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/12
Prva Liga
84.8Avg total
42.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.086.6+2.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.186.9+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)44.342.086.3+2.373%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.584.8-0.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.477.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.144.183.2-5.040%-
vs Similar (12)44.642.987.5+1.775%-
vs Weaker (8)51.238.189.4+13.1100%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.1
52.8%
52.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.4
34.8%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.2
74.3%
71.2%14.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.322.8
50.3%
52.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.6
28.4%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.011.5
63.9%
71.2%11.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
LLWWWWWLWW
Mladost
WLLLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#11
+14.4
Net rating
-8.2
106.9
Offensive rating
95.5
92.5
Defensive rating
103.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
21.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.8%
3-point %
28.4%
66.7%
Assist %
57.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 95.5Defence92.5 · 103.7Shooting52.5% · 47.7%3-point %34.8% · 28.4%Ball care19.3% · 21.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
KK Zagreb wins
1
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23KK Zagreb v Mladost86-63
09/10/22Mladost v KK Zagreb104-68
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23AHermes81-101
09/12/23HOsijek69-75
03/12/23ACrikvenica104-76
26/11/23HJazine79-73
19/11/23HSamobor82-66
12/11/23AMarsonia77-71
04/11/23HPodstrana85-79 OT
28/10/23AKvarner77-83
22/10/23HOmis78-36
14/10/23AGorica78-61
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HMarsonia80-66
10/12/23APodstrana67-72
02/12/23HKvarner66-87
25/11/23AOmis74-78
19/11/23HGorica63-82
11/11/23AStoja94-68
04/11/23HKastela76-98
27/10/23HSamobor82-89
21/10/23AHermes87-107
14/10/23HOsijek72-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game82.581.783.4
Allowed / game71.966.578.4
Point differential+10.5+15.2+5.0
Avg total154.4148.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%17%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%17%40%
Points / game77.473.282.4
Allowed / game83.586.579.8
Point differential-6.1-13.3+2.6
Avg total160.8159.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1211192%92.075.1+16.9
2 Osijek1211192%87.773.9+13.8
3 KK Zagreb118373%82.571.9+10.5
4 Kastela127558%81.676.7+4.9
5 Gorica127558%78.074.1+3.9
6 Samobor127558%80.782.5-1.8
7 Hermes126650%90.388.3+2.0
8 Omis126650%77.378.2-0.8
9 Jazine126650%85.388.6-3.2
10 Podstrana124833%73.282.8-9.5
11 Mladost113827%77.483.5-6.1
12 Marsonia123925%80.586.8-6.2
13 Stoja1221017%80.389.0-8.7
14 Crikvenica1221017%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb1427222790
Mladost2119232285
← all games of the day
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