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Lafayette vs Niagara Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 27 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Scheduled
Position#202
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game67.2
vs
Position#383
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game84.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lafayette v Niagara
27 Nov 2026
LAFA v NIAG
upcoming
30 Nov 2024
LAFA59
NIAG47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lafayette win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H22/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A03/11
NCAA
Kings (PA) Monarchs
#440
W
104-67
104
67
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
57-67 OT
57
67
-10
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
W
89-46
89
46
+43
H11/11
NCAA
Penn St. Lehigh Valley
#464
W
89-46
89
46
+43
H11/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
30-41
31-25
39-44
37-26
46-51
39-34
38-48
34-54
26-42
55-31
49-36
24-31
31-24
54-16
35-30
54-16
35-30
29-35
29-46
145.4Avg total
74.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.267.2143.3+9.050%
Season at home (3)94.053.0147.0+41.0100%
Season away (3)58.381.3139.7-23.00%
Last 10 (10)74.870.6145.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)79.461.4140.8+18.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.575.8142.2-9.225%
vs Similar (15)70.675.0145.6-4.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)89.046.0135.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H01/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
46-91
46
91
-45
A03/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#83
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-36
31-20
27-35
42-41
34-30
36-38
31-31
32-45
28-27
34-40
31-32
37-36
28-30
38-43
30-43
16-48
34-42
33-31
31-44
45-44
139.6Avg total
65.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)63.084.0147.0-21.00%
Season at home (1)67.073.0140.0-6.00%
Season away (2)61.089.5150.5-28.50%
Last 10 (10)65.274.4139.6-9.220%
Last 5 (5)66.680.2146.8-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)62.575.0137.5-12.512%
vs Similar (4)65.866.2132.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (1)62.067.0129.0-5.00%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -4.2-4.2
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -4.2-4.2
LafayetteNiagara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H28/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Butler
#200
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A03/11
NCAA
Kings (PA) Monarchs
#440
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H05/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#78
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
W
54-16
54
16
+38
H11/11
NCAA
Penn St. Lehigh Valley
#464
W
54-16
54
16
+38
H11/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#100
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
38.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.368.5-0.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.932.069.9+5.947%-
Last 30 away (15)30.536.567.1-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)38.830.269.0+8.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.225.869.0+17.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.735.065.7-4.317%-
vs Similar (15)33.036.369.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)54.016.070.0+38.0100%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A03/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#83
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
29.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.634.465.0-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.232.664.8-0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)29.435.865.2-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)29.835.064.8-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.269.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.635.665.2-6.021%-
vs Similar (4)34.233.067.2+1.275%-
vs Weaker (1)28.027.055.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lafayette wins
0
Niagara wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Lafayette v Niagara59-47
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASt. Bonaventure58-81
11/11/26HPenn St. Lehigh Valley89-46
11/11/26HPenn State89-46
07/11/26ASaint Josephs Hawks57-67 OT
05/11/26HKings (PA) Monarchs104-67
03/11/26AButler60-96
04/03/26HHoly Cross77-82
28/02/26HArmy83-77
26/02/26AColgate70-69
22/02/26HAmerican University61-75
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABowling Green76-88
07/11/26HMorgan State67-73
03/11/26AWest Virginia46-91
01/03/26HMerrimack Warriors66-73
27/02/26HQuinnipiac78-76 OT
22/02/26ARider62-67
21/02/26AMount St. Mary's63-76
15/02/26HIona70-68
13/02/26HManhattan69-76
07/02/26AQuinnipiac55-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lafayette
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.294.058.3
Allowed / game67.253.081.3
Point differential+9.0+41.0-23.0
Avg total143.3147.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%33%
Niagara
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.067.061.0
Allowed / game84.073.089.5
Point differential-21.0-6.0-28.5
Avg total147.0140.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy54180%69.265.8+3.4
2 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
3 Army42250%75.566.2+9.2
4 Lafayette63350%76.267.2+9.0
5 Lehigh42250%64.570.2-5.8
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland51420%68.473.0-4.6
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell4040%62.287.5-25.2
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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