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Lancut vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-88
16-20 11-26 21-26 30-16
Position#16
Record4-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Lublin 🏆
Poland
Position#7
Record9-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game88.6
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 18· MOSiR Lancut
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lancut v Lublin
19 Jan 2024
LANC78
LUB88
11 Mar 2023
LANC74
LUB72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 75
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 75
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 75
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 75
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
118-115
118
115
+3
116avg 75
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
100-87
100
87
+13
96avg 75
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
82avg 75
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
74-96
74
96
-22
70avg 75
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
57avg 75
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-26
19-16
22-21
19-15
20-29
15-23
24-20
21-17
11-26
17-20
20-18
17-29
33-22
12-21
16-22
34-16
29-26
28-32
27-41
22-18
25-30
20-11
20-28
32-16
15-24
24-24
29-23
20-22
15-23
20-19
29-27
19-23
16-21
16-24
23-28
7-24
29-25
11-14
24-25
177.0Avg total
85.3Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.190.1173.2-6.924%
Season at home (8)81.587.8169.2-6.225%
Season away (9)84.692.1176.7-7.622%
Last 10 (10)85.391.7177.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)85.092.0177.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.385.7165.0-6.424%
vs Similar (9)89.087.8176.8+1.244%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
85-107
85
107
-22
73avg 83
H21/11
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 83
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
71-86
71
86
-15
67avg 83
A30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
80avg 83
A09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
64avg 83
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
67avg 83
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
90avg 83
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
84-98
84
98
-14
79avg 83
A04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spartak Pleven
#13
L
95-101
95
101
-6
90avg 83
A09/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
W
98-91
98
91
+7
94avg 83
A16/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
19-19
27-27
19-30
21-29
24-21
22-26
24-19
14-28
20-19
16-18
21-21
21-21
23-23
17-18
20-15
18-30
20-20
26-11
17-25
17-32
23-23
19-15
19-30
22-24
23-17
22-19
25-15
20-25
18-25
24-24
22-24
26-25
29-30
25-23
15-23
25-25
18-23
26-26
29-17
177.2Avg total
85.6Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.888.6176.3-0.856%
Season at home (7)95.789.9185.6+5.971%
Season away (9)81.687.6169.1-6.044%
Last 10 (10)85.691.6177.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)89.493.0182.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.093.3176.3-10.333%
vs Similar (11)87.187.2174.3-0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)95.983.4179.3+12.471%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
LancutLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga
87.7Avg total
42.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.382.6-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.240.177.3-2.831%-
Last 30 away (17)42.544.186.6-1.535%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.987.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.285.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.742.582.1-2.833%-
vs Similar (9)41.642.083.6-0.433%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H21/11
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#15
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spartak Pleven
#13
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A09/01
ENBL
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A16/01
ENBL
91.1Avg total
42.1Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.788.7-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.845.588.4-2.738%-
Last 30 away (17)43.145.888.9-2.724%-
Last 10 (10)42.149.091.1-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)44.249.894.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.746.488.1-4.825%-
vs Similar (11)41.846.588.3-4.618%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.143.390.4+3.957%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.5
55.1%
53.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.0
30.9%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.016.0
80.0%
73.2%16.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.1
54.2%
53.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.9
33.0%
34.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.5
75.9%
73.2%14.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LLLWLWLLLW
Lublin
WLLWLLWLLL
#16
League position
#7
-10.2
Net rating
-8.3
107.3
Offensive rating
105.5
117.5
Defensive rating
113.8
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.9%
3-point %
33.0%
60.7%
Assist %
65.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 105.5Defence117.5 · 113.8Shooting51.2% · 52.1%3-point %30.9% · 33.0%Ball care17.1% · 18.0%Off. rebounds25.6% · 26.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Lancut   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lancut wins
1
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Lublin v Lancut99-83
11/03/23Lancut v Lublin74-72
04/11/22Lublin v Lancut74-83
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AAnwil Wloclawek71-88
07/01/24HSzczecin74-96
30/12/23HSlask Wroclaw84-91
22/12/23AGTK Gliwice100-87
15/12/23HDabrowa Gornicza96-98 OT
06/12/23AGdynia118-115
02/12/23ATrefl Sopot78-94
24/11/23ATorun69-81
18/11/23ALegia78-87
09/11/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-80
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24ABakken Bears98-91
09/01/24ASpartak Pleven95-101
04/01/24ATorun84-98
30/12/23ALegia92-75
23/12/23HOstrow Wielkopolski78-100
16/12/23ASpojnia Stargard81-86
09/12/23ACzarni Slupsk81-77
30/11/23ADziki Warszawa71-86
26/11/23HZielona Gora91-95
21/11/23HBristol Flyers85-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLWWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game83.181.584.6
Allowed / game90.187.892.1
Point differential-6.9-6.2-7.6
Avg total173.2169.2176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %18%25%11%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game87.895.781.6
Allowed / game88.689.987.6
Point differential-0.8+5.9-6.0
Avg total176.3185.6169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1715288%86.474.8+11.6
2 Trefl Sopot1611569%84.679.6+4.9
3 Ostrow Wielkopolski1811761%84.076.6+7.4
4 Dabrowa Gornicza1710759%98.494.0+4.4
5 Lublin169756%87.888.6-0.8
6 Spojnia Stargard1810856%79.676.1+3.6
7 Torun1810856%82.680.9+1.7
8 Dziki Warszawa1810856%80.279.8+0.4
9 Szczecin179853%88.284.1+4.1
10 Legia179853%81.880.5+1.4
11 Czarni Slupsk178947%77.681.7-4.1
12 Slask Wroclaw178947%75.981.6-5.7
13 GTK Gliwice1751229%86.991.8-4.8
14 Lancut1741324%83.190.1-6.9
15 Zielona Gora1741324%83.090.2-7.2
16 Gdynia1741324%80.891.2-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut1611213078
Lublin2026261688
← all games of the day
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