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Lancut vs Szczecin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 74-96
19-23 16-21 16-24 23-28
Position#16
Record4-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#3
Record8-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game83.3
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 16· MOSiR Lancut
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lancut v Szczecin
07 Jan 2024
LANC74
SZC96
06 Oct 2022
LANC76
SZC91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Szczecin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
88-74
88
74
+14
84avg 76
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 76
H05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 76
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 76
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 76
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 76
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
118-115
118
115
+3
116avg 76
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
100-87
100
87
+13
96avg 76
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
82avg 76
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-13
21-19
24-26
34-16
12-25
16-18
27-21
18-22
21-17
23-26
19-16
22-21
19-15
20-29
15-23
24-20
21-17
11-26
17-20
20-18
17-29
33-22
12-21
16-22
34-16
29-26
28-32
27-41
22-18
25-30
20-11
20-28
32-16
15-24
24-24
29-23
20-22
15-23
20-19
29-27
176.2Avg total
86.9Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.589.8174.3-5.327%
Season at home (7)82.686.6169.1-4.029%
Season away (8)86.292.6178.9-6.425%
Last 10 (10)86.989.3176.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)95.297.0192.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.584.2163.7-4.729%
vs Similar (9)89.087.8176.8+1.244%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Szczecin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SzczecinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSzczecin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
84avg 77
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Athens
#33
L
64-86
64
86
-22
53avg 77
A22/11
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
82-86
82
86
-4
79avg 77
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
78-69
78
69
+9
74avg 77
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 77
H06/12
Champions League
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 77
H09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 77
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Sassari
#37
L
81-97
81
97
-16
78avg 77
A20/12
Champions League
Torun
#12
L
70-92
70
92
-22
57avg 77
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 77
H01/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
24-18
22-16
21-19
16-17
10-19
22-25
16-25
12-20
23-27
29-17
18-22
15-17
21-17
18-21
24-14
22-12
20-14
11-17
27-17
12-30
28-12
14-24
27-19
25-24
27-25
21-18
23-22
25-23
20-22
15-28
21-24
12-26
19-16
14-18
25-32
16-24
20-16
14-19
29-25
161.8Avg total
79.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.883.3171.1+4.553%
Season at home (8)85.286.2171.5-1.025%
Season away (7)90.779.9170.6+10.986%
Last 10 (10)79.582.3161.8-2.840%
Last 5 (5)81.489.4170.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.878.5153.2-3.825%
vs Similar (16)84.282.6166.9+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.880.7168.4+7.167%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
LancutSzczecin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
84.6Avg total
41.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.381.7-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.439.877.2-2.333%-
Last 30 away (18)42.442.384.7+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.184.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.293.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.041.080.9-1.043%-
vs Similar (9)41.642.083.6-0.433%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Szczecin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SzczecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Athens
#33
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A22/11
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/12
Champions League
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Sassari
#37
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A20/12
Champions League
Torun
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/01
Energa Basket Liga
78.5Avg total
38.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.980.7+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.039.782.7+3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.178.8+2.773%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.178.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.684.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.836.874.5+1.050%-
vs Similar (16)42.138.280.3+3.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.240.783.9+2.644%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.4
57.9%
53.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.6
27.8%
34.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.717.0
82.1%
73.2%17.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Szczecintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Szczecin: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.1
55.8%
53.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.4
34.6%
34.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.016.1
70.0%
73.2%16.1
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
LWLWLLLWLW
Szczecin
LLLWLWWLLW
#16
League position
#3
-5.3
Net rating
-4.0
110.2
Offensive rating
101.9
115.6
Defensive rating
105.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
24.0%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.8%
3-point %
34.6%
61.7%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 101.9Defence115.6 · 105.9Shooting51.2% · 54.4%3-point %27.8% · 34.6%Ball care16.3% · 24.0%Off. rebounds28.2% · 26.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Lancut   ■ Szczecin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lancut wins
3
Szczecin wins
DateGameScore
24/09/23Szczecin v Lancut85-79
26/01/23Szczecin v Lancut75-73
06/10/22Lancut v Szczecin76-91
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HSlask Wroclaw84-91
22/12/23AGTK Gliwice100-87
15/12/23HDabrowa Gornicza96-98 OT
06/12/23AGdynia118-115
02/12/23ATrefl Sopot78-94
24/11/23ATorun69-81
18/11/23ALegia78-87
09/11/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-80
05/11/23HSpojnia Stargard73-86
28/10/23HCzarni Slupsk88-74
Szczecinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24HTrefl Sopot79-84
23/12/23HTorun70-92
20/12/23ASassari81-97
16/12/23ALegia96-89
09/12/23HOstrow Wielkopolski81-85
06/12/23HLudwigsburg80-60
02/12/23ASpojnia Stargard78-69
26/11/23HCzarni Slupsk82-86
22/11/23AAEK Athens64-86
16/11/23ADziki Warszawa84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game84.582.686.2
Allowed / game89.886.692.6
Point differential-5.3-4.0-6.4
Avg total174.3169.1178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %20%29%12%
Szczecin
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%25%86%
Points / game87.885.290.7
Allowed / game83.386.279.9
Point differential+4.5-1.0+10.9
Avg total171.1171.5170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%12%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1614288%86.375.0+11.3
2 Trefl Sopot1611569%84.679.6+4.9
3 Ostrow Wielkopolski169756%84.477.5+6.9
4 Legia169756%81.679.5+2.1
5 Spojnia Stargard169756%79.377.4+1.9
6 Torun169756%82.680.6+1.9
7 Lublin169756%87.888.6-0.8
8 Szczecin158753%87.883.3+4.5
9 Dabrowa Gornicza158753%99.496.0+3.4
10 Dziki Warszawa168850%79.380.9-1.6
11 Czarni Slupsk168850%78.481.5-3.1
12 Slask Wroclaw157847%75.481.7-6.3
13 GTK Gliwice1551033%87.091.5-4.5
14 Lancut1541127%84.589.8-5.3
15 Zielona Gora1641225%82.689.0-6.4
16 Gdynia1531220%81.391.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut1916162374
Szczecin2321242896
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