PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Athens vs Szczecin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-64
17-16 19-10 25-22 25-16
Position#33
Record3-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#38
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Szczecin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 73
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 73
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 73
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
100-70
100
70
+30
104avg 73
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 73
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 73
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
103-88
103
88
+15
104avg 73
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-77
86
77
+9
83avg 73
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 73
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 73
A20/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
13-24
25-24
29-22
12-16
21-20
21-23
17-20
24-25
20-18
17-18
23-18
31-16
17-25
26-18
26-11
20-33
12-13
26-15
25-18
15-22
9-9
20-21
20-23
34-26
25-15
27-20
17-27
19-19
21-17
22-16
24-25
27-26
24-21
24-11
18-16
18-25
19-23
29-15
19-23
166.7Avg total
86.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.378.3162.7+6.0100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)84.578.0162.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.280.5166.7+5.760%
Last 5 (5)86.280.0166.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.583.5160.0-7.127%
vs Similar (12)78.677.4156.0+1.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.681.7172.3+8.971%
This opponent (Szczecin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SzczecinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSzczecin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
112-86
112
86
+26
118avg 79
H07/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
83-60
83
60
+23
80avg 79
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Sassari
#37
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 79
H17/10
Champions League
Gdynia
#14
W
103-84
103
84
+19
98avg 79
A20/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 79
A24/10
Champions League
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 79
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Athens
#33
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 79
H08/11
Champions League
Zielona Gora
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
86avg 79
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
84avg 79
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
35-25
27-13
22-32
20-16
24-18
22-13
17-13
28-22
30-21
27-17
8-25
21-23
20-19
26-17
36-25
27-23
20-22
20-14
11-23
13-16
24-16
25-18
18-30
23-25
17-15
22-27
19-18
19-19
17-21
16-22
25-24
25-16
23-15
18-27
24-21
17-22
24-18
22-16
21-19
170.8Avg total
89.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.784.3167.0-1.733%
Season at home (2)85.085.5170.5-0.550%
Season away (1)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)89.381.5170.8+7.860%
Last 5 (5)84.883.6168.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.584.0161.5-6.50%
vs Similar (19)83.179.5162.6+3.663%
vs Weaker (8)92.080.1172.1+11.988%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.9-2.9
AEK AthensSzczecin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/11
Basket League
82.8Avg total
40.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.380.4-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.042.485.4+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)35.240.375.5-5.113%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.182.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.682.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.342.078.3-5.718%-
vs Similar (12)39.939.879.8+0.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.142.985.0-0.757%-
This opponent (Szczecin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SzczecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H07/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Sassari
#37
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H17/10
Champions League
Gdynia
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A24/10
Champions League
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Athens
#33
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H08/11
Champions League
Zielona Gora
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
84.3Avg total
45.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.979.6+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.538.882.2+4.850%-
Last 30 away (14)39.836.976.6+2.971%-
Last 10 (10)45.538.884.3+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.677.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.542.584.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (19)40.036.876.8+3.263%-
vs Weaker (8)46.038.684.6+7.462%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.9
54.4%
51.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.8
36.3%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
74.5%16.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Szczecintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Szczecin: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.2
53.4%
51.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.2
37.5%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
74.5%16.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWWLWWWLL
Szczecin
WWLLLLWWWW
#33
League position
#38
+7.6
Net rating
+11.1
113.9
Offensive rating
114.8
106.3
Defensive rating
103.6
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.3%
3-point %
37.5%
64.8%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 114.8Defence106.3 · 103.6Shooting54.4% · 54.6%3-point %36.3% · 37.5%Ball care17.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds34.0% · 32.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Szczecin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Athens wins
0
Szczecin wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Szczecin v AEK Athens77-86
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23APanathinaikos85-86
13/11/23HKolossos Rhodes93-74
08/11/23ASzczecin86-77
04/11/23HAS Karditsas103-88
29/10/23AAris64-75
25/10/23ASassari83-79
21/10/23HApollon Patras100-70
17/10/23HLudwigsburg84-79
15/10/23AOlympiacos71-79
07/10/23HLavrio93-98
Szczecinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23ADziki Warszawa84-75
11/11/23AZielona Gora90-79
08/11/23HAEK Athens77-86
02/11/23HLublin81-85
28/10/23HAnwil Wloclawek92-93 OT
24/10/23ALudwigsburg78-82
20/10/23AGdynia103-84
17/10/23HSassari93-85
15/10/23ASlask Wroclaw83-60
07/10/23HGTK Gliwice112-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.384.084.5
Allowed / game78.379.078.0
Point differential+6.0+5.0+6.5
Avg total162.7163.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Szczecin
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game82.785.078.0
Allowed / game84.385.582.0
Point differential-1.7-0.5-4.0
Avg total167.0170.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
3 Strasbourg660100%81.774.3+7.3
4 Tortona330100%85.779.3+6.3
5 AEK Athens330100%84.378.3+6.0
6 Hapoel Holon220100%79.576.5+3.0
7 Tenerife43175%81.870.2+11.5
8 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
9 Murcia32167%87.071.3+15.7
10 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
11 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
12 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
13 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%86.780.3+6.3
14 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
15 Karsiyaka32167%81.380.0+1.3
16 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
17 PAOK32167%79.782.7-3.0
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Bonn42250%83.277.8+5.5
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Darussafaka42250%78.880.5-1.8
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
26 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
29 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
30 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
31 Breogan31233%72.772.7+0.0
32 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
33 Szczecin31233%82.784.3-1.7
34 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
35 Oostende31233%77.786.0-8.3
36 Bursaspor31233%71.080.3-9.3
37 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
38 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
39 VEF Riga41325%68.274.2-6.0
40 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
41 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
42 Oldenburg3030%83.086.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Igokea3030%77.789.0-11.3
49 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1719252586
Szczecin1610221664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.