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Sassari vs Szczecin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-81
23-25 22-20 28-15 24-21
Position#37
Record1-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game92.4
Sassari 🏆
vs
Position#38
Record2-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Szczecin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 78
A05/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 78
A07/11
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 78
H12/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
63-68
63
68
-5
55avg 78
A19/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
80-97
80
97
-17
72avg 78
H22/11
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
79-76
79
76
+3
84avg 78
H25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
88avg 78
H03/12
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-110
79
110
-31
72avg 78
A05/12
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
65-110
65
110
-45
56avg 78
A10/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
87avg 78
H17/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
23-24
22-19
17-19
23-24
22-14
23-21
21-20
15-22
30-6
27-24
8-21
17-24
17-18
15-10
14-16
18-24
23-30
11-21
28-22
14-21
21-12
19-21
25-22
20-14
21-16
24-28
24-25
18-31
17-24
24-26
20-29
17-29
8-33
13-26
27-22
22-25
28-26
14-16
20-14
165.4Avg total
78.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.492.4174.8-10.020%
Season at home (2)79.590.0169.5-10.50%
Season away (3)84.394.0178.3-9.733%
Last 10 (10)78.786.7165.4-8.050%
Last 5 (5)79.292.0171.2-12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.289.6163.8-15.317%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.981.6160.5-2.850%
vs Weaker (2)92.074.0166.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Szczecin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SzczecinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSzczecin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 78
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Athens
#33
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 78
H08/11
Champions League
Zielona Gora
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
86avg 78
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
84avg 78
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Athens
#33
L
64-86
64
86
-22
53avg 78
A22/11
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
82-86
82
86
-4
79avg 78
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
78-69
78
69
+9
74avg 78
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 78
H06/12
Champions League
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 78
H09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 78
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
17-15
22-27
19-18
19-19
17-21
16-22
25-24
25-16
23-15
18-27
24-21
17-22
24-18
22-16
21-19
16-17
10-19
22-25
16-25
12-20
23-27
29-17
18-22
15-17
21-17
18-21
24-14
22-12
20-14
11-17
27-17
12-30
28-12
14-24
27-19
25-24
27-25
21-18
23-22
161.3Avg total
81.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.479.8158.2-1.440%
Season at home (3)83.377.0160.3+6.367%
Season away (2)71.084.0155.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.380.0161.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.477.8161.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.878.5153.2-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (17)84.080.0164.0+4.065%
vs Weaker (8)90.079.2169.2+10.875%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
SassariSzczecin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A07/11
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H12/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H03/12
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A05/12
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
25-62
25
62
-37
A10/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H17/12
Lega A
83.6Avg total
39.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.981.0-2.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.080.9+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)36.544.781.2-8.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.144.583.6-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.246.283.4-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.043.280.2-6.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.941.481.4-1.550%-
vs Weaker (2)46.037.583.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Szczecin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SzczecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Athens
#33
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H08/11
Champions League
Zielona Gora
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Athens
#33
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A22/11
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/12
Champions League
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
78.1Avg total
39.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.079.7+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.381.2+4.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.437.678.0+2.979%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.578.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.680.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.836.874.5+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.236.878.1+4.476%-
vs Weaker (8)44.840.585.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.9
55.7%
51.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.7
32.8%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.815.0
84.3%
74.5%15.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Szczecintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Szczecin: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.7
52.8%
51.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.8
33.2%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.817.5
73.5%
74.5%17.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLLWWLLWWL
Szczecin
WLWWLLWWLL
#37
League position
#38
-11.2
Net rating
+1.3
105.4
Offensive rating
104.6
116.6
Defensive rating
103.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
21.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.8%
3-point %
33.2%
65.9%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 104.6Defence116.6 · 103.3Shooting53.1% · 51.6%3-point %32.8% · 33.2%Ball care21.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds27.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Sassari   ■ Szczecin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sassari wins
1
Szczecin wins
DateGameScore
17/10/23Szczecin v Sassari93-85
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HBrindisi84-81
10/12/23ABrescia65-110
05/12/23AAEK Athens79-110
03/12/23HOlimpia Milano89-83
25/11/23HScafati79-76
22/11/23HLudwigsburg80-97
19/11/23APistoia63-68
12/11/23HTrento80-73
07/11/23ALudwigsburg89-79
05/11/23AVarese79-90
Szczecinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ALegia96-89
09/12/23HOstrow Wielkopolski81-85
06/12/23HLudwigsburg80-60
02/12/23ASpojnia Stargard78-69
26/11/23HCzarni Slupsk82-86
22/11/23AAEK Athens64-86
16/11/23ADziki Warszawa84-75
11/11/23AZielona Gora90-79
08/11/23HAEK Athens77-86
02/11/23HLublin81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game82.479.584.3
Allowed / game92.490.094.0
Point differential-10.0-10.5-9.7
Avg total174.8169.5178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Szczecin
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game78.483.371.0
Allowed / game79.877.084.0
Point differential-1.4+6.3-13.0
Avg total158.2160.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
2 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
3 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
4 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
5 Tortona65183%83.380.7+2.7
6 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Rytas64267%84.875.8+9.0
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Cholet96367%81.980.4+1.4
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
15 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
16 Promitheas63350%86.079.2+6.8
17 Bonn63350%82.878.8+4.0
18 Galatasaray63350%85.582.0+3.5
19 Le Mans63350%79.577.2+2.3
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Karsiyaka63350%82.581.2+1.3
22 Hapoel Holon63350%77.276.0+1.2
23 Breogan63350%77.076.5+0.5
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Darussafaka63350%81.383.3-2.0
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
27 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
28 PAOK63350%75.879.7-3.8
29 Peristeri63350%77.282.2-5.0
30 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
31 Oostende63350%77.083.2-6.2
32 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
33 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
34 Szczecin52340%78.479.8-1.4
35 Ludwigsburg52340%79.482.2-2.8
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Tofas62433%88.791.8-3.2
38 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
39 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari2322282497
Szczecin2520152181
← all games of the day
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