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Larisa vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-81
22-19 23-22 21-15 18-25
Position#6
Record2-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#7
Record4-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v Aris
15 Jan 2022
LAR84
ARI81
18 Sep 2021
LAR68
ARI67
16 Dec 2020
LAR84
ARI88
13 Oct 2019
LAR92
ARI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
no box
A22/09
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
no box
H02/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
46avg 64
A09/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
66-75
66
75
-9
60avg 64
H17/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 64
A23/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
55-70
55
70
-15
43avg 64
H31/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
63-78
63
78
-15
58avg 64
H14/11
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A21/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-101
70
101
-31
60avg 64
H06/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 64
A18/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
8-12
25-26
11-18
24-18
19-19
16-14
10-18
23-20
6-16
21-20
19-25
20-13
18-22
19-15
9-25
19-20
18-22
20-27
20-22
19-7
9-23
14-12
13-28
16-22
14-16
18-16
15-24
9-22
17-20
20-21
25-19
18-23
17-19
18-35
17-24
18-18
17-15
18-17
29-24
150.3Avg total
70.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.481.0151.4-10.622%
Season at home (5)67.080.2147.2-13.220%
Season away (4)74.882.0156.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)70.080.3150.3-10.320%
Last 5 (5)68.281.0149.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.083.3158.3-8.329%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.777.8149.5-6.120%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Larisa
#9
L
67-68
67
68
-1
no box
A18/09
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
H03/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
no box
A09/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
63avg 67
H16/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
63-64
63
64
-1
54avg 67
A23/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 67
H30/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
82-62
82
62
+20
79avg 67
A06/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
81avg 67
H05/12
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
64-96
64
96
-32
no box
A11/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
7-12
21-21
23-24
15-20
9-23
31-14
26-14
18-25
15-23
21-15
23-14
19-17
20-21
18-29
24-18
15-15
18-21
18-18
12-10
22-19
19-19
11-19
17-16
20-20
16-10
17-12
29-20
13-16
19-21
28-19
13-17
19-15
15-13
28-15
25-25
6-29
20-25
25-22
13-20
151.8Avg total
76.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.076.7153.7+0.344%
Season at home (5)80.275.0155.2+5.260%
Season away (4)73.078.8151.8-5.825%
Last 10 (10)76.075.8151.8+0.240%
Last 5 (5)77.075.4152.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.286.0162.2-9.822%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.774.9148.7-1.237%
vs Weaker (1)77.048.0125.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
LarisaAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ionikos
#5
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/09
Greek Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H17/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H31/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/11
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A21/11
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A18/12
Basket League
69.6Avg total
33.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.675.0-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.139.978.0-1.841%-
Last 30 away (13)34.136.971.0-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)33.136.569.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.837.067.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.441.378.6-3.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.337.173.5-0.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larisa
#9
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A18/09
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H03/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A09/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A23/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H14/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H05/12
Basket League
PAOK
#8
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A11/12
Basket League
69.6Avg total
32.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.239.574.7-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.337.974.2-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)34.141.175.2-6.913%-
Last 10 (10)32.137.569.6-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.471.2-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.844.279.0-9.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.738.674.4-2.937%-
vs Weaker (1)42.029.071.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.815.0
44.4%
51.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.4
29.5%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
72.2%15.0
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.7
53.4%
51.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.7
27.2%
34.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
72.2%15.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
WLLLLLLLWL
Aris
LWWWLLLLWL
#6
League position
#7
-18.4
Net rating
-1.1
93.1
Offensive rating
101.1
111.5
Defensive rating
102.3
44.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
22.3%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.5%
3-point %
27.2%
63.4%
Assist %
51.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 101.1Defence111.5 · 102.3Shooting44.3% · 48.2%3-point %29.5% · 27.2%Ball care22.3% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Larisa   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Larisa wins
3
Aris wins
DateGameScore
18/09/21Larisa v Aris68-67
06/03/21Aris v Larisa70-52
16/12/20Larisa v Aris84-88
18/01/20Aris v Larisa90-72
13/10/19Larisa v Aris92-78
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21AApollon Patras82-74
06/12/21HOlympiacos70-101
21/11/21APAOK71-82
14/11/21HPeristeri63-78
31/10/21HIraklis55-70
23/10/21APromitheas77-91
17/10/21HLavrio66-75
09/10/21AAEK Athens69-81
02/10/21HKolossos Rhodes81-77 OT
22/09/21AIonikos66-74
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21APAOK64-96
05/12/21HPeristeri87-68
14/11/21HIraklis83-78 OT
06/11/21APromitheas82-62
30/10/21HLavrio69-73
23/10/21AAEK Athens63-64
16/10/21HKolossos Rhodes81-85
09/10/21AIonikos83-93 OT
03/10/21HPanathinaikos81-71
18/09/21ALarisa67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game70.467.074.8
Allowed / game81.080.282.0
Point differential-10.6-13.2-7.2
Avg total151.4147.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Aris
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game77.080.273.0
Allowed / game76.775.078.8
Point differential+0.3+5.2-5.8
Avg total153.7155.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos98189%96.675.4+21.1
2 Panathinaikos98189%85.971.1+14.8
3 Kolossos Rhodes107370%75.571.7+3.8
4 Promitheas117464%78.077.6+0.4
5 AEK Athens105550%75.080.7-5.7
6 Lavrio115645%75.578.1-2.5
7 Aris94544%77.076.7+0.3
8 Peristeri104640%74.479.4-5.0
9 Apollon Patras104640%74.279.6-5.4
10 PAOK93633%78.880.7-1.9
11 Ionikos93633%75.080.3-5.3
12 Iraklis103730%76.978.8-1.9
13 Larisa92722%70.481.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa2223211884
Aris1922152581
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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