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AEK Athens vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-63
15-15 21-18 18-18 10-12
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game83.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · AEK Athens v Aris
03 Apr 2027
AAT v ARI
upcoming
25 May 2026
AAT102
ARI99
14 May 2026
AAT87
ARI81
27 Dec 2025
AAT82
ARI76
28 Dec 2024
AAT102
ARI89
20 Jan 2024
AAT91
ARI93
29 Oct 2022
AAT63
ARI76
23 Oct 2021
AAT64
ARI63
20 Dec 2020
AAT84
ARI67
13 Dec 2019
AAT92
ARI79
30 Mar 2019
AAT81
ARI73
03 Feb 2018
AAT73
ARI64
03 Jun 2017
AAT71
ARI60
28 May 2017
AAT90
ARI74
07 Jan 2017
AAT81
ARI61
16 May 2015
AAT92
ARI54
29 Mar 2015
AAT93
ARI77
08 Jan 2011
AAT65
ARI74
19 Dec 2009
AAT77
ARI76
08 Mar 2009
AAT65
ARI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
113-101
113
101
+12
no box
H04/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
A06/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
86avg 74
H09/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
A25/09
Super Cup
Lavrio
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A26/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
no box
A03/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
78-83
78
83
-5
66avg 74
A06/10
Champions League
Larisa
#6
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 74
H09/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
68-84
68
84
-16
62avg 74
A16/10
Basket League
Treviso
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
65avg 74
H19/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
29-29
18-13
39-37
16-19
26-21
22-20
17-20
24-12
29-26
16-21
26-13
17-20
22-22
18-31
14-15
27-17
23-11
19-20
17-19
21-23
22-21
21-28
14-31
21-19
14-19
19-19
24-26
20-23
16-6
20-21
25-19
22-17
13-29
21-16
12-22
18-23
18-27
24-15
17-27
166.7Avg total
82.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.785.3161.0-9.733%
Season at home (1)81.069.0150.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)73.093.5166.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)82.883.9166.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)76.486.2162.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.688.3166.9-9.822%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.682.2162.8-1.538%
vs Weaker (8)85.080.9165.9+4.175%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
PAOK
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 64
H20/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H27/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
63avg 64
A31/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
67avg 64
A03/04
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
74-62
74
62
+12
72avg 64
H10/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
55avg 64
A28/04
Basket League
Larisa
#9
L
67-68
67
68
-1
no box
A18/09
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
H03/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
no box
A09/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
63avg 64
H16/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
19-11
24-14
10-26
15-18
12-16
22-23
19-16
26-19
14-30
20-16
9-25
17-22
23-20
11-20
21-21
20-18
14-14
27-21
13-9
18-20
17-19
15-22
15-21
16-11
7-12
21-21
23-24
15-20
9-23
31-14
26-14
18-25
15-23
21-15
23-14
19-17
20-21
18-29
24-18
151.5Avg total
73.1Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.783.0164.7-1.333%
Season at home (2)81.078.0159.0+3.050%
Season away (1)83.093.0176.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)73.178.4151.5-5.320%
Last 5 (5)75.479.8155.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.785.4163.1-7.627%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.776.5151.2-1.933%
vs Weaker (2)73.560.5134.0+13.050%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
AEK AthensAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H04/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A06/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H09/06
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/09
Super Cup
Lavrio
#4
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A26/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Champions League
Larisa
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/10
Basket League
Treviso
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H19/10
Champions League
83.1Avg total
42.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.580.1-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.740.583.2+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)37.240.477.6-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.683.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.478.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.944.982.8-7.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.340.080.3+0.354%-
vs Weaker (8)40.436.276.6+4.162%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H27/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A31/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/04
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/04
Basket League
Larisa
#9
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A18/09
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H03/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A09/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/10
Basket League
71.7Avg total
33.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.576.1-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.575.9-1.040%-
Last 30 away (15)35.840.576.3-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)33.238.571.7-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)30.838.269.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.142.478.5-6.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.339.576.8-2.133%-
vs Weaker (2)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.4
52.4%
51.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.3
32.5%
34.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.814.0
74.5%
72.2%14.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.3
51.0%
51.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.6
28.9%
34.4%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.615.5
71.8%
72.2%15.5
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWLLWLWWW
Aris
LLWLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#7
-3.2
Net rating
+0.3
107.0
Offensive rating
99.0
110.1
Defensive rating
98.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.5%
3-point %
28.9%
63.1%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 99.0Defence110.1 · 98.7Shooting50.8% · 48.0%3-point %32.5% · 28.9%Ball care16.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds27.3% · 31.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Athens wins
1
Aris wins
DateGameScore
27/03/21Aris v AEK Athens68-73
20/12/20AEK Athens v Aris84-67
13/12/19AEK Athens v Aris92-79
30/03/19AEK Athens v Aris81-73
08/12/18Aris v AEK Athens77-81
03/02/18AEK Athens v Aris73-64
14/10/17Aris v AEK Athens64-62
03/06/17AEK Athens v Aris71-60
31/05/17Aris v AEK Athens85-91
28/05/17AEK Athens v Aris90-74
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/21HTreviso77-92
16/10/21AApollon Patras68-84
09/10/21HLarisa81-69
06/10/21ASzombathely78-83
03/10/21AOlympiacos78-103
26/09/21ALavrio86-67
25/09/21APromitheas71-88
09/06/21HPromitheas95-72
06/06/21APromitheas81-80
04/06/21HPromitheas113-101
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/21HKolossos Rhodes81-85
09/10/21AIonikos83-93 OT
03/10/21HPanathinaikos81-71
18/09/21ALarisa67-68
28/04/21APeristeri65-82
10/04/21HIonikos74-62
03/04/21AKolossos Rhodes72-83
31/03/21APromitheas69-90
27/03/21HAEK Athens68-73
20/03/21HPAOK71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game75.781.073.0
Allowed / game85.369.093.5
Point differential-9.7+12.0-20.5
Avg total161.0150.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.781.083.0
Allowed / game83.078.093.0
Point differential-1.3+3.0-10.0
Avg total164.7159.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos330100%106.375.0+31.3
2 Kolossos Rhodes43175%80.874.8+6.0
3 Promitheas43175%84.585.8-1.2
4 Apollon Patras32167%73.371.0+2.3
5 Lavrio32167%78.782.3-3.7
6 Panathinaikos21150%81.579.5+2.0
7 Peristeri21150%80.082.0-2.0
8 Aris31233%81.783.0-1.3
9 PAOK31233%74.080.7-6.7
10 AEK Athens31233%75.785.3-9.7
11 Ionikos41325%81.085.8-4.8
12 Larisa41325%73.281.0-7.8
13 Iraklis2020%72.575.5-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1521181064
Aris1518181263
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