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PAOK vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-64
29-6 25-20 22-25 20-13
Position#8
Record2-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game82.8
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#7
Record4-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game74.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 10
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · PAOK v Aris
21 Nov 2026
PAK v ARI
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
PAK88
ARI77
01 Mar 2025
PAK75
ARI63
15 Feb 2024
PAK74
ARI76
18 Nov 2023
PAK82
ARI76
15 Oct 2022
PAK88
ARI66
11 Dec 2021
PAK96
ARI64
13 Dec 2020
PAK75
ARI64
05 Jan 2020
PAK101
ARI84
25 Nov 2018
PAK95
ARI79
11 Nov 2017
PAK63
ARI57
03 May 2017
PAK75
ARI84
04 Feb 2017
PAK62
ARI58
13 Jun 2015
PAK62
ARI51
07 Jun 2015
PAK67
ARI60
07 Feb 2015
PAK77
ARI78
25 Jan 2014
PAK56
ARI49
09 Oct 2013
PAK63
ARI71
16 Mar 2013
PAK84
ARI72
28 Dec 2011
PAK92
ARI87
08 Jun 2011
PAK63
ARI56
01 Jun 2011
PAK59
ARI67
26 May 2011
PAK76
ARI74
05 Feb 2011
PAK79
ARI74
31 Oct 2009
PAK83
ARI48
19 Feb 2009
PAK50
ARI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#30
L
83-84
83
84
-1
78avg 73
H12/10
Champions League
Iraklis
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 73
H16/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#17
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H25/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
L
86-87
86
87
-1
73avg 73
H31/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
56avg 73
H07/11
Basket League
Nymburk
#30
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 73
A09/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
63avg 73
A14/11
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
H21/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 73
A04/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#17
L
75-87
75
87
-12
71avg 73
A08/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
24-19
23-25
25-19
10-20
23-17
23-11
16-21
12-24
21-12
22-17
26-21
20-23
29-16
16-24
21-24
11-25
17-17
22-24
14-15
21-21
16-19
12-21
26-10
21-20
17-21
14-25
16-20
22-9
20-17
21-20
19-25
20-27
17-26
31-21
23-21
22-28
18-20
18-28
17-11
158.2Avg total
77.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.682.8159.4-6.125%
Season at home (5)75.479.4154.8-4.040%
Season away (3)78.788.3167.0-9.70%
Last 10 (10)77.780.5158.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)78.282.0160.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.881.4155.2-7.518%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.676.5156.1+3.162%
vs Weaker (10)81.179.9161.0+1.260%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
55avg 64
A28/04
Basket League
Larisa
#9
L
67-68
67
68
-1
no box
A18/09
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
H03/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
no box
A09/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
63avg 64
H16/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
63-64
63
64
-1
54avg 64
A23/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 64
H30/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
82-62
82
62
+20
79avg 64
A06/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
81avg 64
H05/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-19
15-22
15-21
16-11
7-12
21-21
23-24
15-20
9-23
31-14
26-14
18-25
15-23
21-15
23-14
19-17
20-21
18-29
24-18
15-15
18-21
18-18
12-10
22-19
19-19
11-19
17-16
20-20
16-10
17-12
29-20
13-16
19-21
28-19
13-17
19-15
15-13
28-15
25-25
150.5Avg total
76.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.674.2152.9+4.450%
Season at home (5)80.275.0155.2+5.260%
Season away (3)76.073.0149.0+3.033%
Last 10 (10)76.174.4150.5+1.740%
Last 5 (5)76.869.0145.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.286.0162.2-9.822%
vs Similar ◀ (19)74.673.8148.5+0.842%
vs Weaker (1)77.048.0125.0+29.0100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
PAOKAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#30
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H12/10
Champions League
Iraklis
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#17
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H25/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H07/11
Basket League
Nymburk
#30
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/11
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H21/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A04/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A08/12
Champions League
77.4Avg total
37.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.676.1-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.437.173.5-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.178.6-5.513%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.277.4-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.680.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.441.575.8-7.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.937.975.8+0.038%-
vs Weaker (10)38.739.978.6-1.240%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/04
Basket League
Larisa
#9
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A18/09
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H03/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A09/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/10
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A23/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/11
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H14/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H05/12
Basket League
69.0Avg total
33.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.174.8-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.638.274.8-1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)34.740.174.9-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)33.036.069.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.869.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.844.279.0-9.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.538.174.6-1.637%-
vs Weaker (1)42.029.071.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.5
49.6%
51.3%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.9
75.1%
72.2%16.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.0
52.8%
51.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.6
28.0%
34.4%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.615.5
75.2%
72.2%15.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLWLWLLWWL
Aris
WWWLLLLWLL
#8
League position
#7
-3.0
Net rating
+0.4
105.0
Offensive rating
100.4
107.9
Defensive rating
99.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
20.6%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.3%
3-point %
28.0%
61.9%
Assist %
54.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 100.4Defence107.9 · 99.9Shooting50.9% · 48.5%3-point %35.3% · 28.0%Ball care17.3% · 20.6%Off. rebounds23.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ PAOK   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
PAOK wins
3
Aris wins
DateGameScore
20/03/21Aris v PAOK71-77
13/12/20PAOK v Aris75-64
05/01/20PAOK v Aris101-84
29/09/19Aris v PAOK85-82 OT
23/03/19Aris v PAOK58-62
25/11/18PAOK v Aris95-79
21/03/18Aris v PAOK65-66
11/11/17PAOK v Aris63-57
04/10/17Aris v PAOK70-63
03/05/17PAOK v Aris75-84
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/21AGalatasaray75-87
04/12/21AApollon Patras91-95
21/11/21HLarisa82-71
14/11/21AOlympiacos68-86
09/11/21ANymburk75-71
07/11/21HPanathinaikos64-81
31/10/21HPeristeri86-87
25/10/21HGalatasaray81-74
16/10/21HIraklis72-69
12/10/21HNymburk83-84
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21HPeristeri87-68
14/11/21HIraklis83-78 OT
06/11/21APromitheas82-62
30/10/21HLavrio69-73
23/10/21AAEK Athens63-64
16/10/21HKolossos Rhodes81-85
09/10/21AIonikos83-93 OT
03/10/21HPanathinaikos81-71
18/09/21ALarisa67-68
28/04/21APeristeri65-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game76.675.478.7
Allowed / game82.879.488.3
Point differential-6.1-4.0-9.7
Avg total159.4154.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%60%33%
Points / game78.680.276.0
Allowed / game74.275.073.0
Point differential+4.4+5.2+3.0
Avg total152.9155.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %25%20%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos87188%96.475.1+21.2
2 Panathinaikos87188%85.171.6+13.5
3 Promitheas107370%79.176.2+2.9
4 Kolossos Rhodes96367%75.772.4+3.2
5 Aris84450%78.674.2+4.4
6 Apollon Patras84450%73.877.0-3.2
7 Peristeri84450%75.079.8-4.8
8 AEK Athens105550%75.080.7-5.7
9 Lavrio104640%74.478.8-4.4
10 Ionikos72529%72.779.3-6.6
11 Iraklis82625%76.177.1-1.0
12 PAOK82625%76.682.8-6.1
13 Larisa81712%69.081.9-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2925222096
Aris620251364
← all games of the day
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