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Aris vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-71
15-20 9-23 31-14 26-14
Position#7
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 1
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Aris v Panathinaikos
01 Nov 2026
ARI101
PAO91
01 Feb 2026
ARI102
PAO95
17 Mar 2025
ARI73
PAO83
02 Jun 2024
ARI65
PAO80
13 May 2024
ARI68
PAO80
12 Nov 2023
ARI65
PAO75
09 Oct 2022
ARI69
PAO65
24 May 2022
ARI65
PAO85
03 Oct 2021
ARI81
PAO71
17 Jan 2021
ARI75
PAO93
15 Feb 2020
ARI81
PAO88
13 Oct 2018
ARI70
PAO84
10 Dec 2017
ARI70
PAO88
21 Nov 2016
ARI59
PAO71
28 Apr 2015
ARI56
PAO72
24 Nov 2013
ARI59
PAO75
15 Oct 2012
ARI56
PAO71
21 Apr 2012
ARI65
PAO88
14 Jan 2012
ARI68
PAO72
18 Mar 2011
ARI69
PAO75
09 Feb 2011
ARI74
PAO70
08 Nov 2009
ARI62
PAO70
13 May 2009
ARI53
PAO66
21 Mar 2009
ARI69
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
68avg 64
A28/02
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
69avg 64
H06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
76-54
76
54
+22
68avg 64
A10/03
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
58avg 64
H20/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H27/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
63avg 64
A31/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
67avg 64
A03/04
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
74-62
74
62
+12
72avg 64
H10/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
55avg 64
A28/04
Basket League
Larisa
#9
L
67-68
67
68
-1
no box
A18/09
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
15-24
14-27
24-24
22-22
18-7
16-8
14-15
20-13
18-16
21-5
17-20
18-26
19-11
24-14
10-26
15-18
12-16
22-23
19-16
26-19
14-30
20-16
9-25
17-22
23-20
11-20
21-21
20-18
14-14
27-21
13-9
18-20
17-19
15-22
15-21
16-11
7-12
21-21
23-24
143.9Avg total
70.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.473.5143.9-3.130%
Last 5 (5)69.477.0146.4-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.684.6161.3-8.027%
vs Similar (15)74.174.3148.3-0.240%
vs Weaker (2)73.560.5134.0+13.050%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
63avg 81
A21/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
94-83
94
83
+11
86avg 81
H23/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
72avg 81
A26/05
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
100-72
100
72
+28
105avg 81
H03/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
A05/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
103-74
103
74
+29
108avg 81
H07/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
81avg 81
A10/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#4
W
74-61
74
61
+13
no box
H25/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#2
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
H26/09
Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
47avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
21-17
18-25
15-28
20-10
30-27
19-23
25-23
19-15
19-25
11-15
29-16
24-8
28-26
27-13
21-25
18-28
22-13
23-15
18-25
24-20
20-10
27-27
32-17
28-22
13-9
24-21
17-14
23-21
23-8
7-17
21-15
26-23
27-16
23-24
16-20
15-22
13-16
16-18
19-19
162.6Avg total
85.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.577.1162.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)82.871.8154.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.590.8168.3-13.317%
vs Similar (2)80.089.5169.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.673.2163.9+17.490%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
ArisPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/02
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H06/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A10/03
Basket League
PAOK
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H27/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A31/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/04
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H10/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/04
Basket League
Larisa
#9
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A18/09
Greek Cup
70.5Avg total
34.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.475.4-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.137.175.2+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)36.039.675.6-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)34.835.770.5-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.071.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.541.477.9-4.818%-
vs Similar (15)37.837.975.7-0.140%-
vs Weaker (2)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H23/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/05
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H03/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A05/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/06
Basket League
Lavrio
#4
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H25/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#2
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H26/09
Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A30/09
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
43.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.982.5+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.838.284.0+7.680%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.581.0+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)43.935.879.7+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.433.475.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.045.380.3-10.30%-
vs Similar (2)43.546.089.5-2.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.036.382.3+9.786%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.1
48.5%
51.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.7
30.3%
34.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.3
69.5%
72.2%15.3
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.8
55.9%
51.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
34.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.814.9
79.3%
72.2%14.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLWLLLLWWL
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLWWWL
#7
League position
#2
-4.8
Net rating
+19.7
98.7
Offensive rating
119.4
103.6
Defensive rating
99.8
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
22.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
39.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.3%
3-point %
32.6%
58.9%
Assist %
58.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 119.4Defence103.6 · 99.8Shooting47.4% · 53.4%3-point %30.3% · 32.6%Ball care22.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds33.2% · 39.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
10
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
28/02/21Panathinaikos v Aris94-72
17/01/21Aris v Panathinaikos75-93
15/02/20Aris v Panathinaikos81-88
26/10/19Panathinaikos v Aris108-86
28/01/19Panathinaikos v Aris85-65
13/10/18Aris v Panathinaikos70-84
02/04/18Panathinaikos v Aris84-63
10/12/17Aris v Panathinaikos70-88
05/03/17Panathinaikos v Aris70-54
18/02/17Panathinaikos v Aris68-59
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/09/21ALarisa67-68
28/04/21APeristeri65-82
10/04/21HIonikos74-62
03/04/21AKolossos Rhodes72-83
31/03/21APromitheas69-90
27/03/21HAEK Athens68-73
20/03/21HPAOK71-77
10/03/21AIraklis76-54
06/03/21HLarisa70-52
28/02/21APanathinaikos72-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/21AMonaco63-75
26/09/21HPromitheas92-83
25/09/21HLavrio74-61
10/06/21ALavrio82-66
07/06/21HLavrio103-74
05/06/21ALavrio89-94 OT
03/06/21HLavrio100-72
26/05/21AAEK Athens78-71
23/05/21HAEK Athens94-83
21/05/21AAEK Athens80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos110100%103.078.0+25.0
2 Lavrio110100%89.073.0+16.0
3 Apollon Patras110100%80.072.0+8.0
4 Promitheas110100%88.081.0+7.0
5 Larisa110100%81.077.0+4.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes1010%77.081.0-4.0
7 Peristeri1010%81.088.0-7.0
8 Ionikos1010%72.080.0-8.0
9 PAOK1010%73.089.0-16.0
10 AEK Athens1010%78.0103.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris159312681
Panathinaikos2023141471
← all games of the day
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