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Larre Borges vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-94
17-24 12-34 26-14 27-22
Position#13
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game83.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Larre Borges v Nacional
09 Jan 2024
LARR82
NACI94
16 Dec 2022
LARR94
NACI92
06 Nov 2017
LARR58
NACI81
06 Oct 2012
LARR58
NACI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larre Borges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Larre BorgesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBorges
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 66
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 66
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 66
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
80-106
80
106
-26
64avg 66
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 66
H03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
56avg 66
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
66-81
66
81
-15
59avg 66
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
70-103
70
103
-33
59avg 66
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
62-89
62
89
-27
47avg 66
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
64-80
64
80
-16
51avg 66
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
23-20
19-22
23-25
22-25
19-19
27-18
20-21
28-34
13-17
16-23
25-23
14-35
24-21
18-34
24-16
28-10
12-24
13-23
22-28
21-25
20-25
13-30
21-13
20-25
19-21
17-18
10-17
14-25
17-23
25-32
14-23
15-24
12-27
14-14
21-24
21-23
17-12
13-23
13-22
165.9Avg total
74.8Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.290.3166.5-14.114%
Season at home (6)82.588.7171.2-6.233%
Season away (8)71.591.5163.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)74.891.1165.9-16.310%
Last 5 (5)67.489.2156.6-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.290.0168.2-11.818%
vs Similar (7)81.185.1166.3-4.029%
vs Weaker (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
104avg 84
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 84
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
107-99
107
99
+8
100avg 84
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 84
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 84
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
99-91
99
91
+8
82avg 84
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 84
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
89avg 84
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 84
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 84
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-28
29-15
27-30
29-25
13-19
18-14
17-10
34-35
24-18
24-22
25-24
24-21
26-19
22-18
19-20
27-23
22-22
27-32
18-24
29-33
23-28
18-13
29-17
30-20
17-26
18-22
12-29
17-8
26-23
21-24
12-21
18-18
24-13
13-28
23-27
29-14
15-24
18-25
22-20
177.3Avg total
89.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.683.4174.0+7.283%
Season at home (6)84.578.3162.8+6.283%
Season away (6)96.788.5185.2+8.283%
Last 10 (10)89.487.9177.3+1.570%
Last 5 (5)85.488.2173.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.881.3159.2-3.542%
vs Similar (11)81.881.0162.8+0.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)95.183.3178.4+11.986%
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
Larre BorgesNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Larre BorgesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
84.2Avg total
38.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.484.0-4.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.841.482.2-0.658%-
Last 30 away (18)38.946.385.2-7.428%-
Last 10 (10)38.046.284.2-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.081.2-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.045.484.4-6.436%-
vs Similar (7)42.641.984.4+0.757%-
vs Weaker (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
90.5Avg total
46.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.540.885.3+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)41.840.982.8+0.959%-
Last 10 (10)46.943.690.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.487.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.640.880.4-1.242%-
vs Similar (11)43.540.583.9+3.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.141.689.7+6.686%-
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larre Borgestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larre Borges: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.3
49.6%
51.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.46.9
27.2%
33.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
71.7%12.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.6
52.6%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.3
37.9%
33.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.914.5
69.4%
71.7%14.5
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larre Borges
LLLLLLLLWL
Nacional
WLWLWLWWWW
#13
League position
#3
-23.1
Net rating
+1.2
92.7
Offensive rating
110.5
115.8
Defensive rating
109.2
46.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.2%
3-point %
37.9%
51.8%
Assist %
67.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 110.5Defence115.8 · 109.2Shooting46.2% · 54.2%3-point %27.2% · 37.9%Ball care18.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds22.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Larre Borges   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Larre Borges wins
4
Nacional wins
Larre Borgeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AGoes64-80
19/12/23APenarol62-89
13/12/23AMalvin70-103
09/12/23ACordon66-81
06/12/23ATrouville75-93
03/12/23HDefensor75-85
25/11/23HBigua80-106
21/11/23AUrupan82-97
18/11/23HHebraica y Macabi88-83
14/11/23AAguada86-94
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24AMalvin84-83
18/12/23AQuimsa78-86
17/12/23ASao Paulo89-84 OT
13/12/23HPenarol77-97
09/12/23ADefensor99-91
27/11/23ABigua94-101
24/11/23HUrupan91-78
21/11/23AHebraica y Macabi107-99
18/11/23HAguada77-68
13/11/23AGoes98-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larre Borges
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game76.282.571.5
Allowed / game90.388.791.5
Point differential-14.1-6.2-20.0
Avg total166.5171.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW83%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game90.684.596.7
Allowed / game83.478.388.5
Point differential+7.2+6.2+8.2
Avg total174.0162.8185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1210283%86.271.8+14.3
2 Nacional1210283%90.683.4+7.2
3 Aguada1411379%85.478.3+7.1
4 Defensor159660%80.978.0+2.9
5 Hebraica y Macabi148657%83.980.8+3.1
6 Malvin157847%83.180.6+2.5
7 Bigua157847%84.284.9-0.7
8 Trouville146843%82.785.6-2.9
9 Goes145936%81.684.9-3.3
10 Cordon145936%73.476.7-3.4
11 Urupan1541127%76.585.8-9.3
12 Larre Borges1421214%76.290.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larre Borges1712262782
Nacional2434142294
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