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Lavrio vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-89
15-24 22-23 22-23 16-19
Position#12
Record7-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Aris 🏆
Greece
Position#7
Record9-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 1· Sports Center Lavrio
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Lavrio v Aris
05 Apr 2025
LAV75
ARI89
07 Dec 2024
LAV93
ARI84
23 Dec 2023
LAV91
ARI86
18 Mar 2023
LAV81
ARI70
19 Mar 2022
LAV68
ARI64
09 Dec 2020
LAV92
ARI71
11 Apr 2020
LAV v ARI
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
LAV70
ARI73
21 Oct 2017
LAV70
ARI71
08 Apr 2017
LAV75
ARI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lavrio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
100-83
100
83
+17
98avg 73
A13/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
64-69
64
69
-5
57avg 73
H18/01
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 73
A27/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 73
A01/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 73
H09/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 73
H03/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
51avg 73
A10/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 73
H15/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
70-98
70
98
-28
62avg 73
A23/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 73
A29/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
24-24
19-15
29-21
19-10
20-26
13-17
12-16
23-20
20-21
21-24
16-21
17-17
22-17
18-17
17-18
27-24
20-22
20-21
27-25
24-27
19-19
22-18
17-25
12-18
16-25
19-19
18-20
21-26
14-24
9-15
35-25
14-24
24-26
11-20
21-28
21-24
23-25
17-20
16-21
163.3Avg total
78.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.885.3165.2-5.530%
Season at home (11)80.684.3164.9-3.636%
Season away (12)79.186.3165.4-7.225%
Last 10 (10)78.584.8163.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)74.689.8164.4-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.987.2165.1-9.321%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.884.6166.3-2.844%
vs Weaker (2)93.070.5163.5+22.5100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
82avg 65
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
77avg 65
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 65
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 65
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
63-75
63
75
-12
53avg 65
A01/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
80avg 65
H10/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
62avg 65
H17/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 65
A23/03
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 65
A29/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 65
H01/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-26
20-17
21-22
18-23
15-9
15-25
30-16
23-21
19-32
13-19
19-17
24-20
13-18
24-11
19-23
17-24
19-15
13-16
14-20
18-12
25-16
19-19
20-18
20-17
13-27
18-23
22-16
20-26
22-15
21-18
19-17
11-17
18-26
27-28
22-21
16-25
17-23
25-16
20-19
157.4Avg total
77.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.383.9161.2-6.638%
Season at home (12)77.077.8154.8-0.850%
Season away (12)77.690.1167.7-12.525%
Last 10 (10)77.679.8157.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)78.679.8158.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.890.6166.4-14.914%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.382.6159.9-5.331%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
LavrioAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A13/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/01
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A01/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A10/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H15/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A23/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/03
Basket League
85.0Avg total
40.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.682.5-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.640.981.5-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.342.383.6-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.285.0-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.647.685.2-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.342.082.3-1.742%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.742.183.8-0.467%-
vs Weaker (2)44.035.079.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/02
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H10/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H17/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/03
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H01/04
Basket League
78.2Avg total
37.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.743.580.2-6.917%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.143.180.2-6.17%-
Last 30 away (16)36.343.980.2-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.178.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.876.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.646.684.2-9.17%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.940.876.7-4.925%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lavrio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.8
52.4%
53.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
34.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
73.3%13.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.1
53.7%
53.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.1
31.2%
34.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.213.2
68.8%
73.3%13.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lavrio
LLLLLWWLLW
Aris
LLWLWLWLWL
#12
League position
#7
-9.5
Net rating
-2.5
106.1
Offensive rating
102.5
115.6
Defensive rating
105.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.2%
3-point %
31.2%
51.3%
Assist %
64.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 102.5Defence115.6 · 105.1Shooting52.6% · 50.5%3-point %35.2% · 31.2%Ball care17.6% · 20.0%Off. rebounds26.1% · 31.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Lavrio   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lavrio wins
3
Aris wins
DateGameScore
10/03/25Aris v Lavrio82-65
07/12/24Lavrio v Aris93-84
23/03/24Aris v Lavrio84-60
23/12/23Lavrio v Aris91-86 OT
18/03/23Lavrio v Aris81-70
04/12/22Aris v Lavrio87-61
19/03/22Lavrio v Aris68-64
30/10/21Aris v Lavrio69-73
06/02/21Aris v Lavrio89-94
09/12/20Lavrio v Aris92-71
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25APeristeri77-90
23/03/25APanathinaikos70-98
15/03/25HAEK Athens79-90
10/03/25AAris65-82
03/03/25HAS Karditsas82-89
09/02/25HMaroussi94-92
01/02/25APAOK74-69
27/01/25APanionios80-86
18/01/25HPeristeri64-69
13/01/25AKolossos Rhodes100-83
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25HPeristeri78-83
29/03/25APanionios78-92
23/03/25AAS Karditsas82-76
17/03/25HPanathinaikos73-83
10/03/25HLavrio82-65
01/03/25APAOK63-75
08/02/25HPanionios80-72
05/02/25HCluj-Napoca74-89
01/02/25AMaroussi78-73
29/01/25HHamburg88-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lavrio
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %30%36%25%
Points / game79.880.679.1
Allowed / game85.384.386.3
Point differential-5.5-3.6-7.2
Avg total165.2164.9165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game77.377.077.6
Allowed / game83.977.890.1
Point differential-6.6-0.8-12.5
Avg total161.2154.8167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos22220100%93.976.1+17.7
2 Olympiacos2220291%89.373.5+15.8
3 AEK Athens2315865%85.280.7+4.5
4 Promitheas22111150%81.482.5-1.1
5 AS Karditsas22111150%76.578.4-1.9
6 Panionios23101343%77.779.0-1.3
7 PAOK23101343%78.982.6-3.7
8 Peristeri24101442%77.181.9-4.8
9 Aris2491538%77.383.9-6.6
10 Kolossos Rhodes2371630%79.181.4-2.3
11 Lavrio2371630%79.885.3-5.5
12 Maroussi2351822%77.386.3-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lavrio1522221675
Aris2423231989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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