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Lebanon vs China Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#30
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 4
Other2027
Meetings · Lebanon v China
29 Nov 2026
LEBA v CHIN
upcoming
20 Jul 2022
LEBA72
CHIN69
13 Sep 2018
LEBA92
CHIN88
20 Aug 2017
LEBA78
CHIN79
28 Sep 2015
LEBA72
CHIN90
21 Sep 2012
LEBA63
CHIN78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lebanon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
China win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H30/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H27/02
World Cup
India
#91
W
99-56
99
56
+43
H29/06
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A02/07
World Cup
India
#91
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A05/07
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H27/08
World Cup
China
#30
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
30-22
28-23
16-9
32-12
13-18
17-26
24-34
21-9
12-17
17-17
25-31
19-14
19-21
17-25
28-26
26-17
25-16
28-13
15-18
25-13
28-16
25-14
21-13
22-19
19-23
22-24
25-16
28-15
20-23
27-16
23-18
18-24
20-17
25-19
30-14
14-23
28-23
27-21
18-22
166.0Avg total
90.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.674.6164.2+15.075%
Season at home (4)92.270.0162.2+22.275%
Season away (4)87.079.2166.2+7.875%
Last 10 (10)90.076.0166.0+14.070%
Last 5 (5)93.074.6167.6+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.496.6176.0-17.114%
vs Similar (1)97.073.0170.0+24.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.277.5167.7+12.882%
This opponent (China) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#4
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H16/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A17/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#46
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H28/11
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A01/12
World Cup
Japan
#16
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A26/02
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
100-93
100
93
+7
A01/03
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H03/07
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H06/07
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
83-57
83
57
+26
A27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
14-21
26-26
30-18
25-17
21-25
25-26
18-22
16-24
18-23
18-14
24-19
13-28
16-24
23-28
24-10
11-21
22-26
25-9
29-24
27-22
23-29
21-26
29-16
21-22
19-28
19-24
14-18
25-13
29-15
18-20
20-26
23-13
24-23
19-12
17-9
23-14
23-28
21-27
22-18
169.0Avg total
86.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.581.6166.1+2.962%
Season at home (4)82.583.2165.8-0.850%
Season away (4)86.580.0166.5+6.575%
Last 10 (10)86.382.7169.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)87.480.6168.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.990.3164.1-16.429%
vs Similar (3)75.788.7164.3-13.00%
vs Weaker (20)90.068.0157.9+22.090%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
LebanonChina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H27/02
World Cup
India
#91
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H29/06
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A02/07
World Cup
India
#91
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A05/07
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/08
World Cup
China
#30
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A31/08
World Cup
80.3Avg total
44.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.383.6+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.840.382.1+1.562%-
Last 30 away (17)44.440.484.7+4.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.236.180.3+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.283.6+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.348.986.1-11.614%-
vs Similar (1)53.041.094.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.737.682.3+7.173%-
This opponent (China) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#46
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H28/11
World Cup
South Korea
#46
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A01/12
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A26/02
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A01/03
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H03/07
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H06/07
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H31/08
World Cup
85.6Avg total
42.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.680.7+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.335.280.5+10.180%-
Last 30 away (15)41.039.980.9+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.585.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.946.184.0-8.329%-
vs Similar (3)34.346.080.3-11.733%-
vs Weaker (20)46.333.379.6+13.085%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.2
55.2%
-52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
-14.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.4
56.0%
-44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.1
39.3%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws21.116.7
79.1%
-16.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lebanon
LWWWWWLWLW
China
WWWLWWLLLW
#18
League position
#30
+10.4
Net rating
+29.3
110.9
Offensive rating
123.9
100.4
Defensive rating
94.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
57.2%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
39.3%
65.3%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Lebanon   ■ China
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lebanon wins
5
China wins
DateGameScore
31/08/26China v Lebanon89-87
20/07/22Lebanon v China72-69
02/12/18China v Lebanon72-52
13/09/18Lebanon v China92-88 OT
20/08/17Lebanon v China78-79
28/09/15Lebanon v China72-90
21/09/12Lebanon v China63-78
16/09/12China v Lebanon69-89
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26AChina87-89
27/08/26HSouth Korea93-74
05/07/26AIndia98-72
02/07/26ASaudi Arabia88-82
29/06/26HIndia99-56
27/02/26HSaudi Arabia94-64
30/11/25HQatar83-86
27/11/25AQatar75-74
14/08/25ANew Zealand86-90
12/08/25AJapan97-73
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HLebanon89-87
27/08/26AQatar83-57
06/07/26HChinese Taipei92-74
03/07/26HJapan73-92
01/03/26AChinese Taipei100-93
26/02/26AJapan87-80
01/12/25ASouth Korea76-90
28/11/25HSouth Korea76-80
17/08/25AAustralia89-90
16/08/25HNew Zealand98-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lebanon
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.692.287.0
Allowed / game74.670.079.2
Point differential+15.0+22.2+7.8
Avg total164.2162.2166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
China
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game84.582.586.5
Allowed / game81.683.280.0
Point differential+2.9-0.8+6.5
Avg total166.1165.8166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
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