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Lebanon vs Saudi Arabia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-64
26-17 25-16 28-13 15-18
Position#18
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.0
Lebanon 🏆
vs
Position#59
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game54.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex
Other2027
Meetings · Lebanon v Saudi Arabia
27 Feb 2026
LEBA94
SAUD64
04 Jul 2022
LEBA90
SAUD60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lebanon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saudi Arabia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
Syria
#20
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
68avg 84
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
69avg 84
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
86-97
86
97
-11
82avg 84
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
100avg 84
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
85avg 84
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-16
14-18
18-14
24-16
22-15
27-18
19-24
16-21
18-21
25-16
24-31
24-20
16-11
19-24
26-16
23-29
14-31
24-27
22-26
20-9
17-26
19-26
20-22
30-23
23-19
30-22
28-23
16-9
32-12
13-18
17-26
24-34
21-9
12-17
17-17
25-31
19-14
19-21
17-25
28-26
167.8Avg total
85.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.080.0159.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)83.086.0169.0-3.00%
Season away (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.582.3167.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)85.484.0169.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.496.6176.0-17.114%
vs Similar (2)85.074.0159.0+11.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.077.9166.9+11.186%
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Palestine
#22
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-58
66
58
+8
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 74
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 74
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
84-59
84
59
+25
83avg 74
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
71avg 74
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
75-51
75
51
+24
no box
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
20-16
15-18
22-20
9-16
20-20
16-10
21-12
16-31
20-19
10-18
22-10
25-16
25-21
22-21
21-13
22-30
21-23
22-27
23-13
21-17
27-14
19-22
10-20
24-25
21-6
21-18
18-10
15-25
22-15
22-20
20-19
28-16
17-16
16-11
14-8
19-9
24-12
26-15
12-21
149.4Avg total
79.3Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.054.0132.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)81.057.0138.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.370.1149.4+9.270%
Last 5 (5)81.067.0148.0+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)62.284.7146.9-22.50%
vs Similar (5)75.279.8155.0-4.640%
vs Weaker (14)76.463.0139.4+13.493%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
LebanonSaudi Arabia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syria
#20
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/11
World Cup
79.8Avg total
41.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.682.2+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.540.680.2-1.162%-
Last 30 away (17)45.038.883.8+6.271%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.179.8+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.877.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.348.986.1-11.614%-
vs Similar (2)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.636.581.1+8.186%-
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palestine
#22
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A30/11
World Cup
77.1Avg total
41.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.074.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.437.174.5+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)34.539.073.5-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.977.1+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.631.074.6+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.744.574.2-14.70%-
vs Similar (5)41.039.280.2+1.840%-
vs Weaker (14)39.032.671.6+6.471%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.2
55.2%
-52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
-14.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.1
29.7%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws20.413.4
65.7%
-13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lebanon
LWLWLLWWWW
Saudi Arabia
WWLWWLWLWW
#18
League position
#59
+10.4
Net rating
+4.3
110.9
Offensive rating
102.6
100.4
Defensive rating
98.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
48.1%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
29.7%
65.3%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Lebanon   ■ Saudi Arabia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lebanon wins
0
Saudi Arabia wins
DateGameScore
04/07/22Lebanon v Saudi Arabia90-60
27/02/22Saudi Arabia v Lebanon68-81
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HQatar83-86
27/11/25AQatar75-74
14/08/25ANew Zealand86-90
12/08/25AJapan97-73
10/08/25ASouth Korea86-97
08/08/25HAustralia80-93
06/08/25AQatar84-80
24/02/25HUnited Arab Emirates91-88
21/02/25ABahrain84-78
25/11/24HSyria89-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AIndia81-57
27/11/25HIndia75-51
11/08/25HPhilippines88-95 OT
09/08/25AIndia84-59
07/08/25HJordan77-73
05/08/25AChina88-93
24/02/25HPalestine93-71
21/02/25AJordan68-78
25/11/24HIraq66-58
22/11/24APalestine73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lebanon
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game79.083.075.0
Allowed / game80.086.074.0
Point differential-1.0-3.0+1.0
Avg total159.0169.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saudi Arabia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.075.081.0
Allowed / game54.051.057.0
Point differential+24.0+24.0+24.0
Avg total132.0126.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
3 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
4 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
6 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
7 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
8 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
9 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
10 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
11 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
12 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
13 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
14 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
15 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
16 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
17 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
18 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
19 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
20 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
21 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
22 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
23 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
24 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
25 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
28 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
29 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
30 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
31 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
32 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
33 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
36 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
37 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
38 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
39 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
40 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
43 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
44 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
45 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
46 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
47 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
48 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
49 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
50 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
51 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
55 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
56 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
57 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
58 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
59 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
60 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
61 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
62 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
63 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
64 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
65 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
66 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
67 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
68 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
69 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
70 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
71 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
72 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
73 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
74 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
75 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
76 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
77 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
78 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
79 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
80 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
81 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
82 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
83 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
84 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
85 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
86 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
87 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
90 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lebanon2625281594
Saudi Arabia1716131864
← all games of the day
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