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Leiden vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-65
26-17 24-16 13-19 17-13
Position#10
Record11-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#18
Record2-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game89.0
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 18· Sportcomplex
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leiden v BAL Weert
31 Jan 2026
LEI80
BAL 65
05 Apr 2025
LEI85
BAL 81
27 Jan 2024
LEI72
BAL 64
19 Nov 2022
LEI99
BAL 43
05 Jan 2022
LEI94
BAL 68
11 May 2021
LEI97
BAL 71
20 Jan 2021
LEI96
BAL 69
14 Mar 2020
LEI v BAL
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
LEI93
BAL 70
02 Apr 2019
LEI103
BAL 84
24 Nov 2018
LEI100
BAL 73
03 Feb 2018
LEI74
BAL 70
14 Oct 2017
LEI101
BAL 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 75
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 75
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
96avg 75
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
66avg 75
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 75
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 75
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 75
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 75
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 75
A23/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
22-27
35-24
20-11
28-16
9-20
25-18
14-28
16-25
27-28
36-22
28-14
22-15
21-25
22-23
15-34
23-18
14-22
19-19
34-13
25-18
24-26
16-18
25-19
27-22
18-35
19-16
25-22
17-11
26-19
13-25
19-22
13-23
23-23
13-13
12-17
23-23
17-18
18-18
17-14
167.3Avg total
84.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.180.1168.2+8.165%
Season at home (8)97.481.5178.9+15.975%
Season away (9)79.978.8158.7+1.156%
Last 10 (10)84.183.2167.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)78.080.4158.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.385.7158.0-13.59%
vs Similar (5)88.880.8169.6+8.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.477.2168.6+14.186%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
47-98
47
98
-51
36avg 60
A14/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
60-97
60
97
-37
48avg 60
A21/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-110
78
110
-32
67avg 60
H06/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 60
H13/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
73-108
73
108
-35
62avg 60
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 60
H23/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
58-87
58
87
-29
41avg 60
A27/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
64-91
64
91
-27
56avg 60
A10/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H17/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
86-64
86
64
+22
81avg 60
H24/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-13
11-23
17-32
8-30
4-28
13-18
26-28
17-23
25-29
25-26
10-22
18-33
20-16
22-27
22-19
21-13
16-20
22-27
23-30
12-31
20-30
17-12
15-23
21-18
15-28
21-24
11-20
11-15
12-26
19-28
21-22
12-15
17-16
12-28
17-22
27-20
16-16
27-20
25-10
18-18
159.6Avg total
69.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.889.0157.8-20.212%
Season at home (9)73.884.0157.8-10.222%
Season away (8)63.194.6157.8-31.50%
Last 10 (10)69.789.9159.6-20.220%
Last 5 (5)70.882.2153.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)69.288.3157.5-19.014%
vs Similar (1)85.075.0160.0+10.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.1-5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -5.1-5.1
LeidenBAL Weert
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/01
BNXT League
85.8Avg total
41.6Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.886.5+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.544.389.8+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)42.441.683.9+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.686.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.345.784.0-7.527%-
vs Similar (5)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.641.388.9+6.464%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
17-46
17
46
-29
A21/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H23/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A27/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A10/01
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H17/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H24/01
BNXT League
80.0Avg total
34.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.244.479.7-9.213%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.944.680.5-8.712%-
Last 30 away (13)34.444.278.6-9.815%-
Last 10 (10)34.545.580.0-11.010%-
Last 5 (5)35.245.680.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)35.044.579.5-9.514%-
vs Similar (1)42.043.085.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.3
58.0%
54.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.1
33.6%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
72.4%16.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.215.6
48.4%
54.3%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.513.6
63.3%
72.4%13.6
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLLLWWLWLW
BAL Weert
WLLLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#18
+7.2
Net rating
-26.1
110.5
Offensive rating
88.5
103.3
Defensive rating
114.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
46.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.0%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.6%
3-point %
29.6%
58.6%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 88.5Defence103.3 · 114.7Shooting55.1% · 46.6%3-point %33.6% · 29.6%Ball care16.5% · 21.0%Off. rebounds27.2% · 22.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Leiden   ■ BAL Weert
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Leiden wins
0
BAL Weert wins
DateGameScore
27/09/25BAL Weert v Leiden64-83
05/04/25Leiden v BAL Weert85-81
16/11/24BAL Weert v Leiden65-88
27/01/24Leiden v BAL Weert72-64
04/11/23BAL Weert v Leiden71-88
04/02/23BAL Weert v Leiden58-72
19/11/22Leiden v BAL Weert99-43
05/01/22Leiden v BAL Weert94-68
06/11/21BAL Weert v Leiden59-85
11/05/21Leiden v BAL Weert97-71
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26ARotterdam75-73
17/01/26AOostende61-76
10/01/26HLimburg75-77
27/12/25HDen Bosch89-95
23/12/25AZwolle90-81
20/12/25HLeuven Bears90-72
12/12/25ABrussels Basketball80-97
06/12/25HBelfius Mons107-89
21/11/25AKortrijk76-82
15/11/25HOostende98-90
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HBelfius Mons86-64
17/01/26HDonar Groningen73-86
10/01/26ALeuven Bears64-91
27/12/25AZwolle58-87
23/12/25HDen Helder73-83
20/12/25AOkapi Aalst73-108
13/12/25HRotterdam85-75
06/12/25HAntwerp Giants78-110
21/11/25ADen Bosch60-97
14/11/25AKortrijk47-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW65%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game88.197.479.9
Allowed / game80.181.578.8
Point differential+8.1+15.9+1.1
Avg total168.2178.9158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BAL Weert
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLWLLW22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %12%22%0%
Points / game68.873.863.1
Allowed / game89.084.094.6
Point differential-20.2-10.2-31.5
Avg total157.8157.8157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1715288%90.180.1+10.0
2 Antwerp Giants1815383%95.677.3+18.2
3 Okapi Aalst1812667%95.987.8+8.1
4 Kortrijk1812667%87.781.5+6.2
5 Den Bosch1812667%86.982.0+4.9
6 Leiden1711665%88.180.1+8.1
7 Donar Groningen1610662%82.981.6+1.4
8 Mechelen1811761%78.080.7-2.7
9 Brussels Basketball1710759%85.181.0+4.1
10 Limburg189950%89.781.1+8.7
11 Spirou Charleroi157847%82.989.0-6.1
12 Leuven Bears1881044%80.579.7+0.8
13 LWD Basket1651131%86.895.5-8.8
14 Zwolle1751229%79.083.5-4.5
15 Belfius Mons1751229%86.494.6-8.2
16 Den Helder1741324%78.586.4-7.9
17 BAL Weert1721512%68.889.0-20.2
18 Rotterdam161156%77.494.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2624131780
BAL Weert1716191365
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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