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LWD Basket vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 99-88
31-18 26-16 25-25 17-29
Position#10
Record19-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#13
Record16-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje
Other2024-25
Meetings · LWD Basket v Okapi Aalst
22 Oct 2025
LWD 94
OKAP105
10 May 2025
LWD 99
OKAP88
30 Apr 2024
LWD 67
OKAP66
11 May 2022
LWD 61
OKAP78
01 Apr 2022
LWD 82
OKAP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
86-67
86
67
+19
81avg 78
A20/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
86avg 78
A28/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
84avg 78
H05/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
69-98
69
98
-29
58avg 78
A09/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
74-62
74
62
+12
71avg 78
A13/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
100-89
100
89
+11
102avg 78
H18/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-66
82
66
+16
76avg 78
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
105-80
105
80
+25
108avg 78
H27/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
88-83
88
83
+5
88avg 78
A30/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
81avg 78
A03/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
17-22
27-8
19-19
15-17
17-25
21-24
25-22
28-23
22-26
18-24
18-13
23-26
16-26
13-23
17-23
19-19
16-20
22-13
17-10
25-17
20-26
22-27
33-19
29-13
20-21
19-9
14-23
16-20
28-21
30-17
31-22
29-25
29-17
10-23
20-18
24-18
19-17
24-27
15-15
166.1Avg total
85.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)82.183.1165.2-1.154%
Season at home (17)88.585.2173.6+3.353%
Season away (18)76.081.2157.2-5.256%
Last 10 (10)85.380.8166.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)91.479.0170.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.884.4163.2-5.642%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.284.1169.3+1.156%
vs Weaker (8)82.680.8163.4+1.962%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
65avg 73
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 73
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
64avg 73
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
79avg 73
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 73
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 73
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
70avg 73
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 73
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
56avg 73
A07/05
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
23-27
22-21
17-16
25-21
19-27
17-20
11-21
20-15
16-12
10-22
22-19
29-24
14-19
18-19
21-23
21-22
22-26
12-19
25-20
19-24
10-16
28-22
9-18
20-28
17-17
13-23
25-22
22-23
22-20
17-20
18-15
32-16
32-25
23-23
13-14
11-26
16-23
13-19
21-12
159.6Avg total
77.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)80.080.1160.2-0.146%
Season at home (18)82.879.8162.6+3.150%
Season away (17)77.180.5157.6-3.541%
Last 10 (10)77.182.5159.6-5.430%
Last 5 (5)76.281.2157.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.285.7158.9-12.527%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.283.6162.8-4.333%
vs Weaker (9)89.676.0165.6+13.678%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
LWD BasketOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A28/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A09/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H27/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A30/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/05
BNXT League
85.2Avg total
43.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.983.4-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.644.889.4-0.262%-
Last 30 away (17)39.139.878.8-0.741%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.785.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.086.8+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.044.384.3-4.342%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.839.482.2+3.367%-
vs Weaker (8)42.142.884.9-0.638%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/03
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/04
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A26/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/04
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A07/05
BNXT League
83.5Avg total
40.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.381.1+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.440.884.2+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.778.1-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.183.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.541.578.1-5.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.440.983.3+1.644%-
vs Weaker (9)44.338.182.4+6.267%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.3
54.3%
52.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.5
37.5%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
71.9%15.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.7
49.1%
52.6%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.7
34.4%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
71.9%16.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LWD Basket
WWWWWWLLLW
Okapi Aalst
LWWLLLLWLL
#10
League position
#13
+5.0
Net rating
-6.7
108.3
Offensive rating
102.8
103.3
Defensive rating
109.5
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.5%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.5%
3-point %
34.4%
69.1%
Assist %
60.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 102.8Defence103.3 · 109.5Shooting55.1% · 50.2%3-point %37.5% · 34.4%Ball care20.1% · 19.5%Off. rebounds27.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ LWD Basket   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
LWD Basket wins
4
Okapi Aalst wins
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AOostende82-77
30/04/25ALeiden88-83
27/04/25HKortrijk105-80
21/04/25AQSTA Utd82-66
18/04/25HZwolle100-89
13/04/25ASpirou Charleroi74-62
09/04/25AFeyenoord69-98
05/04/25HLimburg89-98 OT
28/03/25AAntwerp Giants78-88
20/03/25ADen Helder86-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25ADen Bosch61-80
03/05/25HBAL Weert100-78
30/04/25AMechelen79-78
26/04/25ALeuven Bears75-90
18/04/25ALimburg66-80
12/04/25HZwolle80-87
02/04/25HAntwerp Giants82-85
29/03/25AFeyenoord80-74 OT
23/03/25HSpirou Charleroi72-89
21/03/25AOostende76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeWLLWW53%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %54%53%56%
Points / game82.188.576.0
Allowed / game83.185.281.2
Point differential-1.1+3.3-5.2
Avg total165.2173.6157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%35%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL46%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayWLLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %46%50%41%
Points / game80.082.877.1
Allowed / game80.179.880.5
Point differential-0.1+3.1-3.5
Avg total160.2162.6157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%28%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk35251071%93.277.9+15.3
2 Oostende35251071%86.275.4+10.8
3 Mechelen35251071%81.275.1+6.1
4 Limburg35251071%81.375.4+5.9
5 Circus Brussels35241169%78.575.9+2.6
6 Antwerp Giants35221363%84.081.0+3.0
7 Leuven Bears35211460%79.873.9+5.9
8 Den Bosch36211558%83.479.9+3.5
9 Spirou Charleroi35191654%79.975.2+4.7
10 Belfius Mons35191654%79.978.6+1.2
11 LWD Basket35191654%82.183.1-1.1
12 Leiden35171849%77.180.0-2.8
13 Okapi Aalst35161946%80.080.1-0.1
14 Zwolle35122334%81.985.4-3.6
15 Donar Groningen35122334%77.683.6-6.0
16 Den Helder35122334%73.183.1-10.0
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3562917%70.584.7-14.2
19 QSTA Utd3543111%76.288.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LWD Basket3126251799
Okapi Aalst1816252988
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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