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Leiden vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-88
25-29 17-29 23-10 18-20
Position#12
Record17-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#10
Record17-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v LWD Basket
18 Oct 2025
LEI108
LWD 89
26 May 2025
LEI82
LWD 84
22 May 2025
LEI89
LWD 67
30 Apr 2025
LEI83
LWD 88
11 Nov 2023
LEI72
LWD 67
14 May 2023
LEI98
LWD 94
10 May 2023
LEI99
LWD 93
21 Dec 2022
LEI100
LWD 66
05 Nov 2022
LEI87
LWD 70
22 Dec 2021
LEI114
LWD 68
30 Jan 2021
LEI75
LWD 63
11 Apr 2020
LEI v LWD
upcoming
04 Dec 2019
LEI73
LWD 62
09 Feb 2019
LEI91
LWD 64
16 Jan 2019
LEI96
LWD 75
05 May 2018
LEI66
LWD 55
01 May 2018
LEI85
LWD 77
12 Apr 2018
LEI72
LWD 59
13 Jan 2018
LEI77
LWD 55
18 Mar 2017
LEI82
LWD 68
01 Dec 2016
LEI72
LWD 65
04 Feb 2016
LEI84
LWD 54
17 Oct 2015
LEI91
LWD 60
17 Jan 2015
LEI94
LWD 83
04 Oct 2014
LEI113
LWD 81
01 Feb 2014
LEI80
LWD 68
09 Nov 2013
LEI86
LWD 66
21 May 2013
LEI74
LWD 64
15 May 2013
LEI74
LWD 73
06 Mar 2013
LEI70
LWD 59
22 Dec 2012
LEI72
LWD 58
01 May 2012
LEI82
LWD 72
07 Apr 2012
LEI81
LWD 71
21 Jan 2012
LEI88
LWD 65
07 Apr 2011
LEI88
LWD 49
11 Dec 2010
LEI87
LWD 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 70
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 70
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
63-98
63
98
-35
52avg 70
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 70
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 70
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 70
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 70
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
72avg 70
H20/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
59avg 70
A25/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
21-18
20-18
20-21
26-17
16-13
20-12
14-25
19-27
7-25
18-22
15-25
23-26
21-24
21-21
11-19
32-17
18-14
21-20
9-20
23-14
25-20
20-22
14-17
18-12
34-14
25-25
14-24
21-11
20-17
25-18
12-26
22-20
21-16
18-25
17-15
15-18
153.3Avg total
77.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.179.4156.5-2.353%
Season at home (16)77.478.2155.6-0.850%
Season away (16)76.880.7157.4-3.956%
Last 10 (10)77.076.3153.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)78.473.6152.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.181.4154.6-8.336%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.980.1160.0-0.357%
vs Weaker (8)80.174.6154.8+5.575%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
80-92
80
92
-12
80avg 76
H08/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
85-94
85
94
-9
74avg 76
A12/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
86-67
86
67
+19
81avg 76
A20/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
86avg 76
A28/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
84avg 76
H05/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
69-98
69
98
-29
58avg 76
A09/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
74-62
74
62
+12
71avg 76
A13/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
100-89
100
89
+11
102avg 76
H18/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-66
82
66
+16
76avg 76
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
105-80
105
80
+25
108avg 76
H27/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-32
16-25
24-13
17-15
23-21
17-27
28-31
23-18
17-22
27-8
19-19
15-17
17-25
21-24
25-22
28-23
22-26
18-24
18-13
23-26
16-26
13-23
17-23
19-19
16-20
22-13
17-10
25-17
20-26
22-27
33-19
29-13
20-21
19-9
14-23
16-20
28-21
30-17
31-22
168.2Avg total
84.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.983.3165.2-1.552%
Season at home (17)88.585.2173.6+3.353%
Season away (16)74.981.4156.2-6.550%
Last 10 (10)84.883.4168.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)86.079.0165.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.485.1164.5-5.742%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.682.7168.2+2.956%
vs Weaker (8)82.680.8163.4+1.962%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
LeidenLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H05/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H09/04
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A18/04
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/04
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/04
BNXT League
79.7Avg total
41.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.678.1+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.637.578.1+3.167%-
Last 30 away (18)40.537.778.2+2.861%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.879.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.283.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.840.777.5-3.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.337.478.7+3.971%-
vs Weaker (8)43.433.877.1+9.688%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H08/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A12/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A28/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A09/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/04
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H27/04
BNXT League
84.4Avg total
41.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.583.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.945.390.1-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.177.9-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.084.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.445.886.2-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.139.480.6+1.767%-
vs Weaker (8)42.142.884.9-0.638%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.1
51.1%
52.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.2
31.3%
34.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.211.3
74.3%
71.9%11.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
52.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.7
37.9%
34.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.815.7
72.0%
71.9%15.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LLWWWWLLWW
LWD Basket
WWWWLLLWLL
#12
League position
#10
-4.3
Net rating
+1.6
104.1
Offensive rating
108.4
108.4
Defensive rating
106.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.3%
3-point %
37.9%
70.3%
Assist %
69.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 108.4Defence108.4 · 106.8Shooting49.6% · 54.0%3-point %31.3% · 37.9%Ball care15.6% · 20.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Leiden   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Leiden wins
1
LWD Basket wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24LWD Basket v Leiden92-95 OT
17/02/24LWD Basket v Leiden101-82
11/11/23Leiden v LWD Basket72-67
14/05/23Leiden v LWD Basket98-94 OT
12/05/23LWD Basket v Leiden64-72
10/05/23Leiden v LWD Basket99-93 OT
13/01/23LWD Basket v Leiden75-76
21/12/22Leiden v LWD Basket100-66
18/12/22LWD Basket v Leiden74-83
05/11/22Leiden v LWD Basket87-70
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25ALimburg71-74
20/04/25HDonar Groningen79-81
18/04/25AFeyenoord94-74
12/04/25ABelfius Mons77-71
09/04/25HQSTA Utd71-68
05/04/25HBAL Weert85-81
29/03/25ALeuven Bears63-98
21/03/25ADonar Groningen69-77
15/03/25HOostende87-74
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HKortrijk105-80
21/04/25AQSTA Utd82-66
18/04/25HZwolle100-89
13/04/25ASpirou Charleroi74-62
09/04/25AFeyenoord69-98
05/04/25HLimburg89-98 OT
28/03/25AAntwerp Giants78-88
20/03/25ADen Helder86-67
12/03/25ABAL Weert85-94
08/03/25HDen Bosch80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game77.177.476.8
Allowed / game79.478.280.7
Point differential-2.3-0.8-3.9
Avg total156.5155.6157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)50% (6)83% (6)
Overtime %6%0%12%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWLLWW53%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game81.988.574.9
Allowed / game83.385.281.4
Point differential-1.5+3.3-6.5
Avg total165.2173.6156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%35%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3325876%93.977.4+16.5
2 Mechelen3224875%81.874.7+7.1
3 Oostende3324973%86.275.5+10.6
4 Limburg34241071%80.874.8+6.0
5 Circus Brussels33221167%78.175.6+2.4
6 Antwerp Giants33201361%83.181.1+2.1
7 Leuven Bears33191458%80.174.2+6.0
8 Den Bosch33191458%83.780.7+3.0
9 Belfius Mons33181555%79.778.4+1.3
10 Leiden32171553%77.179.4-2.3
11 Spirou Charleroi34181653%79.675.2+4.4
12 LWD Basket33171652%81.983.3-1.5
13 Okapi Aalst32141844%80.080.3-0.2
14 Zwolle33122136%82.084.9-2.9
15 Donar Groningen33112233%76.984.1-7.1
16 Den Helder33112233%73.383.5-10.2
17 Feyenoord3592626%77.987.1-9.1
18 BAL Weert3362718%70.583.9-13.4
19 QSTA Utd3342912%76.588.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2517231883
LWD Basket2929102088
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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