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Leuven Bears vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 67-64
11-11 14-14 17-22 25-17
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Leiden
24 Oct 2026
LEUV67
LEI64
14 Feb 2026
LEUV90
LEI73
29 Mar 2025
LEUV98
LEI63
01 Jun 2022
LEUV82
LEI68
23 Apr 2022
LEUV86
LEI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 73
A10/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
80avg 73
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 73
A19/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 73
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 73
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 73
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 73
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
69-65
69
65
+4
45avg 73
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 73
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
72-69
72
69
+3
72avg 73
H17/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
21-26
15-25
17-19
19-22
26-14
16-21
27-28
19-22
11-18
17-11
11-15
22-15
11-16
19-16
17-26
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
13-11
17-29
23-22
25-19
16-22
26-13
12-23
18-11
148.8Avg total
74.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.071.7144.7+1.367%
Season at home (2)70.567.0137.5+3.5100%
Season away (1)78.081.0159.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)74.174.7148.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)73.068.2141.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.983.6161.5-5.736%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.774.9149.6-0.250%
vs Weaker (9)84.973.2158.1+11.767%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 77
H11/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
92-96
92
96
-4
87avg 77
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
69avg 77
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
76avg 77
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 77
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 77
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 77
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 77
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 77
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 77
H17/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
22-21
20-29
13-24
18-25
24-26
23-14
27-31
17-28
17-24
27-21
17-24
31-31
19-27
23-21
12-18
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
171.5Avg total
85.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.375.0151.3+1.367%
Season at home (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.685.9171.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)87.880.2168.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.687.4163.0-11.810%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.286.6174.8+1.756%
vs Weaker (11)82.976.9159.8+6.073%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Leuven BearsLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A10/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H16/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A19/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/10
BNXT League
74.1Avg total
37.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.778.5+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.637.180.7+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.038.376.3-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.074.1+0.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.870.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.542.883.4-2.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.234.373.5+4.980%-
vs Weaker (9)42.935.278.1+7.789%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H11/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H17/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
86.0Avg total
41.6Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.183.1-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.844.886.6-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.379.2-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.486.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.881.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.745.183.8-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.644.186.7-1.656%-
vs Weaker (11)39.140.579.6-1.555%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.8
54.4%
53.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.4
29.1%
32.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.513.5
62.8%
71.0%13.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.8
55.5%
53.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.3
33.9%
32.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.1
73.7%
71.0%15.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WLWWWLLLWL
Leiden
WLWWWWLLLL
#9
League position
#8
+1.8
Net rating
+1.0
88.4
Offensive rating
97.1
86.6
Defensive rating
96.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
53.7%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.1%
3-point %
33.9%
60.3%
Assist %
63.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.4 · 97.1Defence86.6 · 96.1Shooting50.3% · 53.7%3-point %29.1% · 33.9%Ball care17.5% · 16.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Leuven Bears wins
4
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Leuven Bears v Leiden90-73
20/12/25Leiden v Leuven Bears90-72
29/03/25Leuven Bears v Leiden98-63
28/09/24Leiden v Leuven Bears78-77
03/06/22Leiden v Leuven Bears81-59
01/06/22Leuven Bears v Leiden82-68
23/04/22Leuven Bears v Leiden86-57
19/03/22Leiden v Leuven Bears95-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HKortrijk72-69
06/10/26ADonar Groningen78-81
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97
23/04/26ASpirou Charleroi69-73
19/04/26ADen Bosch58-66
16/04/26HDen Bosch88-85
10/04/26ARotterdam75-85
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
25/04/26HOkapi Aalst85-97
20/04/26AAntwerp Giants78-97
17/04/26HAntwerp Giants92-96
11/04/26HKortrijk69-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game73.070.578.0
Allowed / game71.767.081.0
Point differential+1.3+3.5-3.0
Avg total144.7137.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game76.376.576.0
Allowed / game75.077.071.0
Point differential+1.3-0.5+5.0
Avg total151.3153.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants440100%111.882.5+29.2
2 Brussels Basketball330100%84.065.0+19.0
3 Limburg43175%94.086.2+7.8
4 Okapi Aalst32167%88.786.0+2.7
5 Leiden32167%76.375.0+1.3
6 Leuven Bears32167%73.071.7+1.3
7 Zwolle32167%71.371.3+0.0
8 Donar Groningen32167%76.381.3-5.0
9 Spirou Charleroi42250%79.565.5+14.0
10 Oostende42250%79.877.8+2.0
11 Den Bosch42250%76.079.0-3.0
12 Mechelen42250%89.895.2-5.5
13 Kortrijk4040%83.589.5-6.0
14 Rotterdam3030%67.080.7-13.7
15 CB Liege4040%73.092.8-19.8
16 Belfius Mons3030%60.090.7-30.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears1114172567
Leiden1114221764
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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