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Guangdong vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 124-97
29-29 30-22 33-29 32-17
Position#4
Record35-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game103.8
Guangdong 🏆
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#9
Record27-22
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game99.1
ChinaCBARound 50· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangdong v Guangzhou
13 Mar 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
17 Jan 2027
GUAN v GUAN
upcoming
03 May 2026
GUAN90
GUAN80
28 Apr 2026
GUAN76
GUAN93
19 Dec 2025
GUAN97
GUAN94
24 Jan 2025
GUAN111
GUAN82
13 Nov 2024
GUAN88
GUAN68
31 Mar 2024
GUAN124
GUAN97
10 Dec 2022
GUAN101
GUAN94
05 Mar 2022
GUAN98
GUAN89
14 Mar 2021
GUAN110
GUAN104
14 Jul 2020
GUAN121
GUAN99
18 Jan 2019
GUAN131
GUAN106
31 Oct 2017
GUAN105
GUAN94
19 Feb 2017
GUAN117
GUAN96
06 Nov 2015
GUAN127
GUAN100
28 Dec 2014
GUAN122
GUAN109
28 Dec 2013
GUAN87
GUAN88
14 Dec 2012
GUAN94
GUAN102
04 Dec 2011
GUAN116
GUAN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
no box
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
121-113
121
113
+8
112avg 104
H09/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
120-116
120
116
+4
119avg 104
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
119-94
119
94
+25
115avg 104
H15/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
104-92
104
92
+12
104avg 104
A17/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
127-101
127
101
+26
131avg 104
H20/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 104
H22/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
121-107
121
107
+14
122avg 104
A24/03
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 104
A27/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
131-78
131
78
+53
150avg 104
H29/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-38
37-27
24-26
28-29
32-30
38-32
28-18
23-33
36-42
28-32
28-23
28-19
33-29
32-22
29-27
25-16
35-32
29-12
17-17
23-31
39-23
32-32
24-24
32-22
20-17
24-22
23-28
27-20
32-31
31-26
30-29
28-21
33-32
26-16
24-20
27-24
43-17
30-18
28-23
30-20
219.2Avg total
118.1Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)110.3103.8214.1+6.671%
Season at home (25)114.7103.0217.8+11.776%
Season away (24)105.8104.5210.3+1.267%
Last 10 (10)118.1101.1219.2+17.0100%
Last 5 (5)116.693.0209.6+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)107.3102.2209.5+5.140%
vs Weaker (20)113.3105.0218.3+8.380%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 96
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-104
97
104
-7
78avg 96
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 96
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
108-96
108
96
+12
103avg 96
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 96
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 96
A21/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
115-106
115
106
+9
100avg 96
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 96
H26/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
W
103-99
103
99
+4
91avg 96
A29/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
22-25
26-30
16-19
33-30
34-35
29-22
26-21
26-22
27-21
29-28
23-19
29-28
27-24
27-19
23-15
24-21
25-27
20-22
27-24
30-26
32-26
17-23
38-29
28-28
29-33
30-22
29-20
32-28
21-18
22-29
41-23
19-29
206.1Avg total
106.4Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)102.799.1201.8+3.555%
Season at home (24)105.098.0203.0+7.062%
Season away (25)100.4100.2200.6+0.248%
Last 10 (10)106.499.7206.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)108.297.2205.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)100.7103.3204.0-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)102.7101.7204.3+1.050%
vs Weaker (12)106.196.6202.7+9.575%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
GuangdongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H09/03
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A13/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H15/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A17/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H20/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H22/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A24/03
CBA
Beijing
#11
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A27/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
73-35
73
35
+38
H29/03
CBA
117.1Avg total
64.1Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.453.2110.6+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.452.9112.4+6.578%-
Last 30 away (12)54.353.6107.9+0.842%-
Last 10 (10)64.153.0117.1+11.190%-
Last 5 (5)62.046.8108.8+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)54.754.0108.7+0.740%-
vs Weaker (20)58.852.8111.5+6.075%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H16/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A21/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A24/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H26/03
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A29/03
CBA
103.3Avg total
52.7Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.551.3103.8+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.251.9107.1+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)50.150.9101.0-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)52.750.6103.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)50.048.698.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.355.7109.0-2.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.852.3103.1-1.642%-
vs Weaker (12)53.848.2102.0+5.775%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.533.5
61.5%
52.7%67.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.3
37.2%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws24.119.1
79.3%
76.0%19.1
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 105.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.926.8
49.7%
52.7%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.9
42.8%
34.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
76.0%16.3
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WWWWWWWWWW
Guangzhou
WWWWWWWLLL
#4
League position
#9
+18.5
Net rating
+7.4
121.0
Offensive rating
116.2
102.5
Defensive rating
108.8
59.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.0%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.2%
3-point %
42.8%
65.1%
Assist %
57.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.0 · 116.2Defence102.5 · 108.8Shooting59.5% · 54.7%3-point %37.2% · 42.8%Ball care16.5% · 13.0%Off. rebounds34.0% · 27.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Guangdong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangdong wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
17/03/23Guangzhou v Guangdong79-101
10/12/22Guangdong v Guangzhou101-94 OT
13/03/22Guangzhou v Guangdong120-101
05/03/22Guangdong v Guangzhou98-89
14/03/21Guangdong v Guangzhou110-104
01/03/21Guangzhou v Guangdong98-105
14/07/20Guangdong v Guangzhou121-99
22/12/19Guangzhou v Guangdong90-116
18/01/19Guangdong v Guangzhou131-106
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha131-78
27/03/24ABeijing110-92
24/03/24ABeijing Royal Fighters121-107
22/03/24HJiangsu Dragons94-87
20/03/24HShandong127-101
17/03/24ASichuan104-92
15/03/24HLiaoning119-94
13/03/24AFujian120-116
09/03/24HJilin121-113
07/03/24HBeijing Royal Fighters134-131 OT
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24ATianjin103-99
26/03/24HZhejiang Guangsha120-103
24/03/24AShenzhen115-106
21/03/24AQingdao102-99
19/03/24HJiangsu Dragons101-79
16/03/24HXinjiang108-96
14/03/24AJilin115-100
11/03/24HShanghai97-104
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %71%76%67%
Points / game110.3114.7105.8
Allowed / game103.8103.0104.5
Point differential+6.6+11.7+1.2
Avg total214.1217.8210.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%52%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)50% (4)100% (7)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLWWWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492425
Win %55%62%48%
Points / game102.7105.0100.4
Allowed / game99.198.0100.2
Point differential+3.5+7.0+0.2
Avg total201.8203.0200.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%54%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)0% (3)56% (9)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4940982%103.493.6+9.8
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou50391178%108.998.5+10.4
3 Xinjiang49381178%105.496.8+8.6
4 Guangdong49351471%110.3103.8+6.6
5 Zhejiang Guangsha49321765%103.997.8+6.1
6 Shanghai50321864%106.3102.6+3.7
7 Shenzhen50302060%104.9102.3+2.6
8 Qingdao49292059%103.1100.3+2.9
9 Beijing Royal Fighters50282256%106.0103.9+2.1
10 Guangzhou49272255%102.799.1+3.5
11 Beijing49252451%100.7100.0+0.7
12 Shanxi Zhongyu49242549%110.8111.6-0.8
13 Nanjing Tongxi49232647%103.8106.1-2.4
14 Tianjin49212843%106.5109.0-2.4
15 Shandong50203040%103.3104.9-1.6
16 Jilin49183137%103.4106.8-3.4
17 Fujian50173334%103.0107.0-4.0
18 Ningbo Rockets4964312%93.0107.2-14.2
19 Jiangsu Dragons5064412%92.1103.4-11.3
20 Sichuan504468%94.8111.4-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong29303332124
Guangzhou2922291797
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