PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#154
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#293
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Liberty v New Mexico State
30 Jan 2027
LIBE v NEW
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
LIBE73
NEW 71
18 Jan 2025
LIBE68
NEW 60
29 Feb 2024
LIBE83
NEW 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H11/03
NCAA
High Point
#61
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A02/11
NCAA
Boyce
#514
W
113-54
113
54
+59
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-40
39-40
37-48
36-46
29-32
36-42
27-34
54-44
40-45
31-31
41-31
38-41
37-33
32-44
34-37
23-35
51-19
62-35
40-34
34-32
152.4Avg total
77.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.364.0145.3+17.367%
Season at home (2)93.560.0153.5+33.5100%
Season away (1)57.072.0129.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)77.275.2152.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)78.468.2146.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)69.972.0141.9-2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.871.1149.9+7.882%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#352
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#273
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#164
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
32-38
26-48
44-45
42-36
34-40
24-33
44-35
37-33
42-43
39-28
29-35
26-37
35-32
26-31
47-35
42-47
26-62
28-28
30-32
146.6Avg total
70.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.378.3144.7-12.033%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)63.084.5147.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)70.676.0146.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)65.673.4139.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.078.4148.4-8.414%
vs Similar (15)73.676.2149.8-2.647%
vs Weaker (6)77.071.7148.7+5.350%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -3.4-3.4
LibertyNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/03
NCAA
High Point
#61
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/11
NCAA
Boyce
#514
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.969.9+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.632.574.1+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)31.833.365.1-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.373.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.630.871.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)32.835.067.8-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.232.271.4+7.082%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#352
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#273
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#164
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A13/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.768.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.231.365.5+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.137.871.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)32.534.667.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.266.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.137.971.0-4.729%-
vs Similar (15)33.636.369.9-2.733%-
vs Weaker (6)35.230.765.8+4.567%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Liberty wins
1
New Mexico State wins
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HN. Carolina Central74-66
07/11/26HBoyce113-54
02/11/26AHigh Point57-72
11/03/26HMissouri State69-77
07/03/26HSam Houston St.79-72
06/03/26HLouisiana Tech71-76
28/02/26AJacksonville State81-78
27/02/26AKennesaw State65-74
21/02/26HWestern Kentucky73-94
19/02/26HFlorida International90-89 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUTEP58-60
07/11/26AGonzaga68-109
04/11/26HWestern N. M.73-66
12/03/26ASam Houston St.61-69
11/03/26AJacksonville State68-63
07/03/26HKennesaw State79-76
06/03/26HJacksonville State77-75 OT
28/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.85-86 OT
27/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-93
22/02/26HUTEP67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.393.557.0
Allowed / game64.060.072.0
Point differential+17.3+33.5-15.0
Avg total145.3153.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game66.373.063.0
Allowed / game78.366.084.5
Point differential-12.0+7.0-21.5
Avg total144.7139.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.