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Liberty vs Sam Houston St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Liberty v Sam Houston St.
28 Jan 2027
LIBE v SAM
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LIBE79
SAM 72
08 Feb 2025
LIBE64
SAM 61
20 Jan 2024
LIBE82
SAM 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-38
0-0
37-38
0-0
30-32
0-0
47-43
0-0
28-26
0-0
45-38
0-0
41-40
0-0
39-40
0-0
37-48
0-0
36-46
0-0
29-32
0-0
36-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
54-44
0-0
40-45
0-0
31-31
0-0
41-31
0-0
38-41
0-0
37-33
0-0
32-44
153.2Avg total
75.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.777.5153.2-1.860%
Last 5 (5)73.075.4148.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)73.071.8144.8+1.269%
vs Weaker (17)80.269.9150.1+10.482%
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-37
0-0
40-50
0-0
45-42
0-0
38-37
0-0
44-32
0-0
34-38
0-0
36-26
0-0
46-52
0-0
50-31
0-0
50-36
0-0
43-34
0-0
43-47
0-0
33-33
0-0
47-50
0-0
31-41
0-0
41-38
0-0
37-26
0-0
32-35
0-0
37-31
0-0
36-48
156.5Avg total
80.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.176.4156.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)76.076.6152.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)80.676.2156.8+4.564%
vs Weaker (18)81.772.9154.7+8.872%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
LibertySam Houston St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#223
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/03
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.432.670.0+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.932.274.2+9.781%-
Last 30 away (14)32.232.965.1-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.971.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.069.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)34.434.268.6+0.246%-
vs Weaker (17)39.731.371.0+8.482%-
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/03
NCAA
72.7Avg total
39.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.432.972.3+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.629.670.2+11.093%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.374.4+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.372.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.069.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)36.834.271.0+2.673%-
vs Weaker (18)40.532.773.2+7.878%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Liberty wins
1
Sam Houston St. wins
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HMissouri State69-77
07/03/26HSam Houston St.79-72
06/03/26HLouisiana Tech71-76
28/02/26AJacksonville State81-78
27/02/26AKennesaw State65-74
21/02/26HWestern Kentucky73-94
19/02/26HFlorida International90-89 OT
14/02/26AUTEP73-64
12/02/26ANew Mexico State77-75
07/02/26HMissouri State79-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HKennesaw State73-79
12/03/26HNew Mexico State69-61
07/03/26ALiberty72-79
06/03/26ADelaware80-83
28/02/26HMissouri State86-81
27/02/26HFlorida International100-67
21/02/26HJacksonville State82-78
19/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.78-70
14/02/26AKennesaw State83-79
07/02/26ALouisiana Tech78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Villanova110100%74.072.0+2.0
2 Notre Dame1010%72.074.0-2.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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