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Liberty vs Sam Houston St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#154
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game64.0
Liberty
USA
vs
Sam Houston St.
USA
Position#226
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Liberty v Sam Houston St.
28 Jan 2027
LIBE v SAM
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LIBE79
SAM 72
08 Feb 2025
LIBE64
SAM 61
20 Jan 2024
LIBE82
SAM 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H11/03
NCAA
High Point
#61
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A02/11
NCAA
Boyce
#514
W
113-54
113
54
+59
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-40
39-40
37-48
36-46
29-32
36-42
27-34
54-44
40-45
31-31
41-31
38-41
37-33
32-44
34-37
23-35
51-19
62-35
40-34
34-32
152.4Avg total
77.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.364.0145.3+17.367%
Season at home (2)93.560.0153.5+33.5100%
Season away (1)57.072.0129.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)77.275.2152.4+2.050%
Last 5 (5)78.468.2146.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)69.972.0141.9-2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.871.1149.9+7.882%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#86
L
86-108
86
108
-22
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-31
50-36
43-34
43-47
33-33
47-50
31-41
41-38
37-26
32-35
37-31
36-48
29-40
45-56
53-23
49-36
41-35
44-42
40-45
46-63
161.7Avg total
82.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.885.0171.8+1.850%
Season at home (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)80.0102.0182.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)82.779.0161.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)84.083.8167.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.793.7175.3-12.033%
vs Similar (9)79.477.8157.2+1.756%
vs Weaker (18)82.771.7154.4+11.072%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.8-1.8
LibertySam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/03
NCAA
High Point
#61
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/11
NCAA
Boyce
#514
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.969.9+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.632.574.1+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)31.833.365.1-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.373.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.630.871.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)32.835.067.8-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.232.271.4+7.082%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#502
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#86
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.533.472.9+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.329.871.1+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.074.7+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.973.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.874.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.740.076.7-3.333%-
vs Similar (9)36.833.870.6+3.078%-
vs Weaker (18)41.332.173.4+9.278%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Liberty wins
1
Sam Houston St. wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Liberty v Sam Houston St.79-72
10/01/26Sam Houston St. v Liberty74-82
08/02/25Liberty v Sam Houston St.64-61
10/01/25Sam Houston St. v Liberty68-76
18/02/24Sam Houston St. v Liberty83-73
21/01/24Liberty v Sam Houston St.82-66
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HN. Carolina Central74-66
07/11/26HBoyce113-54
02/11/26AHigh Point57-72
11/03/26HMissouri State69-77
07/03/26HSam Houston St.79-72
06/03/26HLouisiana Tech71-76
28/02/26AJacksonville State81-78
27/02/26AKennesaw State65-74
21/02/26HWestern Kentucky73-94
19/02/26HFlorida International90-89 OT
Sam Houston St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIllinois86-108
12/11/26HPepperdine85-77
07/11/26HHoward Payne102-59
04/11/26AAlabama74-96
13/03/26HKennesaw State73-79
12/03/26HNew Mexico State69-61
07/03/26ALiberty72-79
06/03/26ADelaware80-83
28/02/26HMissouri State86-81
27/02/26HFlorida International100-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.393.557.0
Allowed / game64.060.072.0
Point differential+17.3+33.5-15.0
Avg total145.3153.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.893.580.0
Allowed / game85.068.0102.0
Point differential+1.8+25.5-22.0
Avg total171.8161.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
9 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
10 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
11 Delaware31233%76.762.7+14.0
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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