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Lietkabelis vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 May 2024
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 88-82
31-21 14-25 23-20 20-16
Position#5
Record15-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#7
Record13-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.2
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilis arena (Panev
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Mazeikiai
19 Apr 2025
LIE90
MAZ69
21 Sep 2024
LIE82
MAZ78
02 May 2024
LIE88
MAZ82
20 Mar 2024
LIE82
MAZ81
14 Feb 2015
LIE84
MAZ98
13 Oct 2014
LIE76
MAZ67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
96avg 77
A09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
72-109
72
109
-37
63avg 77
A17/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
63avg 77
H20/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
89avg 77
H24/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 77
H28/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 77
H01/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
100-113
100
113
-13
93avg 77
A07/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
84-88
84
88
-4
83avg 77
A13/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
90-63
90
63
+27
86avg 77
H16/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
77avg 77
H28/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
20-24
17-22
31-13
16-27
13-19
25-36
18-27
19-26
15-22
31-24
17-9
15-14
22-21
25-20
28-25
18-17
22-26
16-20
21-26
16-22
24-28
18-18
19-15
20-34
26-35
33-22
21-22
27-20
14-23
22-31
21-14
20-19
26-18
19-12
25-14
16-29
25-25
18-12
19-25
171.3Avg total
84.2Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.183.8167.9+0.454%
Season at home (15)84.981.6166.5+3.360%
Season away (13)83.286.2169.5-3.046%
Last 10 (10)84.287.1171.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)85.887.6173.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.988.9169.9-8.031%
vs Similar (7)76.479.6156.0-3.114%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)89.181.0170.1+8.186%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
69avg 72
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
94-91
94
91
+3
87avg 72
A17/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 72
A20/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
79-73
79
73
+6
79avg 72
H27/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
88avg 72
A01/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
74avg 72
H06/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-104
78
104
-26
70avg 72
A10/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
53avg 72
H14/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
42avg 72
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
55avg 72
A29/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
26-22
17-16
17-19
17-29
16-21
31-22
30-19
26-19
22-15
24-31
9-17
17-22
25-13
24-22
13-16
21-21
20-15
22-32
26-23
14-15
27-17
16-19
16-20
21-26
23-30
15-23
19-25
23-24
13-22
11-17
15-16
14-21
12-31
20-18
17-19
7-31
23-25
15-23
23-16
161.7Avg total
77.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.183.2161.3-5.243%
Season at home (15)74.577.5152.1-3.047%
Season away (15)81.688.9170.5-7.340%
Last 10 (10)77.084.7161.7-7.740%
Last 5 (5)68.887.6156.4-18.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.987.6163.5-11.631%
vs Similar (9)84.483.9168.3+0.656%
vs Weaker (5)87.480.4167.8+7.080%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
LietkabelisMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A17/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H24/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H01/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
46-69
46
69
-23
A07/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A13/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H28/04
LKL
86.2Avg total
39.8Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.482.9-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.542.282.8-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)38.444.683.1-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.846.486.2-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.693.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.944.984.8-5.031%-
vs Similar (7)36.040.976.9-4.914%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.342.484.7-0.171%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A17/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A20/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H06/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A10/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H14/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A29/04
LKL
82.4Avg total
39.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.383.3-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.540.778.2-3.340%-
Last 30 away (15)42.745.888.5-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.482.4-4.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.448.483.8-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.443.881.2-6.338%-
vs Similar (9)43.344.287.6-0.944%-
vs Weaker (5)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.4
60.4%
55.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.8
29.4%
34.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.419.3
76.0%
73.2%19.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.3
52.0%
55.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.1%
34.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
73.2%15.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWLLLLWWLW
Mazeikiai
LLLLWLWLWW
#5
League position
#7
-3.8
Net rating
-10.1
112.0
Offensive rating
100.4
115.7
Defensive rating
110.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
22.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.4%
3-point %
30.1%
66.7%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 100.4Defence115.7 · 110.5Shooting53.2% · 48.8%3-point %29.4% · 30.1%Ball care18.5% · 22.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 33.9%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lietkabelis wins
1
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
20/03/24Lietkabelis v Mazeikiai82-81
18/11/23Mazeikiai v Lietkabelis64-82
21/04/15Mazeikiai v Lietkabelis88-89 OT
14/02/15Lietkabelis v Mazeikiai84-98
30/12/14Mazeikiai v Lietkabelis66-71
13/10/14Lietkabelis v Mazeikiai76-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HJuventus78-91
16/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes90-63
13/04/24ANeptunas84-88
07/04/24ARytas100-113
01/04/24HZalgiris Kaunas77-83
28/03/24HRytas77-89
24/03/24HJonava90-80
20/03/24HMazeikiai82-81
17/03/24ABC Wolves72-109
09/03/24AJonava92-74
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas68-95
21/04/24HRytas63-89
14/04/24HJonava62-79
10/04/24ABC Wolves78-104
06/04/24HJuventus73-71
01/04/24ANeptunas89-91
27/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes79-73
20/03/24ALietkabelis81-82
17/03/24ASiauliai94-91
07/03/24ANevezis83-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL54%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayWWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %54%60%46%
Points / game84.184.983.2
Allowed / game83.881.686.2
Point differential+0.4+3.3-3.0
Avg total167.9166.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeLWWLL47%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %43%47%40%
Points / game78.174.581.6
Allowed / game83.277.588.9
Point differential-5.2-3.0-7.3
Avg total161.3152.1170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2825389%88.173.1+15.0
2 Rytas3125681%92.780.1+12.7
3 BC Wolves3022873%87.379.1+8.3
4 Juventus29181162%88.781.4+7.2
5 Lietkabelis28151354%84.183.8+0.4
6 Neptunas31161552%85.085.6-0.6
7 Mazeikiai30131743%78.183.2-5.2
8 Jonava31121939%82.485.8-3.5
9 Nevezis2992031%84.091.3-7.3
10 Siauliai3082227%81.587.4-5.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes3062420%82.894.0-11.2
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis3114232088
Mazeikiai2125201682
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