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Neptunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 91-89
21-21 15-20 32-22 23-26
Position#6
Record12-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#7
Record12-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.0
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Mazeikiai
14 May 2025
NEP85
MAZ79
01 Feb 2025
NEP99
MAZ63
09 Oct 2024
NEP106
MAZ71
01 Apr 2024
NEP91
MAZ89
08 Nov 2023
NEP109
MAZ80
23 Oct 2023
NEP84
MAZ87
04 Jan 2015
NEP95
MAZ77
27 Sep 2014
NEP110
MAZ64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
71avg 81
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
111avg 81
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 81
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
55avg 81
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
72avg 81
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 81
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 81
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
72avg 81
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 81
A25/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
18-28
17-22
19-21
17-28
30-12
29-22
24-19
17-18
21-17
14-29
24-15
17-30
17-23
21-22
18-17
22-26
17-18
21-21
26-21
13-24
22-24
20-27
20-20
23-21
26-18
15-25
14-12
19-17
23-22
24-22
19-15
18-11
27-16
17-30
22-26
22-16
29-21
18-30
27-16
168.9Avg total
83.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.284.4168.6-0.250%
Season at home (11)84.382.8167.1+1.555%
Season away (13)84.185.8169.8-1.746%
Last 10 (10)83.785.2168.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)83.682.6166.2+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.790.0170.7-9.330%
vs Similar (5)78.882.0160.8-3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.781.7172.4+8.973%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
96avg 73
A08/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
100-74
100
74
+26
94avg 73
H15/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-103
75
103
-28
61avg 73
A28/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
96-87
96
87
+9
96avg 73
A03/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
83avg 73
H10/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 73
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
69avg 73
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
94-91
94
91
+3
87avg 73
A17/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 73
A20/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
79-73
79
73
+6
79avg 73
H27/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
30-21
24-24
24-19
14-18
23-20
34-22
29-14
14-20
17-29
24-31
20-23
30-22
28-27
21-20
17-18
22-25
18-13
13-16
35-32
25-21
13-23
19-20
16-20
23-15
26-22
17-16
17-19
17-29
16-21
31-22
30-19
26-19
22-15
24-31
9-17
17-22
25-13
24-22
13-16
169.6Avg total
86.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.582.0161.5-2.550%
Season at home (12)76.777.0153.7-0.350%
Season away (12)82.487.0169.4-4.650%
Last 10 (10)86.283.4169.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)82.080.4162.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.185.4160.4-10.325%
vs Similar (9)86.384.2170.6+2.156%
vs Weaker (5)87.480.4167.8+7.080%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
NeptunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A25/03
LKL
83.2Avg total
42.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.384.6+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.043.685.6-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)44.439.383.7+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.083.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.082.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.543.184.6-1.640%-
vs Similar (5)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.640.785.3+3.960%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A03/02
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A17/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A20/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/03
LKL
83.4Avg total
42.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.782.4-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.978.2-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)41.045.586.5-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.383.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.443.279.7-6.831%-
vs Similar (9)43.743.387.0+0.356%-
vs Weaker (5)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.923.0
59.1%
55.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.1
29.3%
34.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
73.2%15.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.1
57.0%
55.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws26.118.8
72.0%
73.2%18.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWWWLLLLWL
Mazeikiai
WLWWLWWLWW
#6
League position
#7
-1.2
Net rating
+3.5
112.3
Offensive rating
113.4
113.5
Defensive rating
109.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.43
29.3%
3-point %
33.8%
71.1%
Assist %
66.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 113.4Defence113.5 · 109.9Shooting53.3% · 54.2%3-point %29.3% · 33.8%Ball care15.8% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
2
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-68
08/11/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai109-80
23/10/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai84-87
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
04/01/15Neptunas v Mazeikiai95-77
10/11/14Mazeikiai v Neptunas69-81
27/09/14Neptunas v Mazeikiai110-64
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24AJuventus96-83
16/03/24ARytas84-83
11/03/24HSiauliai85-76
04/03/24ALietkabelis78-76
12/02/24HZalgiris Kaunas75-95
04/02/24ANevezis92-96 OT
27/01/24ABC Wolves73-92
21/01/24ALietkabelis76-79
14/01/24HGargzdai100-81
07/01/24HJuventus78-91
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes79-73
20/03/24ALietkabelis81-82
17/03/24ASiauliai94-91
07/03/24ANevezis83-72
02/03/24HBC Wolves73-84
10/02/24HJuventus88-86
03/02/24AJonava96-87
28/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-103
15/01/24HPieno Zvaigzdes100-74
08/01/24AGargzdai93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %50%55%46%
Points / game84.284.384.1
Allowed / game84.482.885.8
Point differential-0.2+1.5-1.7
Avg total168.6167.1169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.576.782.4
Allowed / game82.077.087.0
Point differential-2.5-0.3-4.6
Avg total161.5153.7169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2321291%86.371.8+14.4
2 Rytas2521484%93.479.2+14.2
3 BC Wolves2517868%85.079.3+5.8
4 Lietkabelis2314961%83.782.9+0.8
5 Juventus24141058%89.081.5+7.5
6 Neptunas24121250%84.284.4-0.2
7 Mazeikiai24121250%79.582.0-2.5
8 Jonava2491538%82.385.2-3.0
9 Nevezis2571828%82.491.6-9.2
10 Siauliai2461825%80.987.4-6.5
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2451921%83.593.3-9.8
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2115322391
Mazeikiai2120222689
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