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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 95-68
31-7 25-23 23-15 16-23
Position#1
Record24-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#7
Record13-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.8
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Mazeikiai
24 Apr 2025
ZAL109
MAZ63
17 Nov 2024
ZAL101
MAZ46
12 May 2024
ZAL97
MAZ61
29 Apr 2024
ZAL95
MAZ68
28 Jan 2024
ZAL103
MAZ75
26 Jan 2015
ZAL76
MAZ52
24 Nov 2014
ZAL98
MAZ79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 79
H19/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
87avg 79
H21/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
92-69
92
69
+23
95avg 79
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 79
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 79
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
58avg 79
A04/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
62-64
62
64
-2
48avg 79
H11/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
92-78
92
78
+14
82avg 79
H14/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
102avg 79
A17/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-57
101
57
+44
114avg 79
H21/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
21-27
25-14
28-18
25-17
23-17
23-23
23-19
28-19
19-15
19-23
26-12
14-17
21-20
24-17
28-19
22-16
28-24
18-18
15-19
11-20
18-19
15-12
22-18
9-16
16-15
17-13
20-20
27-22
22-19
19-16
24-21
19-19
21-19
11-23
36-26
30-15
21-10
26-13
24-19
164.3Avg total
88.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.973.3161.1+14.689%
Season at home (13)90.073.8163.8+16.292%
Season away (14)85.972.8158.6+13.186%
Last 10 (10)88.575.8164.3+12.770%
Last 5 (5)86.676.4163.0+10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.066.0137.0+5.050%
vs Similar (15)83.980.0163.9+3.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.275.4169.5+18.885%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
60avg 72
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
69avg 72
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
94-91
94
91
+3
87avg 72
A17/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
82avg 72
A20/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
79-73
79
73
+6
79avg 72
H27/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
88avg 72
A01/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
74avg 72
H06/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-104
78
104
-26
70avg 72
A10/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
53avg 72
H14/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
42avg 72
H21/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
13-23
19-20
16-20
23-15
26-22
17-16
17-19
17-29
16-21
31-22
30-19
26-19
22-15
24-31
9-17
17-22
25-13
24-22
13-16
21-21
20-15
22-32
26-23
14-15
27-17
16-19
16-20
21-26
23-30
15-23
19-25
23-24
13-22
11-17
15-16
14-21
12-31
20-18
17-19
161.1Avg total
77.5Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.482.8161.2-4.445%
Season at home (15)74.577.5152.1-3.047%
Season away (14)82.688.5171.1-5.943%
Last 10 (10)77.583.6161.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)73.086.8159.8-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.187.2162.3-12.231%
vs Similar (9)84.483.9168.3+0.656%
vs Weaker (5)87.480.4167.8+7.080%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
Zalgiris KaunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H19/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A24/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A01/04
LKL
Monaco
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A04/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H11/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H14/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H21/04
LKL
78.5Avg total
41.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.682.8+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.937.683.6+8.365%-
Last 30 away (13)42.139.881.8+2.354%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.878.5+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.873.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (15)41.940.882.7+1.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.536.685.1+11.885%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A17/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A20/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/03
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/04
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H06/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A10/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H14/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H21/04
LKL
82.0Avg total
39.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.383.0-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.540.778.2-3.340%-
Last 30 away (15)42.145.887.9-3.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.282.0-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.482.0-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.943.880.6-6.938%-
vs Similar (9)43.344.287.6-0.944%-
vs Weaker (5)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.6
52.8%
55.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.8
40.3%
34.7%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.515.1
81.6%
73.2%15.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.8
53.8%
55.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.0
31.0%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
73.2%14.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLLWWWWW
Mazeikiai
LLLWLWLWWL
#1
League position
#7
+17.9
Net rating
-7.6
120.0
Offensive rating
102.3
102.0
Defensive rating
109.8
56.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
21.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.3%
3-point %
31.0%
63.8%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.0 · 102.3Defence102.0 · 109.8Shooting56.3% · 50.4%3-point %40.3% · 31.0%Ball care14.4% · 21.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 33.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Mazeikiai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HJonava101-57
17/04/24ANeptunas112-114 OT
14/04/24HRytas92-78
11/04/24HReal Madrid62-64
04/04/24AMonaco66-69
01/04/24ALietkabelis83-77
28/03/24HOlimpia Milano87-73
24/03/24ASiauliai92-69
21/03/24HBaskonia94-76
19/03/24HVirtus Bologna96-81
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HRytas63-89
14/04/24HJonava62-79
10/04/24ABC Wolves78-104
06/04/24HJuventus73-71
01/04/24ANeptunas89-91
27/03/24HPieno Zvaigzdes79-73
20/03/24ALietkabelis81-82
17/03/24ASiauliai94-91
07/03/24ANevezis83-72
02/03/24HBC Wolves73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %89%92%86%
Points / game87.990.085.9
Allowed / game73.373.872.8
Point differential+14.6+16.2+13.1
Avg total161.1163.8158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%69%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeLWWLL47%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%47%43%
Points / game78.474.582.6
Allowed / game82.877.588.5
Point differential-4.4-3.0-5.9
Avg total161.2152.1171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2724389%87.973.3+14.6
2 Rytas3025583%93.279.8+13.4
3 BC Wolves2921872%87.478.9+8.5
4 Juventus28171161%88.781.5+7.1
5 Lietkabelis28151354%84.183.8+0.4
6 Neptunas30161453%85.085.6-0.6
7 Mazeikiai29131645%78.482.8-4.4
8 Jonava30111937%81.386.1-4.9
9 Nevezis2992031%84.091.3-7.3
10 Siauliai3082227%81.587.4-5.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2962321%83.093.2-10.3
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas3125231695
Mazeikiai723152368
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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