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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 88-84
20-27 23-14 31-22 14-21
Position#6
Record14-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#5
Record14-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game84.1
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 82
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
55avg 82
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
72avg 82
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 82
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 82
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
72avg 82
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 82
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 82
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 82
A08/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-17
14-29
24-15
17-30
17-23
21-22
18-17
22-26
17-18
21-21
26-21
13-24
22-24
20-27
20-20
23-21
26-18
15-25
14-12
19-17
23-22
24-22
19-15
18-11
27-16
17-30
22-26
22-16
29-21
18-30
27-16
21-21
15-20
32-22
23-26
18-20
15-18
14-22
34-18
167.8Avg total
83.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.384.3168.7-0.054%
Season at home (12)84.883.3168.2+1.558%
Season away (14)83.985.2169.1-1.450%
Last 10 (10)83.184.7167.8-1.660%
Last 5 (5)87.481.8169.2+5.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.986.2166.1-6.438%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.281.3160.5-2.267%
vs Weaker (16)90.782.2172.9+8.575%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
W
94-86
94
86
+8
86avg 78
A17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
63avg 78
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
74avg 78
H04/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
96avg 78
A09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
72-109
72
109
-37
63avg 78
A17/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
63avg 78
H20/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
89avg 78
H24/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
63avg 78
H28/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 78
H01/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
100-113
100
113
-13
93avg 78
A07/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-18
27-17
36-28
19-23
19-29
18-18
14-16
21-23
18-26
25-15
12-14
24-15
20-24
17-22
31-13
16-27
13-19
25-36
18-27
19-26
15-22
31-24
17-9
15-14
22-21
25-20
28-25
18-17
22-26
16-20
21-26
16-22
24-28
18-18
19-15
20-34
26-35
33-22
21-22
170.9Avg total
83.0Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.184.1168.2+0.056%
Season at home (13)85.082.3167.3+2.762%
Season away (12)83.286.1169.2-2.950%
Last 10 (10)83.087.9170.9-4.940%
Last 5 (5)85.289.2174.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.090.8173.8-7.831%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.177.1152.3-2.029%
vs Weaker (7)88.982.6171.4+6.386%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A08/04
LKL
80.3Avg total
40.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.683.4+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.243.085.2-0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)43.238.681.8+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.180.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.441.582.9-0.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.239.280.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (16)44.140.884.8+3.356%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H04/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A09/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A17/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H24/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H01/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
46-69
46
69
-23
A07/04
LKL
85.0Avg total
37.8Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.782.2-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.141.881.9-1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)38.943.682.5-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.847.285.0-9.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.449.088.4-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.644.283.8-4.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.339.976.1-3.629%-
vs Weaker (7)42.442.184.6+0.371%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.4
56.9%
55.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.6
31.8%
34.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
73.2%15.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.1
56.8%
55.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.8
30.1%
34.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws27.020.6
76.3%
73.2%20.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWWWWWLLLL
Lietkabelis
LLLWWLWLLW
#6
League position
#5
+0.1
Net rating
-6.9
112.7
Offensive rating
110.5
112.6
Defensive rating
117.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.45
31.8%
3-point %
30.1%
70.3%
Assist %
66.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 110.5Defence112.6 · 117.4Shooting53.4% · 51.8%3-point %31.8% · 30.1%Ball care16.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 33.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/24AJonava81-78
01/04/24HMazeikiai91-89
25/03/24AJuventus96-83
16/03/24ARytas84-83
11/03/24HSiauliai85-76
04/03/24ALietkabelis78-76
12/02/24HZalgiris Kaunas75-95
04/02/24ANevezis92-96 OT
27/01/24ABC Wolves73-92
21/01/24ALietkabelis76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ARytas100-113
01/04/24HZalgiris Kaunas77-83
28/03/24HRytas77-89
24/03/24HJonava90-80
20/03/24HMazeikiai82-81
17/03/24ABC Wolves72-109
09/03/24AJonava92-74
04/03/24HNeptunas76-78
18/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas70-86
17/02/24ARytas94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW54%
HomeLWLWW58%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %54%58%50%
Points / game84.384.883.9
Allowed / game84.383.385.2
Point differential-0.0+1.5-1.4
Avg total168.7168.2169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWLL62%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game84.185.083.2
Allowed / game84.182.386.1
Point differential+0.0+2.7-2.9
Avg total168.2167.3169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%86.172.0+14.1
2 Rytas2622485%94.280.0+14.2
3 BC Wolves2719870%86.479.4+7.0
4 Juventus26151158%88.381.2+7.1
5 Lietkabelis25141156%84.184.1+0.0
6 Neptunas26141254%84.384.3-0.0
7 Mazeikiai27131448%79.682.7-3.1
8 Jonava26101638%82.184.9-2.8
9 Siauliai2671927%81.587.2-5.7
10 Nevezis2671927%82.492.0-9.6
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes2652119%83.793.3-9.6
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2023311488
Lietkabelis2714222184
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