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Lietkabelis vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-86
15-28 18-15 19-22 22-21
Position#4
Record10-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.7
Lietkabelis
Lithuania
vs
Prienai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#12
Record0-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game90.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Prienai
23 Apr 2023
LIE81
PRI75
28 Jan 2023
LIE74
PRI86
12 Mar 2022
LIE82
PRI73
22 Jan 2022
LIE87
PRI69
16 Jan 2021
LIE96
PRI90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A18/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 75
H21/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A28/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 75
H07/01
LKL
Prometey
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
54avg 75
H11/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 75
H14/01
LKL
Ulm
#6
L
69-78
69
78
-9
58avg 75
A18/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
109-73
109
73
+36
no box
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
JL Bourg
#12
W
92-88
92
88
+4
91avg 75
H25/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
25-8
14-27
26-26
21-16
18-21
19-32
18-21
15-21
26-21
19-27
26-11
15-19
25-17
21-20
24-25
18-19
19-27
23-18
26-20
24-12
10-21
17-22
21-25
16-19
23-29
22-16
12-17
13-27
25-16
11-22
20-13
32-21
25-17
23-20
29-15
16-18
24-13
32-16
20-41
164.5Avg total
82.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.881.7166.5+3.162%
Season at home (7)80.378.9159.1+1.457%
Season away (9)88.383.9172.2+4.467%
Last 10 (10)82.582.0164.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.080.0163.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.484.0163.4-4.620%
vs Similar (10)81.281.6162.8-0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.078.6167.6+10.490%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
67avg 62
A21/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
72-105
72
105
-33
no box
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
76-94
76
94
-18
58avg 62
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 62
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 62
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
50avg 62
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 62
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 62
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 62
A14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
11-25
19-18
17-16
14-23
15-30
22-26
21-26
19-21
21-26
18-24
18-23
22-20
16-21
13-17
17-18
20-26
19-20
23-23
19-20
20-25
14-20
15-16
14-20
20-31
15-22
16-19
17-20
14-16
14-20
22-25
25-19
27-12
15-27
16-17
13-18
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
158.9Avg total
72.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.490.6167.0-14.10%
Season at home (8)71.890.4162.1-18.60%
Season away (8)81.190.8171.9-9.60%
Last 10 (10)72.186.8158.9-14.70%
Last 5 (5)70.885.0155.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.591.5168.0-15.00%
vs Similar (4)83.895.2179.0-11.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -9.8-9.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -9.8-9.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
LietkabelisPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A18/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A28/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/01
LKL
Prometey
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H11/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/01
LKL
Ulm
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/01
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H25/01
Eurocup
78.8Avg total
40.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.278.8+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.136.978.0+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.479.6+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.437.775.1-0.360%-
vs Similar (10)39.338.177.4+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.238.783.9+6.570%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A21/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
82.0Avg total
35.7Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.846.383.1-9.510%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.045.179.1-11.10%-
Last 30 away (16)39.247.386.5-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)35.746.382.0-10.610%-
Last 5 (5)35.446.281.6-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.146.482.5-10.38%-
vs Similar (4)41.045.886.8-4.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.0
31.5%
35.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
74.2%13.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.0
44.8%
54.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.2
28.0%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
74.2%15.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WWLLLWWWLL
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#12
-3.8
Net rating
-21.2
104.9
Offensive rating
94.9
108.8
Defensive rating
116.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
43.5%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.5%
3-point %
28.0%
63.7%
Assist %
54.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 94.9Defence108.8 · 116.1Shooting50.3% · 43.5%3-point %31.5% · 28.0%Ball care18.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 24.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
0
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
30/10/22Prienai v Lietkabelis77-96
12/03/22Lietkabelis v Prienai82-73
22/01/22Lietkabelis v Prienai87-69
12/10/21Prienai v Lietkabelis65-92
16/01/21Lietkabelis v Prienai96-90
23/12/20Prienai v Lietkabelis68-87
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23HJL Bourg92-88
22/01/23HJuventus109-73
18/01/23AUlm69-78
14/01/23HNeptunas73-81
11/01/23HPrometey72-80
07/01/23HJonava86-84
03/01/23AJuventus85-81
28/12/22ABC Wolves86-80
21/12/22HJoventut Badalona76-90
18/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas77-85
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23ARytas77-98
09/01/23AGargzdai71-74
21/12/22ANeptunas75-80
18/12/22HJuventus68-92
12/12/22HSiauliai63-81
04/12/22ANevezis81-89
30/11/22HBC Wolves68-76
27/11/22AJuventus76-94
24/11/22HNeptunas72-105
21/11/22ABC Wolves70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game84.880.388.3
Allowed / game81.778.983.9
Point differential+3.1+1.4+4.4
Avg total166.5159.1172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.471.881.1
Allowed / game90.690.490.8
Point differential-14.1-18.6-9.6
Avg total167.0162.1171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %19%25%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1615194%87.770.4+17.3
2 Rytas1511473%89.483.9+5.5
3 BC Wolves1611569%84.179.9+4.2
4 Juventus1611569%85.181.9+3.2
5 Lietkabelis1610662%84.881.7+3.1
6 Jonava159660%81.779.1+2.5
7 Siauliai168850%81.082.2-1.2
8 Neptunas157847%78.280.3-2.1
9 Nevezis167944%80.281.1-0.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1531220%78.388.4-10.1
11 Gargzdai1621412%77.385.0-7.7
12 Prienai160160%76.490.6-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis1518192274
Prienai2815222186
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