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Gargzdai vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 74-71
12-27 27-15 17-16 18-13
Position#11
Record1-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#12
Record0-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game91.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 75
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
67avg 75
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
95-68
95
68
+27
100avg 75
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-99
81
99
-18
77avg 75
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
85-92
85
92
-7
85avg 75
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 75
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
85avg 75
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
65avg 75
H21/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
14-26
22-21
20-19
16-20
18-27
17-18
18-29
23-28
19-18
18-12
11-15
24-20
22-15
27-19
22-14
20-23
12-25
31-27
18-24
17-26
15-22
26-25
27-19
18-23
23-14
18-25
9-23
26-24
18-30
16-21
22-21
25-21
24-35
26-18
17-25
14-20
19-17
17-33
21-19
166.9Avg total
78.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.287.1165.4-8.97%
Season at home (7)72.384.0156.3-11.70%
Season away (7)84.190.3174.4-6.114%
Last 10 (10)78.888.1166.9-9.310%
Last 5 (5)79.692.2171.8-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.787.9163.6-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (2)93.582.5176.0+11.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 63
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
85-103
85
103
-18
no box
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
67avg 63
A21/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
72-105
72
105
-33
no box
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
76-94
76
94
-18
58avg 63
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 63
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 63
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
50avg 63
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 63
A21/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
15-22
19-27
14-22
24-35
16-24
29-25
16-19
23-20
11-25
19-18
17-16
14-23
15-30
22-26
21-26
19-21
21-26
18-24
18-23
22-20
16-21
13-17
17-18
20-26
19-20
23-23
19-20
20-25
14-20
15-16
14-20
20-31
15-22
16-19
17-20
14-16
14-20
22-25
25-19
162.0Avg total
72.6Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.891.2168.0-14.40%
Season at home (8)71.890.4162.1-18.60%
Season away (6)83.592.3175.8-8.80%
Last 10 (10)72.689.4162.0-16.80%
Last 5 (5)71.083.6154.6-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)77.190.4167.5-13.37%
vs Similar ◀ (3)88.0102.3190.3-14.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
GargzdaiPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A06/11
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/11
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/12
LKL
83.9Avg total
38.5Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)37.344.081.3-6.714%-
Last 30 at home (7)35.440.776.1-5.314%-
Last 30 away (7)39.147.386.4-8.114%-
Last 10 (10)38.545.483.9-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.486.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.644.781.2-8.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.540.081.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A21/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/12
LKL
82.3Avg total
35.2Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.345.682.0-9.37%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.844.878.6-11.00%-
Last 30 away (15)38.946.585.3-7.613%-
Last 10 (10)35.247.182.3-11.90%-
Last 5 (5)34.844.279.0-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)35.945.481.2-9.57%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.748.088.7-7.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.5
53.4%
54.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.813.6
65.4%
74.2%13.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.515.9
44.8%
54.9%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.3
29.2%
35.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.015.8
75.2%
74.2%15.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLLLWLLL
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#12
-13.2
Net rating
-21.4
105.5
Offensive rating
95.3
118.7
Defensive rating
116.8
53.2%
Effective FG%
44.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
22.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.3%
3-point %
29.2%
72.0%
Assist %
55.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 95.3Defence118.7 · 116.8Shooting53.2% · 44.4%3-point %35.3% · 29.2%Ball care22.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds35.6% · 23.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 0%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gargzdai wins
0
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
06/11/22Prienai v Gargzdai68-95
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-89
19/12/22ANevezis92-99
12/12/22ABC Wolves82-96
04/12/22HJuventus68-85
28/11/22AJonava85-92
19/11/22HRytas81-99
06/11/22APrienai95-68
29/10/22HNevezis71-73
24/10/22ANeptunas69-94
16/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-86
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22ANeptunas75-80
18/12/22HJuventus68-92
12/12/22HSiauliai63-81
04/12/22ANevezis81-89
30/11/22HBC Wolves68-76
27/11/22AJuventus76-94
24/11/22HNeptunas72-105
21/11/22ABC Wolves70-79
16/11/22AJuventus85-103
06/11/22HGargzdai68-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %7%0%14%
Points / game78.272.384.1
Allowed / game87.184.090.3
Point differential-8.9-11.7-6.1
Avg total165.4156.3174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.871.883.5
Allowed / game91.290.492.3
Point differential-14.4-18.6-8.8
Avg total168.0162.1175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %21%25%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1514193%87.370.1+17.3
2 Rytas1410471%88.884.4+4.4
3 Juventus1410471%86.182.4+3.8
4 BC Wolves1510567%83.979.8+4.1
5 Lietkabelis1510567%85.681.7+3.9
6 Jonava148657%82.679.9+2.6
7 Siauliai158753%81.481.5-0.1
8 Nevezis146843%80.782.7-2.0
9 Neptunas146843%78.080.9-2.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1431121%79.288.8-9.6
11 Gargzdai141137%78.287.1-8.9
12 Prienai140140%76.891.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1227171874
Prienai2715161371
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