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Prienai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-105
14-23 15-30 22-26 21-26
Position#11
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game103.8
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game87.2
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Neptunas
25 Apr 2023
PRI84
NEP94
24 Nov 2022
PRI72
NEP105
17 Oct 2022
PRI92
NEP99
07 Feb 2022
PRI63
NEP73
15 Nov 2021
PRI62
NEP87
28 Oct 2021
PRI70
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
78avg 65
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
92-99 OT
92
99
-7
no box
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
no box
A23/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 65
H30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
89-110
89
110
-21
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 65
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
85-103
85
103
-18
no box
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
67avg 65
A21/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
22-25
22-21
20-26
22-19
16-21
20-18
22-22
19-26
10-28
27-30
21-23
23-27
21-24
26-17
20-22
13-33
19-20
23-19
15-23
15-30
21-25
20-18
21-23
17-19
24-28
22-29
26-34
20-24
15-22
19-27
14-22
24-35
16-24
29-25
16-19
23-20
11-25
19-18
17-16
182.3Avg total
82.7Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.2103.8184.0-23.50%
Season at home (1)77.0107.0184.0-30.00%
Season away (3)81.3102.7184.0-21.30%
Last 10 (10)82.799.6182.3-16.90%
Last 5 (5)77.896.6174.4-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.790.5168.2-12.88%
vs Similar (4)89.2102.2191.5-13.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 74
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 74
A21/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
173.4Avg total
88.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.887.2180.0+5.575%
Season at home (2)97.585.0182.5+12.5100%
Season away (2)88.089.5177.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)88.984.5173.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)89.682.6172.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.183.1159.2-7.036%
vs Similar (10)78.180.2158.3-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.480.7172.1+10.878%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
PrienaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A21/11
LKL
87.6Avg total
37.6Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.545.982.4-9.47%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.145.279.4-11.10%-
Last 30 away (16)38.646.485.0-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)37.650.087.6-12.40%-
Last 5 (5)37.250.487.6-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.745.080.8-9.38%-
vs Similar (4)41.551.292.8-9.80%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
85.8Avg total
42.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.180.7+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.639.582.1+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.640.779.3-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.385.8-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.085.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.240.677.8-3.527%-
vs Similar (10)40.641.982.5-1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.837.482.2+7.378%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
51.0%
55.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.0
30.5%
34.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.1
74.2%
75.0%16.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
55.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
34.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.116.1
69.7%
75.0%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
Neptunas
WWWWLLWWWL
#11
League position
#4
-20.7
Net rating
-7.3
101.4
Offensive rating
105.4
122.1
Defensive rating
112.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
21.1%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.5%
3-point %
34.1%
51.2%
Assist %
65.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 105.4Defence122.1 · 112.7Shooting48.8% · 51.4%3-point %30.5% · 34.1%Ball care17.9% · 21.1%Off. rebounds25.0% · 32.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Prienai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Prienai wins
6
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
03/11/22Neptunas v Prienai110-89
17/10/22Prienai v Neptunas92-99 OT
07/02/22Prienai v Neptunas63-73
03/02/22Neptunas v Prienai88-82
15/11/21Prienai v Neptunas62-87
28/10/21Prienai v Neptunas70-84
14/10/21Neptunas v Prienai76-79 OT
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22ABC Wolves70-79
16/11/22AJuventus85-103
06/11/22HGargzdai68-95
03/11/22ANeptunas89-110
30/10/22HLietkabelis77-96
26/10/22ABC Wolves70-95
23/10/22APieno Zvaigzdes110-115 OT
19/10/22HJuventus77-107
17/10/22HNeptunas92-99 OT
10/10/22ASiauliai89-97
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22ANevezis71-67
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT
08/10/22AJuventus77-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.277.081.3
Allowed / game103.8107.0102.7
Point differential-23.5-30.0-21.3
Avg total184.0184.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game92.897.588.0
Allowed / game87.285.089.5
Point differential+5.5+12.5-1.5
Avg total180.0182.5177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevezis54180%96.693.6+3.0
2 Juventus43175%97.587.0+10.5
3 Neptunas43175%92.887.2+5.5
4 Siauliai53260%86.283.8+2.4
5 Jonava53260%80.478.8+1.6
6 BC Wolves42250%90.082.5+7.5
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes5050%81.688.6-7.0
8 Prienai4040%80.2103.8-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1415222172
Neptunas23302626105
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