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Neptunas vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-75
16-14 20-14 25-22 19-25
Position#7
Record5-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.7
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Prienai
Lithuania
Position#12
Record0-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game92.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Prienai
21 Dec 2022
NEP80
PRI75
03 Nov 2022
NEP110
PRI89
03 Feb 2022
NEP88
PRI82
14 Oct 2021
NEP76
PRI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 71
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 71
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 71
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 71
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
50avg 71
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 71
H12/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
19-13
22-24
9-27
23-16
28-15
23-27
27-21
21-23
22-16
10-9
10-20
18-16
30-23
15-21
21-19
20-16
166.2Avg total
87.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.581.7162.2-1.242%
Season at home (6)86.582.0168.5+4.550%
Season away (6)74.581.3155.8-6.833%
Last 10 (10)87.179.1166.2+8.070%
Last 5 (5)84.675.6160.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.182.8158.9-6.736%
vs Similar (9)76.077.9153.9-1.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.482.1177.5+13.380%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
89-110
89
110
-21
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
L
68-95
68
95
-27
51avg 63
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
85-103
85
103
-18
no box
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
67avg 63
A21/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
72-105
72
105
-33
no box
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
76-94
76
94
-18
58avg 63
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 63
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 63
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
50avg 63
H18/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
24-28
22-29
26-34
20-24
15-22
19-27
14-22
24-35
16-24
29-25
16-19
23-20
11-25
19-18
17-16
14-23
15-30
22-26
21-26
19-21
21-26
18-24
18-23
22-20
16-21
13-17
17-18
20-26
19-20
23-23
19-20
20-25
14-20
15-16
14-20
20-31
15-22
16-19
17-20
166.4Avg total
74.0Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.992.1169.0-15.20%
Season at home (8)71.890.4162.1-18.60%
Season away (5)85.294.8180.0-9.60%
Last 10 (10)74.092.4166.4-18.40%
Last 5 (5)71.286.4157.6-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)76.690.1166.8-13.57%
vs Similar (3)88.0102.3190.3-14.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
NeptunasPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/12
LKL
82.6Avg total
43.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.480.3+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.783.3+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)37.639.176.8-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.282.6+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.479.8+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.540.177.6-2.536%-
vs Similar (9)38.940.179.0-1.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.238.184.3+8.180%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A21/11
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H18/12
LKL
84.7Avg total
36.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.345.982.2-9.67%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.444.878.2-11.40%-
Last 30 away (14)39.647.286.9-7.614%-
Last 10 (10)36.548.284.7-11.70%-
Last 5 (5)37.246.483.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.845.781.5-9.97%-
vs Similar (3)40.748.088.7-7.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.0
52.2%
54.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.1
68.4%
74.2%14.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.3
46.8%
54.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.9
28.2%
35.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.5
74.9%
74.2%15.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWLWWWWWL
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#12
-2.5
Net rating
-23.5
104.9
Offensive rating
95.2
107.3
Defensive rating
118.6
51.1%
Effective FG%
44.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.1%
3-point %
28.2%
60.2%
Assist %
51.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 95.2Defence107.3 · 118.6Shooting51.1% · 44.8%3-point %33.1% · 28.2%Ball care18.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds28.1% · 22.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Neptunas   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Neptunas wins
1
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
24/11/22Prienai v Neptunas72-105
03/11/22Neptunas v Prienai110-89
17/10/22Prienai v Neptunas92-99 OT
07/02/22Prienai v Neptunas63-73
03/02/22Neptunas v Prienai88-82
15/11/21Prienai v Neptunas62-87
28/10/21Prienai v Neptunas70-84
14/10/21Neptunas v Prienai76-79 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/22HNevezis86-79
06/12/22ASiauliai60-61
30/11/22HJuventus99-86
26/11/22ALietkabelis73-80
24/11/22APrienai105-72
21/11/22ANevezis71-67
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HJuventus68-92
12/12/22HSiauliai63-81
04/12/22ANevezis81-89
30/11/22HBC Wolves68-76
27/11/22AJuventus76-94
24/11/22HNeptunas72-105
21/11/22ABC Wolves70-79
16/11/22AJuventus85-103
06/11/22HGargzdai68-95
03/11/22ANeptunas89-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game80.586.574.5
Allowed / game81.782.081.3
Point differential-1.2+4.5-6.8
Avg total162.2168.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%17%17%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.971.885.2
Allowed / game92.190.494.8
Point differential-15.2-18.6-9.6
Avg total169.0162.1180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %23%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1413193%88.171.8+16.3
2 Rytas129375%90.184.2+5.9
3 BC Wolves139469%83.979.6+4.3
4 Juventus139469%85.682.8+2.8
5 Jonava128467%83.279.2+3.9
6 Lietkabelis138562%85.581.7+3.8
7 Siauliai136746%81.882.5-0.8
8 Nevezis136746%80.582.5-2.0
9 Neptunas125742%80.581.7-1.2
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes123925%79.889.5-9.8
11 Gargzdai141137%78.287.1-8.9
12 Prienai130130%76.992.1-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1620251980
Prienai1414222575
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