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Llaneros vs Heroes de Falcon Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-85
31-15 23-16 18-29 14-25
Position#14
Record5-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#10
Record8-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.2
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez (San Juan de los Morros)
Other2023
Meetings · Llaneros v Heroes de Falcon
25 Apr 2023
LLAN86
HERO85
06 Sep 2022
LLAN85
HERO73
18 Apr 2021
LLAN79
HERO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heroes de Falcon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
69-82
69
82
-13
56avg 69
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
64-85
64
85
-21
61avg 69
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 69
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
no box
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 69
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
79-59
79
59
+20
79avg 69
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
60avg 69
H15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
69-101
69
101
-32
62avg 69
H16/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A21/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 69
A23/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
23-29
12-19
23-17
20-19
14-19
12-27
18-20
19-18
29-17
24-20
18-27
28-29
23-19
20-23
20-20
17-20
26-27
22-13
20-20
22-17
26-12
16-13
15-17
27-21
15-25
18-18
22-23
14-27
13-18
27-36
15-20
27-18
22-21
18-28
20-20
30-30
26-19
16-17
8-21
167.4Avg total
81.5Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.484.0163.4-4.633%
Season at home (8)79.085.2164.2-6.212%
Season away (7)79.982.6162.4-2.757%
Last 10 (10)81.585.9167.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)82.085.6167.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.684.5160.1-8.815%
vs Similar (9)84.086.2170.2-2.244%
vs Weaker (8)85.475.9161.2+9.575%
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Heroes de FalconVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFalcon
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 76
A02/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
81-71
81
71
+10
84avg 76
H06/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 76
H08/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
99avg 76
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
52avg 76
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 76
A15/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 76
A16/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
97-83
97
83
+14
97avg 76
H19/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 76
H22/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
no box
A23/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
22-20
20-13
24-22
31-10
23-23
13-19
14-19
23-19
16-18
20-17
16-16
28-27
28-16
19-16
22-31
12-21
25-22
15-15
18-16
22-23
18-13
22-17
18-19
18-23
13-22
21-22
25-19
24-17
25-20
21-32
27-14
17-24
18-23
18-21
24-18
24-17
18-33
29-9
19-31
164.5Avg total
83.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.282.2166.4+2.150%
Season at home (8)83.580.9164.4+2.662%
Season away (8)85.083.5168.5+1.538%
Last 10 (10)83.181.4164.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)86.486.2172.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.394.3178.7-10.00%
vs Similar (20)83.283.0166.2+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.083.7175.7+8.371%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
LlanerosHeroes de Falcon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H31/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A05/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H08/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A09/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H11/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H16/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A21/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A23/04
Superliga
85.4Avg total
43.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.978.2+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.181.1+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)37.437.875.2-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.285.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.686.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.739.376.0-2.631%-
vs Similar (9)39.141.080.1-1.922%-
vs Weaker (8)43.536.079.5+7.588%-
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Heroes de FalconLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H06/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H22/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A23/04
Superliga
82.9Avg total
41.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.281.0+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.439.183.5+5.279%-
Last 30 away (16)37.841.178.9-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.482.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.044.387.3-1.367%-
vs Similar (20)40.040.580.5-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.437.680.0+4.986%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.1
49.8%
50.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
31.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.212.7
57.2%
65.6%12.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heroes de Falcontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heroes de Falcon: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.1
52.1%
50.8%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
31.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
65.6%15.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
LWLLWWLWLL
Heroes de Falcon
LLWLWLWWWL
#14
League position
#10
-8.2
Net rating
+1.0
94.3
Offensive rating
104.5
102.5
Defensive rating
103.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.6%
3-point %
29.5%
59.5%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 104.5Defence102.5 · 103.4Shooting49.5% · 49.4%3-point %32.6% · 29.5%Ball care21.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Llaneros   ■ Heroes de Falcon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Llaneros wins
0
Heroes de Falcon wins
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23ATrotamundos80-87
21/04/23AToros de Aragua100-94 OT
16/04/23HBroncos69-101
15/04/23HBrillantes82-87
11/04/23HToros de Aragua79-59
09/04/23AToros de Aragua85-80
08/04/23HFrontinos97-102 OT
05/04/23ATrotamundos90-82
02/04/23ABroncos64-85
31/03/23HGaiteros del Zulia69-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia101-104 OT
22/04/23HGuaros de Lara77-86
19/04/23HFrontinos97-83
16/04/23AGuaros de Lara77-86
15/04/23ACentauros80-72
12/04/23ABrillantes70-74
09/04/23HBrillantes97-90
08/04/23HBrillantes75-70
06/04/23HCentauros81-71
02/04/23ABrillantes76-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLLWLL12%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%12%57%
Points / game79.479.079.9
Allowed / game84.085.282.6
Point differential-4.6-6.2-2.7
Avg total163.4164.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %13%12%14%
Heroes de Falcon
Superliga 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game84.283.585.0
Allowed / game82.280.983.5
Point differential+2.1+2.6+1.5
Avg total166.4164.4168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1614288%84.372.8+11.6
2 Cocodrilos1512380%76.168.5+7.6
3 Piratas de La Guaira129375%81.973.9+8.0
4 Broncos1712571%88.575.2+13.3
5 Guaros de Lara1712571%82.678.3+4.4
6 Brillantes1611569%84.377.0+7.3
7 Trotamundos1611569%80.277.9+2.3
8 Guaiqueries148657%84.380.0+4.3
9 Gaiteros del Zulia169756%79.681.9-2.2
10 Panteras179853%76.176.1+0.0
11 Heroes de Falcon168850%84.282.2+2.1
12 Spartans136746%75.775.8-0.2
13 Gigantes146843%76.980.9-4.0
14 Centauros156940%73.477.5-4.1
15 Llaneros1551033%79.484.0-4.6
16 Frontinos1651131%81.290.7-9.4
17 Diablos1431121%77.786.9-9.2
18 Marinos1631319%79.688.8-9.2
19 Cangrejeros1321115%76.986.2-9.2
20 Toros de Aragua161156%73.183.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros3123181486
Heroes de Falcon1516292585
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