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Miami (FL) vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-80
41-37 30-43
Position#246
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.8
Miami (FL)
USA
vs
Louisville 🏆
USA
Position#348
Record5-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Miami (FL) v Louisville
12 Mar 2026
MIAM78
LOUI73
07 Mar 2026
MIAM89
LOUI92
10 Jan 2024
MIAM71
LOUI80
11 Feb 2023
MIAM93
LOUI85
16 Jan 2021
MIAM78
LOUI72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#151
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A29/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H02/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
97-49
97
49
+48
H07/12
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
63-90
63
90
-27
H10/12
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
97-59
97
59
+38
H22/12
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
95-55
95
55
+40
H29/12
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-28
44-55
37-42
36-53
33-26
29-23
53-18
44-31
36-37
27-53
45-33
39-44
54-25
43-34
42-27
53-28
35-41
60-41
37-44
36-29
156.4Avg total
83.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.871.8155.6+12.073%
Season at home (12)86.568.7155.2+17.892%
Season away (3)73.084.3157.3-11.30%
Last 10 (10)83.972.5156.4+11.470%
Last 5 (5)90.671.8162.4+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.581.3157.8-4.840%
vs Similar (12)80.270.8151.0+9.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.863.6148.4+21.188%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H17/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
76-95
76
95
-19
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
37-40
28-30
45-43
22-27
51-41
31-30
37-45
22-38
46-37
31-29
32-46
39-25
46-38
33-53
43-42
22-37
31-40
34-40
36-43
148.1Avg total
71.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.776.1148.8-3.436%
Season at home (11)75.476.2151.5-0.845%
Season away (3)63.075.7138.7-12.70%
Last 10 (10)71.276.9148.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)69.478.6148.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.178.1146.2-10.015%
vs Similar (2)81.576.0157.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.8+9.81st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -1.1-1.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.8+9.81st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -1.1-1.1
Miami (FL)Louisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#151
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A29/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H02/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
53-18
53
18
+35
H07/12
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/12
NCAA
La Salle
#222
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H22/12
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H29/12
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
41.9Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.572.4+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.831.572.3+9.374%-
Last 30 away (11)35.836.972.7-1.155%-
Last 10 (10)41.932.174.0+9.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.076.6+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.240.174.3-5.910%-
vs Similar (12)39.831.471.2+8.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.628.271.9+15.488%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#342
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/01
NCAA
63.4Avg total
29.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.636.466.9-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.634.966.4-3.328%-
Last 30 away (12)29.138.667.7-9.525%-
Last 10 (10)29.134.363.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.868.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.337.568.8-6.227%-
vs Similar (2)25.028.553.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami (FL) wins
1
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Miami (FL) v Louisville93-85
04/12/22Louisville v Miami (FL)53-80
17/02/22Louisville v Miami (FL)63-70
17/01/21Miami (FL) v Louisville78-72
08/01/20Louisville v Miami (FL)74-58
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AWake Forest82-86 OT
04/01/24HClemson95-82
29/12/23HNorth Florida95-55
22/12/23HStonehill97-59
16/12/23HLa Salle84-77
10/12/23HColorado63-90
07/12/23HLIU Sharks97-49
02/12/23HNotre Dame62-49
29/11/23AKentucky73-95
19/11/23HKansas State91-83
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HPittsburgh70-83
04/01/24AVirginia53-77
21/12/23HKentucky76-95
17/12/23HPepperdine85-63
14/12/23HArkansas State63-75
09/12/23ADePaul68-75
03/12/23AVirginia Tech68-75
30/11/23HBellarmine73-68
26/11/23HNew Mexico State90-84 OT
20/11/23HIndiana66-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (FL)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %73%92%0%
Points / game83.886.573.0
Allowed / game71.868.784.3
Point differential+12.0+17.8-11.3
Avg total155.6155.2157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%33%
Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWLWLL45%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %36%45%0%
Points / game72.775.463.0
Allowed / game76.176.275.7
Point differential-3.4-0.8-12.7
Avg total148.8151.5138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %7%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1512380%81.965.2+16.7
2 North Carolina1411379%83.670.8+12.8
3 Clemson1411379%80.370.7+9.6
4 NC State1411379%77.768.1+9.6
5 Miami (FL)1511473%83.871.8+12.0
6 Wake Forest1511473%81.970.8+11.1
7 Virginia1511473%66.157.3+8.9
8 Boston College1410471%80.472.9+7.5
9 Syracuse1410471%77.571.5+6.0
10 SMU Mustangs1510567%74.561.7+12.9
11 Virginia Tech149564%73.466.9+6.6
12 Pittsburgh1610662%77.466.1+11.4
13 Florida State159660%77.374.1+3.2
14 Georgia Tech158753%72.473.7-1.3
15 Stanford147750%78.275.0+3.2
16 Notre Dame167944%63.365.1-1.8
17 Louisville145936%72.776.1-3.4
18 California1551033%75.176.3-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (FL)413071
Louisville374380
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