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Ludwigsburg vs Chemnitz Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#16
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game90.0
GermanyBBLRound 22· Arena Ludwigsburg
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz
17 Feb 2027
LUD v CHE
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
LUD87
CHE79
15 Dec 2024
LUD69
CHE65
27 Apr 2024
LUD96
CHE93
05 May 2023
LUD86
CHE79
05 Nov 2021
LUD74
CHE76
09 Mar 2021
LUD96
CHE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 73
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 73
A20/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 73
H24/09
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
103-96
103
96
+7
102avg 73
A26/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
67avg 73
H04/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
107-98 OT
107
98
+9
105avg 73
A11/10
BBL
Bonn
#5
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 73
H24/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
A31/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H08/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
A13/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-21
9-25
24-24
15-18
12-17
30-23
20-28
10-20
31-24
16-20
24-14
27-21
24-29
23-24
29-22
13-29
14-18
33-23
20-24
27-23
17-19
25-24
20-23
17-14
26-15
19-25
22-14
23-18
25-25
10-24
20-27
19-22
20-22
20-15
13-15
21-18
24-29
22-18
26-14
170.4Avg total
84.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.185.2171.3+0.956%
Season at home (4)79.278.5157.8+0.850%
Season away (5)91.690.6182.2+1.060%
Last 10 (10)84.685.8170.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)86.882.6169.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.091.1170.1-12.122%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.282.5163.7-1.350%
vs Weaker (7)88.979.9168.7+9.071%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 74
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 74
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 74
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 74
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 74
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 74
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
24-27
26-18
14-33
26-21
22-24
19-35
28-20
21-33
177.9Avg total
90.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.190.0177.1-2.925%
Season at home (3)90.386.0176.3+4.367%
Season away (5)85.292.4177.6-7.20%
Last 10 (10)90.187.8177.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)90.892.4183.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.583.5160.0-7.030%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.287.1171.3-2.930%
vs Weaker (10)89.785.0174.7+4.770%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
LudwigsburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/05
BBL
Ulm
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H24/09
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A26/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/10
BBL
Bonn
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H24/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#17
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/11
BBL
82.6Avg total
40.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.782.6-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.939.979.9+0.057%-
Last 30 away (16)40.045.185.1-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.382.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.084.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.746.385.0-7.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.740.981.6-0.264%-
vs Weaker (7)40.141.481.6-1.329%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H11/11
Eurocup
89.7Avg total
45.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.083.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.189.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.9
49.6%
55.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.8
33.8%
33.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws24.317.4
71.6%
73.4%17.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
73.4%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WLLWWLWWLL
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWWLW
#7
League position
#16
-3.7
Net rating
+4.0
90.2
Offensive rating
94.5
93.9
Defensive rating
90.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.8%
3-point %
31.7%
59.2%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 94.5Defence93.9 · 90.5Shooting50.1% · 52.0%3-point %33.8% · 31.7%Ball care16.4% · 16.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ludwigsburg wins
6
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg94-78
01/04/26Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz87-79
10/10/25Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg111-88
01/05/25Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg104-100 OT
15/12/24Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz69-65
27/04/24Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-93
06/01/24Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg85-66
05/05/23Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz86-79
08/01/23Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg89-80
12/02/22Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg74-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26APhoenix Hagen93-79
08/11/26HOldenburg72-74
31/10/26AChemnitz78-94
24/10/26HBonn84-68
11/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig107-98 OT
04/10/26HTrier80-94
26/09/26ABamberg103-96
24/09/26HRostock81-78
20/09/26AUlm77-86
12/05/26ARostock71-91
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBasket Napoli90-112
07/11/26AVechta90-99
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game86.179.291.6
Allowed / game85.278.590.6
Point differential+0.9+0.8+1.0
Avg total171.3157.8182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game87.190.385.2
Allowed / game90.086.092.4
Point differential-2.9+4.3-7.2
Avg total177.1176.3177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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