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Ludwigsburg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-83
18-22 20-19 20-20 19-22
Position#6
Record15-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#2
Record20-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game80.0
GermanyBBLRound 24
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Alba Berlin
30 Jan 2027
LUD v ABE
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
LUD77
ABE101
13 Apr 2025
LUD63
ABE79
26 Nov 2023
LUD87
ABE79
19 Mar 2023
LUD77
ABE83
03 Jun 2022
LUD67
ABE73
10 Oct 2021
LUD74
ABE62
08 Dec 2020
LUD78
ABE71
28 Jun 2020
LUD74
ABE75
17 Nov 2019
LUD81
ABE77
12 May 2019
LUD79
ABE80
24 May 2018
LUD74
ABE100
07 Jan 2018
LUD67
ABE86
13 Nov 2016
LUD73
ABE79
02 Jan 2016
LUD90
ABE80
14 Oct 2015
LUD79
ABE60
22 Feb 2015
LUD67
ABE55
26 Feb 2014
LUD89
ABE77
27 Oct 2012
LUD93
ABE84
25 Feb 2012
LUD78
ABE83
12 Feb 2011
LUD89
ABE84
30 Dec 2009
LUD67
ABE77
15 Oct 2008
LUD65
ABE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Limoges
#28
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
no box
H18/01
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
87-106
87
106
-19
72avg 74
A21/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
57avg 74
H28/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
96-81
96
81
+15
96avg 74
H05/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 74
H11/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
108-94
108
94
+14
98avg 74
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Heidelberg
#10
W
111-87
111
87
+24
102avg 74
H05/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
100avg 74
H08/03
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
73avg 74
A11/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-16
15-23
21-24
14-23
9-26
30-22
26-22
22-36
17-16
19-10
16-21
19-28
25-21
14-22
33-22
24-16
25-20
28-20
20-21
20-31
31-27
25-16
22-24
30-27
28-23
21-14
20-29
17-26
31-22
27-27
28-14
25-24
32-27
20-22
27-22
23-22
20-13
24-21
30-22
9-21
182.4Avg total
93.1Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.285.1175.3+5.168%
Season at home (12)93.384.0177.3+9.383%
Season away (10)86.486.4172.8+0.050%
Last 10 (10)93.189.3182.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)98.088.6186.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)90.382.3172.7+8.067%
vs Similar (10)87.482.5169.9+4.970%
vs Weaker (16)87.184.8171.9+2.356%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
95avg 83
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 83
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 83
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
67avg 83
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 83
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
74-96
74
96
-22
62avg 83
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
101-91
101
91
+10
101avg 83
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 83
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
76avg 83
A17/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
27-24
23-19
25-26
17-21
21-19
13-20
26-23
15-25
24-19
21-17
27-11
19-20
25-22
9-35
21-11
17-16
26-27
7-13
21-20
14-15
13-18
18-11
18-22
14-22
19-27
26-28
15-19
25-29
25-20
18-19
33-23
17-18
19-19
23-20
28-20
20-14
18-23
18-21
20-17
161.0Avg total
80.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.580.0170.5+10.591%
Season at home (11)88.777.9166.6+10.891%
Season away (11)92.282.1174.3+10.191%
Last 10 (10)80.180.9161.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)80.281.0161.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.988.5166.4-10.518%
vs Similar (9)79.277.8157.0+1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)93.679.0172.6+14.6100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +4.2+4.2
LudwigsburgAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#28
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H18/01
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A21/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H11/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A18/02
German Cup
Heidelberg
#10
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H05/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H08/03
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/03
BBL
88.5Avg total
47.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.284.9+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.940.587.4+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.639.982.5+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)47.740.888.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)51.842.494.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)47.742.089.7+5.733%-
vs Similar (10)43.939.383.2+4.680%-
vs Weaker (16)44.940.185.0+4.862%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H07/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H09/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/03
Euroleague
80.5Avg total
39.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.384.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.284.9+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)42.242.584.7-0.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.480.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.077.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.545.787.2-4.336%-
vs Similar (9)40.342.482.8-2.122%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.638.584.1+7.180%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.8
55.6%
54.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.7
36.9%
35.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.115.8
71.5%
75.8%15.8
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.9
54.7%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.915.3
81.0%
75.8%15.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WWWLWWWLLL
Alba Berlin
WWWLLLLWLW
#6
League position
#2
+8.0
Net rating
+0.5
121.0
Offensive rating
108.9
113.0
Defensive rating
108.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
21.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.9%
3-point %
34.4%
59.7%
Assist %
64.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.0 · 108.9Defence113.0 · 108.3Shooting55.5% · 53.5%3-point %36.9% · 34.4%Ball care13.8% · 21.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 35.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ludwigsburg wins
7
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AHamburg83-77
08/03/23HBayreuth102-93
05/03/23HHeidelberg111-87
18/02/23AOldenburg86-92
14/02/23ABayreuth108-94
11/02/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-92
05/02/23HFrankfurt96-81
28/01/23HOldenburg71-75
21/01/23ACrailsheim Merlins87-106
18/01/23HLimoges94-96 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/23ABayern76-75
14/03/23ASyntainics MBC87-77
11/03/23HChemnitz101-91
09/03/23HVirtus Bologna74-96
07/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas63-66
04/03/23HBayern71-76
02/03/23APartizan74-88
24/02/23ACrvena zvezda87-72
18/02/23ABayern77-83
14/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %68%83%50%
Points / game90.293.386.4
Allowed / game85.184.086.4
Point differential+5.1+9.3+0.0
Avg total175.3177.3172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW91%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %91%91%91%
Points / game90.588.792.2
Allowed / game80.077.982.1
Point differential+10.5+10.8+10.1
Avg total170.5166.6174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2321291%90.273.6+16.7
2 Alba Berlin2220291%90.580.0+10.5
3 Bayern2317674%82.376.3+6.0
4 Oldenburg2316770%85.780.8+4.9
5 Ludwigsburg2215768%90.285.1+5.1
6 Gottingen2113862%86.585.2+1.2
7 Ulm23121152%87.084.9+2.1
8 Bamberg24121250%87.586.7+0.8
9 Wurzburg24121250%83.784.2-0.6
10 Rostock24121250%84.888.7-3.9
11 Chemnitz22101245%84.384.0+0.4
12 Syntainics MBC2491538%82.988.1-5.2
13 Crailsheim Merlins2481633%86.590.6-4.1
14 Hamburg2481633%81.585.9-4.4
15 Heidelberg2481633%86.091.1-5.2
16 Basketball Braunschweig2471729%79.384.6-5.3
17 Frankfurt2461825%79.287.4-8.2
18 Bayreuth2332013%81.790.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg1820201977
Alba Berlin2219202283
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