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Ludwigsburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-93
21-24 30-20 29-20 16-29
Position#9
Record17-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#3
Record23-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game78.6
GermanyBBLRound 30· Arena Ludwigsburg
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz
17 Feb 2027
LUD v CHE
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
LUD87
CHE79
15 Dec 2024
LUD69
CHE65
27 Apr 2024
LUD96
CHE93
05 May 2023
LUD86
CHE79
05 Nov 2021
LUD74
CHE76
09 Mar 2021
LUD96
CHE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#20
L
91-93
91
93
-2
78avg 74
A12/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 74
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 74
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 74
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
60-94
60
94
-34
35avg 74
H31/03
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
72-98
72
98
-26
53avg 74
A03/04
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
74avg 74
A07/04
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 74
H09/04
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
93-68
93
68
+25
86avg 74
H13/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 74
A20/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
24-26
23-24
26-15
23-18
21-22
20-20
22-22
25-31
24-21
17-11
15-22
18-26
30-16
29-15
21-22
22-29
18-23
8-20
12-22
14-27
19-17
22-27
17-27
23-27
21-28
24-25
23-20
20-25
17-22
21-17
14-21
26-13
22-19
20-16
25-20
22-17
24-31
13-17
25-24
170.1Avg total
82.8Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.481.8170.2+6.759%
Season at home (15)88.781.6170.3+7.160%
Season away (14)88.182.0170.1+6.157%
Last 10 (10)82.887.3170.1-4.530%
Last 5 (5)82.488.0170.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.292.0167.2-16.80%
vs Similar (14)84.182.3166.4+1.850%
vs Weaker (12)92.278.1170.2+14.175%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
106avg 83
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 83
H24/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
W
98-73
98
73
+25
90avg 83
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
111-95
111
95
+16
109avg 83
A30/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 83
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
80avg 83
H06/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
113-82
113
82
+31
111avg 83
H13/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 83
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
88avg 83
A21/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
95-105 OT
95
105
-10
80avg 83
A24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
23-20
32-20
26-28
22-18
13-21
21-24
23-21
16-29
25-17
30-12
27-15
31-17
19-28
30-25
31-25
21-18
15-21
23-18
14-25
16-15
21-18
20-18
23-15
27-25
25-16
29-24
32-17
29-18
21-18
18-22
17-16
28-20
23-17
20-23
18-29
19-18
19-37
29-12
17-28
178.4Avg total
93.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.678.6168.2+10.979%
Season at home (14)87.874.3162.1+13.586%
Season away (15)91.282.7173.9+8.573%
Last 10 (10)93.984.5178.4+9.460%
Last 5 (5)94.485.4179.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.287.6170.9-4.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.477.8171.2+15.686%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
LudwigsburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#20
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A12/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H31/03
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A03/04
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A07/04
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/04
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/04
BBL
89.7Avg total
43.1Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.485.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.138.782.8+5.465%-
Last 30 away (13)41.547.288.8-5.723%-
Last 10 (10)43.146.689.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.286.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (14)42.444.687.0-2.129%-
vs Weaker (12)45.938.784.6+7.283%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A17/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A30/03
BBL
Bilbao
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H06/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H13/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A21/04
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A24/04
FIBA Europe Cup
84.5Avg total
43.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.839.083.8+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.436.681.1+7.886%-
Last 30 away (16)45.141.186.2+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.784.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.486.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)44.142.286.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.037.982.9+7.282%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.5
49.7%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.7
33.7%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
76.0%13.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.6
56.9%
54.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.0
32.8%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.718.7
72.8%
76.0%18.7
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
LWLLLLWLWL
Chemnitz
LLWWWLWWLW
#9
League position
#3
-5.7
Net rating
+12.0
109.2
Offensive rating
118.4
114.9
Defensive rating
106.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.7%
3-point %
32.8%
47.6%
Assist %
61.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 118.4Defence114.9 · 106.4Shooting50.1% · 53.8%3-point %33.7% · 32.8%Ball care15.8% · 16.3%Off. rebounds31.2% · 36.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ludwigsburg wins
4
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg85-66
05/05/23Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz86-79
08/01/23Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg89-80
12/02/22Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg74-56
05/11/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz74-76
09/03/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-60
22/12/20Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg91-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AHamburg84-89
13/04/24HHeidelberg93-68
09/04/24HMurcia72-85
07/04/24AAlba Berlin91-100
03/04/24AMurcia72-98
31/03/24HUlm60-94
22/03/24ATubingen98-79
20/03/24HBonn81-85
15/03/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-82
12/03/24AGalatasaray91-93
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.95-105 OT
21/04/24AGottingen99-100 OT
17/04/24HBahcesehir Kol.85-74
13/04/24HTubingen113-82
06/04/24HBonn80-66
03/04/24HBilbao73-82
30/03/24ASyntainics MBC111-95
27/03/24ABilbao98-73
24/03/24HAlba Berlin79-84
17/03/24ABamberg106-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeLLWLW60%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%60%57%
Points / game88.488.788.1
Allowed / game81.881.682.0
Point differential+6.7+7.1+6.1
Avg total170.2170.3170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL79%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %79%86%73%
Points / game89.687.891.2
Allowed / game78.674.382.7
Point differential+10.9+13.5+8.5
Avg total168.2162.1173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2823582%89.377.6+11.7
2 Alba Berlin2823582%91.681.7+10.0
3 Chemnitz2923679%89.678.6+10.9
4 Wurzburg2920969%86.079.3+6.7
5 Ulm2920969%92.285.7+6.6
6 Vechta29181162%89.082.4+6.5
7 Ludwigsburg29171259%88.481.8+6.7
8 Bonn29171259%89.585.9+3.6
9 Oldenburg29151452%85.083.9+1.1
10 Hamburg29141548%85.386.5-1.2
11 Bamberg29121741%88.290.9-2.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig29121741%82.485.9-3.5
13 Gottingen2992031%86.594.1-7.6
14 Syntainics MBC3092130%85.892.9-7.2
15 Rostock2982128%88.193.3-5.1
16 Heidelberg3082227%83.194.3-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins2972224%81.392.6-11.3
18 Tubingen2962321%84.096.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2130291696
Chemnitz2420202993
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